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Predictors of hospital stay and mortality in dengue virus infection-experience from Aga Khan University Hospital Pakistan.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND: Dengue virus infection (DVI) is very common infection. There is scarcity of data on factor associated with increased hospital stay and mortality in dengue virus infection (DVI). This study was done to know about factors associated with increased hospital stay and mortality in patients admitted with DVI. RESULTS: Out of 532 patients, two third (72.6%) had stay ?3 days while one third (27.4%) had stay greater than 3 days. The mean length of hospital stay was 3.46?±?3.45 days. Factors associated with increased hospital stay (>3 days) included AKI (acute kidney injury) (Odd ratio 2.98; 95% CI 1.66-5.34), prolonged prothrombin time (Odd ratio 2.03; 95% CI 1.07-3.84), prolonged activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) (Odd ratio 1.80; CI 95% 1.15-2.83) and increased age of?>?41.10 years (Odd ratio 1.03; CI 95% 1.01-1.04).Mortality was 1.5%. High mortality was found in those with AKI (P <0.01), dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) and dengue shock syndrome (DSS) (P <0.001), respiratory failure (P0.01), prolong PT (P 0.001), prolong aPTT (P0.01) and increased hospital stay (P0.04). CONCLUSION: Increasing age, coagulopathy and acute kidney injury in patients with DVI is associated with increased hospital stay. Morality was more in patients with AKI, DHF and DSS, respiratory failure, coagulopathy and these patients had more prolonged hospitalization.

SUBMITTER: Khalil MA

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4115468 | biostudies-literature | 2014

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Predictors of hospital stay and mortality in dengue virus infection-experience from Aga Khan University Hospital Pakistan.

Khalil Muhammad Abdul Mabood MA Tan Jackson J Khalil Muhammd Ashhad Ullah MA Awan Safia S Rangasami Manickam M

BMC research notes 20140727

<h4>Background</h4>Dengue virus infection (DVI) is very common infection. There is scarcity of data on factor associated with increased hospital stay and mortality in dengue virus infection (DVI). This study was done to know about factors associated with increased hospital stay and mortality in patients admitted with DVI.<h4>Results</h4>Out of 532 patients, two third (72.6%) had stay ≤3 days while one third (27.4%) had stay greater than 3 days. The mean length of hospital stay was 3.46 ± 3.45 da ...[more]

PMID: 25064632

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Project description:There appears to be an epidemiological transition in the etiology of heart failure in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) in parallel with a steady increase in risk factors for coronary artery disease (CAD). SSA has limited access to heart failure and CAD diagnostics, limiting the number of patients who receive optimal care. Our objectives were to study the predictors of coronary artery disease among patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and develop a model to assist clinicians in determining the likelihood of CAD before cardiac catheterization.MethodologyThis was a retrospective study at the Aga Khan University Hospital, Nairobi, which is equipped with diagnostic capabilities for heart failure and coronary artery assessment. We evaluated patients with HFrEF based on echocardiographic data over a 12-year period. Patients with coronary anatomical evaluation data were included. A multivariable model of CAD was generated using stepwise logistic regression.ResultsOf the 1329 patients screened, 514 met the inclusion criteria. The mean age was 61.0 ± 12.8 years. There were 381 male cases (75.2%), and the predominant race was African, numbering 386 (75.2%). Most patients, 97%, were evaluated through conventional coronary angiography. Further, 310 (60.3%) cases had significant CAD. The prevalence of CAD in HFrEF was 52.3% in Africans, 85% in Asians, and 79% in Caucasians. In the multivariable logistic regression, the odds of having significant CAD was higher among participants with diabetes mellitus (aOR: 1.86; 95%CI: 1.15-3.03), Q waves (aOR: 2.12; 95%CI: 1.12-4.10), significant ST segment deviation (aOR: 4.14; 95%CI: 2.23-8.03), and regional wall motion abnormalities on echocardiogram (aOR: 6.53; 95%CI: 3.94-11.06).ConclusionIn this population, CAD was a major etiology in HFrEF among the African population. The most powerful predictors of CAD were type 2 diabetes, the presence of pathological Q waves, or ST segment shift on a 12-lead electrocardiogram, and regional wall motion abnormality on 2D echocardiogram.HighlightsThere is an epidemiological transition in the cause of heart failure in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) in keeping with the steady increase in cardiovascular risk factors for coronary artery disease (CAD).The prevalence of CAD in African patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) was 52.3%.In the multivariable logistic regression, diabetic mellitus, pathological Q waves, significant ST segment deviation, and regional wall motion abnormalities were significantly associated with CAD.

