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Prediction of remission after metabolic surgery using a novel scoring system in type 2 diabetes - a retrospective cohort study.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Remission of diabetes is seen in more than 60% of patients after bariatric surgery. There is extensive variability in the remission rates between different surgical procedures. We analyzed our database and aimed to develop an easy scoring system to predict the probability of diabetes remission after two surgical procedures i.e. Ileal Interposition coupled with Sleeve Gastrectomy (IISG) or Diverted Sleeve Gastrectomy (IIDSG). METHODS:In this retrospective study, we analyzed records pertaining to patients who underwent IISG (n?=?46) and IIDSG (n?=?29). The primary outcome measure was diabetes remission (A1c <6.5% and not requiring hypoglycemic drugs). We identified seven preoperative clinical variables (age, duration of diabetes, body mass index, micro and macrovascular complications, use of insulin and stimulated C-peptide) based on our previous reports to be included in the diabetes remission score (DRS). The DRS score (7 - 14) was compared between the patients with and without remission in both the surgery groups. RESULTS:Mean DRS in patients who underwent IISG was 9.2?±?1.4. Twenty one (46%) had a remission in diabetes. DRS was significantly lower in patients with remission than patients without remission (8.1?±?0.8 versus 10.2?±?0.9, p?

SUBMITTER: Ugale S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4243781 | biostudies-literature | 2014

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Prediction of remission after metabolic surgery using a novel scoring system in type 2 diabetes - a retrospective cohort study.

Ugale Surendra S Gupta Neeraj N Modi Kirtikumar D KD Kota Sunil K SK Satwalekar Vasisht V Naik Vishwas V Swapna Modukuri M Kumar Kvs Hari KH

Journal of diabetes and metabolic disorders 20140822 1

<h4>Background</h4>Remission of diabetes is seen in more than 60% of patients after bariatric surgery. There is extensive variability in the remission rates between different surgical procedures. We analyzed our database and aimed to develop an easy scoring system to predict the probability of diabetes remission after two surgical procedures i.e. Ileal Interposition coupled with Sleeve Gastrectomy (IISG) or Diverted Sleeve Gastrectomy (IIDSG).<h4>Methods</h4>In this retrospective study, we analy ...[more]

PMID: 25426451

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Project description:About 60% of patients with type 2 diabetes achieve remission after Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) surgery. No accurate method is available to preoperatively predict the probability of remission. Our goal was to develop a way to predict probability of diabetes remission after RYGB surgery on the basis of preoperative clinical criteria.In a retrospective cohort study, we identified individuals with type 2 diabetes for whom electronic medical records were available from a primary cohort of 2300 patients who underwent RYGB surgery at the Geisinger Health System (Danville, PA, USA) between Jan 1, 2004, and Feb 15, 2011. Partial and complete remission were defined according to the American Diabetes Association criteria. We examined 259 clinical variables for our algorithm and used multiple logistic regression models to identify independent predictors of early remission (beginning within first 2 months after surgery and lasting at least 12 months) or late remission (beginning more than 2 months after surgery and lasting at least 12 months). We assessed a final Cox regression model with a consistent subset of variables that predicted remission, and used the resulting hazard ratios (HRs) to guide creation of a weighting system to produce a score (DiaRem) to predict probability of diabetes remission within 5 years. We assessed the validity of the DiaRem score with data from two additional cohorts.Electronic medical records were available for 690 patients in the primary cohort, of whom 463 (63%) had achieved partial or complete remission. Four preoperative clinical variables were included in the final Cox regression model: insulin use, age, HbA1c concentration, and type of antidiabetic drugs. We developed a DiaRem score that ranges from 0 to 22, with the greatest weight given to insulin use before surgery (adding ten to the score; HR 5·90, 95% CI 4·41–7·90; p<0·0001). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that 88% (95% CI 83–92%) of patients who scored 0–2, 64% (58–71%) of those who scored 3–7, 23% (13–33%) of those who scored 8–12, 11% (6–16%) of those who scored 13–17, and 2% (0–5%) of those who scored 18–22 achieved early remission (partial or complete). As in the primary cohort, the proportion of patients achieving remission in the replication cohorts was highest for the lowest scores, and lowest for the highest scores.The DiaRem score is a novel preoperative method to predict the probability of remission of type 2 diabetes after RYGB surgery.Geisinger Health System and the US National Institutes of Health.

