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Polypill therapy, subclinical atherosclerosis, and cardiovascular events-implications for the use of preventive pharmacotherapy: MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis).


ABSTRACT: This study examines whether the coronary artery calcium (CAC) score can be used to define the target population to treat with a polypill.Prior studies have suggested a single polypill to reduce cardiovascular disease (CVD) at the population level.Participants from MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) were stratified using the criteria of 4 polypill studies (TIPS [The Indian Polycap Study], Poly-Iran, Wald, and the PILL [Program to Improve Life and Longevity] Collaboration). We compared coronary heart disease (CHD) and CVD event rates and calculated the 5-year number needed to treat (NNT) after stratification based on the CAC score.Among MESA participants eligible for TIPS, Poly-Iran, Wald, and the PILL Collaboration, CAC = 0 was observed in 58.6%, 54.5%, 38.9%, and 40.8%, respectively. The rate of CHD events among those with CAC = 0 varied from 1.2 to 1.9 events per 1,000 person-years, those with CAC scores from 1 to 100 had event rates ranging from 4.1 to 5.5, and in those with CAC scores >100 the event rate ranged from 11.6 to 13.3. The estimated 5-year NNT to prevent 1 CVD event ranged from 81-130 for patients with CAC = 0, 38-54 for those with CAC scores from 1 to 100, and 18-20 for those with CAC scores >100.In MESA, among individuals eligible for treatment with the polypill, the majority of CHD and CVD events occurred in those with CAC scores >100. The group with CAC = 0 had a very low event rate and a high projected NNT. The avoidance of treatment in individuals with CAC = 0 could allow for significant reductions in the population considered for treatment, with a more selective use of the polypill and, as a result, avoidance of treatment in those who are unlikely to benefit.

SUBMITTER: Bittencourt MS 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4174413 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Polypill therapy, subclinical atherosclerosis, and cardiovascular events-implications for the use of preventive pharmacotherapy: MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis).

Bittencourt Márcio Sommer MS   Blaha Michael J MJ   Blankstein Ron R   Budoff Matthew M   Vargas Jose D JD   Blumenthal Roger S RS   Agatston Arthur S AS   Nasir Khurram K  

Journal of the American College of Cardiology 20131023 5


<h4>Objectives</h4>This study examines whether the coronary artery calcium (CAC) score can be used to define the target population to treat with a polypill.<h4>Background</h4>Prior studies have suggested a single polypill to reduce cardiovascular disease (CVD) at the population level.<h4>Methods</h4>Participants from MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) were stratified using the criteria of 4 polypill studies (TIPS [The Indian Polycap Study], Poly-Iran, Wald, and the PILL [Program to Imp  ...[more]

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