Project description:ObjectivesDengue imposes substantial economic, societal and personal burden in terms of hospital stay, morbidity and mortality. Early identification of dengue cases with high propensity of increased hospital stay and death could be of value in isolating patients in need of early interventions. The current study was aimed to determine the significant factors associated with dengue-related prolonged hospitalisation and death.DesignCross-sectional retrospective study.SettingTertiary care teaching hospital.ParticipantsPatients with confirmed dengue diagnosis were stratified into two categories on the basis of prolonged hospitalisation (≤3 days and >3 days) and mortality (fatal cases and non-fatal cases). Clinico-laboratory characteristics between these categories were compared by using appropriate statistical methods.ResultsOf 667 patients enrolled, 328 (49.2%) had prolonged hospitalisation. The mean hospital stay was 4.88±2.74 days. Multivariate analysis showed that dengue haemorrhagic fever (OR 2.3), elevated alkaline phosphatase (ALP) (OR 2.3), prolonged prothrombin time (PT) (OR 1.7), activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) (OR 1.9) and multiple-organ dysfunctions (OR 2.1) were independently associated with prolonged hospitalisation. Overall case fatality rate was 1.1%. Factors associated with dengue mortality were age >40 years (p=0.004), secondary infection (p=0.040), comorbidities (p<0.05), acute kidney injury (p<0.001), prolonged PT (p=0.022), multiple-organ dysfunctions (p<0.001), haematocrit >20% (p=0.001), rhabdomyolosis (p<0.001) and respiratory failure (p=0.007). Approximately half of the fatal cases in our study had prolonged hospital stay of greater than three days.ConclusionsThe results underscore the high proportion of dengue patients with prolonged hospital stay. Early identification of factors relating to prolonged hospitalisation and death will have obvious advantages in terms of appropriate decisions about treatment and management in high dependency units.

Project description:IntroductionIn Cameroon, acute bronchiolitis has been reported as the third commonest lower respiratory infection and is usually associated with low mortality. Nonetheless, respiratory distress associated with non-adherence to management guidelines can prolong hospital stay. This study aimed to explore predictors of prolonged hospital stay (≥ 5 days) and mortality in patients aged < 2years hospitalised for acute bronchiolitis.MethodologyWe conducted a retrospective cohort study at three paediatric units in the city of Douala, Cameroon. Factors associated with prolonged hospital stay and mortality were determined using multivariable linear regression model. Threshold for significance was set at p ≤ 0.05.ResultsA total of 215 patients with bronchiolitis were included with mean age of 6.94 ± 5.71 months and M/F sex ratio of 1.39/1. Prolonged hospital stay was reported in 46.98% and mortality in 10.70% of patients hospitalised for bronchiolitis. Factors independently associated with prolonged hospital duration were oxygen administration [b = 0.36, OR = 2.35 (95% CI:1.16-4.74), p = 0.017], abnormal respiratory rate [b = 0.38, OR = 2.13 (1.00-4.55), p = 0.050] and patients presenting with cough [b = 0.33, OR = 2.35 (95% CI: 1.22-4.51), p = 0.011], and diarrhoea [b = 0.71, OR = 6.44 (95% CI: 1.6-25.86), p = 0.009] on admission. On the other hand, factors independently associated with mortality were age of the patient [b= -0.07, OR = 0.84 (95% CI: 0.74-0.97), p = 0.014] and oxygen administration [b = 1.08, OR = 9.64 (95% CI:1.16-79.85), p = 0.036] CONCLUSION: Acute bronchiolitis represented 1.24% of admissions and was common in the rainy season, in males and 3-11-month-old patients. Management guidelines were poorly respected. Prolonged length of stay was reported in half of the patients hospitalized and mortality was high, especially in younger patients and in patients receiving oxygen.

Project description:ObjectiveTo determine the predictive factors of postoperative hospital stay and total hospital medical cost among patients who underwent total laryngectomy.MethodsA total of 213 patients who underwent total laryngectomy in a tertiary referral center for tumor ablation were enrolled retrospectively between January 2009 and May 2018. Statistical analyses including Pearson's chi-squared test were used to determine whether there was a significant difference between each selected clinical factors and outcomes. The outcomes of interest including postoperative length of hospital stay and inpatient total medical cost. Logistic regression analyses were performed to reveal the relationship between clinical factors and postoperative length of hospital stay or total inpatient medical cost.ResultsPreoperative radiotherapy (p = 0.007), method of wound closure (p < 0.001), postoperative serum albumin level (p = 0.025), and postoperative serum hemoglobin level (p = 0.04) were significantly associated with postoperative hospital stay in univariate analysis. Postoperative hypoalbuminemia (odds ratio [OR]: 2.477; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.189-5.163; p = 0.015) and previous radiotherapy history (OR 2.194; 95% CI: 1.228-3.917; p = 0.008) are independent predictors of a longer postoperative hospital stay in multiple regression analysis. With respect to total inpatient medical cost, method of wound closure (p < 0.001), preoperative serum albumin level (p = 0.04), postoperative serum albumin level (p < 0.001), and history of liver cirrhosis (p = 0.037) were significantly associated with total inpatient medical cost in univariate analysis. Postoperative hypoalbuminemia (OR: 6.671; 95% CI: 1.927-23.093; p = 0.003) and microvascular free flap reconstruction (OR: 5.011; 95% CI: 1.657-15.156; p = 0.004) were independent predictors of a higher total inpatient medical cost in multiple regression analysis.ConclusionsPostoperative albumin status is a significant factor in predicting prolonged postoperative hospital stay and higher inpatient medical cost among patients who undergo total laryngectomy. In this cohort, the inpatient medical cost was 48% higher and length of stay after surgery was 35% longer among hypoalbuminemia patients.

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Predictors of hospital stay and mortality in dengue virus infection-experience from Aga Khan University Hospital Pakistan.

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Predictors of hospital stay and mortality in dengue virus infection-experience from Aga Khan University Hospital Pakistan.

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