Project description:BACKGROUND:The WHO classification separates mastocytosis into distinct variants, but prognostication remains a clinical challenge. The aim of this study was to improve prognostication for patients with mastocytosis. METHODS:We analysed data of the registry of the European Competence Network on Mastocytosis including 1639 patients (age 17-90 years) diagnosed with mastocytosis according to WHO criteria between Jan 12, 1978, and March 16, 2017. Univariate and multivariate analyses with Cox regression were applied to identify prognostic variables predicting survival outcomes and to establish a prognostic score. We validated this International Prognostic Scoring System in Mastocytosis (IPSM) with data of 462 patients (age 17-79 years) from the Spanish network Red Española de Mastocitosis diagnosed between Jan 22, 1998, and Nov 2, 2017. FINDINGS:The prognostic value of the WHO classification was confirmed in our study (p<0·0001). For patients with non-advanced mastocytosis (n=1380), we identified age 60 years or older (HR 10·75, 95% CI 5·68-20·32) and a concentration of alkaline phosphatase 100 U/L or higher (2·91, 1·60-5·30) as additional independent prognostic variables for overall survival. The resulting scoring system divided patients with non-advanced mastocytosis into three groups: low (no risk factors), intermediate 1 (one risk factor), and intermediate 2 (two risk factors). Overall survival and progression-free survival differed significantly among these groups (p<0·0001). In patients with advanced mastocytosis (n=259), age 60 years or older (HR 2·14, 95% CI 1·42-3·22), a concentration of tryptase 125 ng/mL or higher (1·81, 1·20-2·75), a leukocyte count of 16?×?109 per L or higher (1·88, 1·27-2·79), haemoglobin of 11 g/dL or lower (1·71, 1·13-2·57), a platelet count of 100?×?109 per L or lower (1·63, 1·13-2·34), and skin involvement (0·46, 0·30-0·69) were prognostic variables. Based on these variables, a separate score for advanced mastocytosis with four risk categories was established, with significantly different outcomes for overall survival and progression-free survival (p<0·0001). The prognostic value of both scores was confirmed in 413 patients with non-advanced disease and 49 with advanced mastocytosis from the validation cohort. INTERPRETATION:The IPSM scores for patients with non-advanced and advanced mastocytosis can be used to predict survival outcomes and guide treatment decisions. However, the predictive value of the IPSM needs to be confirmed in forthcoming trials. FUNDING:Austrian Science Fund, Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, Koeln Fortune Program, Charles and Ann Johnson Foundation, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Fondos FEDER, Research-Foundation Flanders/Fonds Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek, Clinical Research-Fund of the University Hospitals Leuven, and Research-Foundation Flanders/Fonds Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek.

