Dataset Information

Plasma NT-proBNP as predictor of change in functional status, cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in the oldest old: the Leiden 85-plus study.

ABSTRACT: In the aging society, it is important to identify very old persons at high risk of functional decline, cardiovascular disease and mortality. However, traditional risk markers lose their predictive value with age. We investigated whether plasma N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels predict change in functional status, cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in very old age. Here we present an observational prospective cohort study (Leiden 85-plus Study, 1997-2004) in a population-based sample of 560 individuals aged 85 years with a 5-year complete follow-up for functional status, cardiovascular morbidity and cause-specific mortality. Median NT-proBNP for men was 351 pg/ml (cutoff values for low-medium tertiles 201 pg/ml and medium-high tertiles 649 pg/ml) and, for women, 297 pg/ml (cutoffs 204 and 519 pg/ml, respectively). During the 5-year follow-up, participants with high NT-proBNP had an accelerated cognitive decline and increase of activities of daily living (ADL) disability over time (all at p?

SUBMITTER: van Peet PG

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4082596 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Plasma NT-proBNP as predictor of change in functional status, cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in the oldest old: the Leiden 85-plus study.

van Peet Petra G PG de Craen Anton J M AJ Gussekloo Jacobijn J de Ruijter Wouter W

Age (Dordrecht, Netherlands) 20140508 3

In the aging society, it is important to identify very old persons at high risk of functional decline, cardiovascular disease and mortality. However, traditional risk markers lose their predictive value with age. We investigated whether plasma N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels predict change in functional status, cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in very old age. Here we present an observational prospective cohort study (Leiden 85-plus Study, 1997-2004) in a popul ...[more]

PMID: 24807464

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Project description:BackgroundGuidelines advocate using B-type natriuretic peptides in the diagnostic work-up of suspected heart failure (HF). Their main role is to limit echocardiography rates by ruling out HF/LV dysfunction where peptide level is low. Recommended rule-out cut points vary between guidelines. The utility of B-type natriuretic peptides in the very old (85+) requires further investigation, with optimal cut points yet to be established. We examined NT-proBNP's utility, alone and in combination with history of myocardial infarction (MI), as a rule-out test for LV dysfunction in very old people with limiting dyspnoea.MethodsDesignCross-sectional analysis.SettingPopulation-based sample; North-East England.Participants155 people (aged 87-89) with limiting dyspnoea.MeasuresDyspnoea assessed by questionnaire. Domiciliary echocardiography performed; LV systolic/diastolic function graded. NT-proBNP measured (Roche Diagnostics). Receiver operating characteristic analyses examined NT-proBNP's diagnostic accuracy for LV dysfunction.ResultsAUC for LVEF less than or equal to 50% was poor (0.58, 95% CI 0.49-0.65), but good for LVEF less than or equal to 40% (0.80, 95% CI 0.73-0.86). At ESC cut point (125 ng/l), few cases of systolic dysfunction were missed (NPV 94-100%, depending on severity), but echocardiography (88%) and false positive rates (56-81 per 100 screened) were high. At NICE cut point (400 ng/l), echocardiography (51%) and false positive rates (33-45) were lower; exclusionary performance was good for LVEF less than or equal to 40% (1 case missed per 100 screened, 15% of cases; NPV 97%), but poor for LVEF less than or equal to 50% (16 cases missed per 100 screened, 45% of cases; NPV 68%). Incorporating isolated moderate/severe diastolic dysfunction into target condition increased the proportion of cases missed (lower NPV), whilst improving case detection. Incorporating MI history as an additional referral prompt slightly reduced the number of cases missed at expense of higher echocardiography and false positive rates.ConclusionsHigh echocardiography rates and poor exclusionary performance for mild degrees of systolic dysfunction and for diastolic dysfunction limit NT-proBNP's utility as a rule-out test for LV dysfunction in very old people with limiting dyspnoea. Incorporating MI history as an additional echocardiography prompt yields no overall benefit compared to using NT-proBNP level alone.

Dataset Information

Plasma NT-proBNP as predictor of change in functional status, cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in the oldest old: the Leiden 85-plus study.

Publications

Plasma NT-proBNP as predictor of change in functional status, cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in the oldest old: the Leiden 85-plus study.

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