Project description:BackgroundAlthough bariatric surgery is an effective treatment for type 2 diabetes (T2D) in patients with morbid obesity, further studies are needed to evaluate factors influencing the chance of achieving diabetes remission. The objective of the present study was to investigate the association between T2D duration and the chance of achieving remission of T2D after bariatric surgery.Methods and findingsWe conducted a nationwide register-based cohort study including all adult patients with T2D and BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2 who received primary bariatric surgery in Sweden between 2007 and 2015 identified through the Scandinavian Obesity Surgery Registry. The main outcome was remission of T2D, defined as being free from diabetes medication or as complete remission (HbA1c < 42 mmol/mol without medication). In all, 8,546 patients with T2D were included. Mean age was 47.8 ± 10.1 years, mean BMI was 42.2 ± 5.8 kg/m2, 5,277 (61.7%) were women, and mean HbA1c was 58.9 ± 17.4 mmol/mol. The proportion of patients free from diabetes medication 2 years after surgery was 76.6% (n = 6,499), and 69.9% at 5 years (n = 3,765). The chance of being free from T2D medication was less in patients with longer preoperative duration of diabetes both at 2 years (odds ratio [OR] 0.80/year, 95% CI 0.79-0.81, p < 0.001) and 5 years after surgery (OR 0.76/year, 95% CI 0.75-0.78, p < 0.001). Complete remission of T2D was achieved in 58.2% (n = 2,090) at 2 years, and 46.6% at 5 years (n = 681). The chance of achieving complete remission correlated negatively with the duration of diabetes (adjusted OR 0.87/year, 95% CI 0.85-0.89, p < 0.001), insulin treatment (adjusted OR 0.25, 95% CI 0.20-0.31, p < 0.001), age (adjusted OR 0.94/year, 95% CI 0.93-0.95, p < 0.001), and HbA1c at baseline (adjusted OR 0.98/mmol/mol, 95% CI 0.97-0.98, p < 0.001), but was greater among males (adjusted OR 1.57, 95% CI 1.29-1.90, p < 0.001) and patients with higher BMI at baseline (adjusted OR 1.07/kg/m2, 95% CI 1.05-1.09, p < 0.001). The main limitations of the study lie in its retrospective nature and the low availability of HbA1c values at long-term follow-up.ConclusionsIn this study, we found that remission of T2D after bariatric surgery was inversely associated with duration of diabetes and was highest among patients with recent onset and those without insulin treatment.

Project description:Rationale & objectiveThe association between bariatric surgery, type 2 diabetes, and chronic kidney disease (CKD) is poorly understood. We studied whether remission of type 2 diabetes induced by bariatric surgery influences markers of kidney disease, if CKD is associated with remission of diabetes after bariatric surgery, and if baseline levels of gut hormones and peptides modify these associations.Study designProspective observational study.Study participants737 bariatric surgery patients with type 2 diabetes who participated in a multicenter cohort study for up to 5 years.PredictorsDemographics, blood pressure, medications, type of bariatric surgery, anthropometrics, markers of kidney disease, and circulating levels of gut hormones and peptides.OutcomesEstimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), urinary albumin excretion, prognostic risk for CKD, and remission of diabetes.Analytical approachLinear mixed models for eGFR; generalized linear mixed models with logit link for albuminuria, prognostic risk for CKD, and diabetes remission.ResultsRemission of diabetes at 5 years post-bariatric surgery was not independently associated with eGFR but was associated with lower risk for moderate/severe increase in albuminuria (risk ratio, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.48-0.90) and stabilization in prognostic risk for CKD. These findings were modified by baseline ghrelin level. Lower preoperative eGFR and greater prognostic risk for CKD were independently associated with reduced likelihood of diabetes remission. The association with preoperative GFR was modified by C-peptide level. Higher baseline circulating ghrelin level was independently associated with a lower prognostic risk for CKD.LimitationsA minority of participants had baseline CKD; lack of comparison group; no information on duration of diabetes, other clinical end points, or kidney biopsy results.ConclusionsRemission of type 2 diabetes 5 years after bariatric surgery was associated with improvements in albuminuria and stabilized prognostic risk for CKD, but not with eGFR. Lower kidney function and greater prognostic risk at the time of bariatric surgery was linked to a lower likelihood of diabetes remission. These results highlight the need to identify the mechanisms through which bariatric surgery may delay the long-term progression of CKD in type 2 diabetes.

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Prediction of remission after metabolic surgery using a novel scoring system in type 2 diabetes - a retrospective cohort study.

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Prediction of remission after metabolic surgery using a novel scoring system in type 2 diabetes - a retrospective cohort study.

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