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Explicit tracking of uncertainty increases the power of quantitative rule-of-thumb reasoning in cell biology.

ABSTRACT: Back-of-the-envelope or rule-of-thumb calculations involving rough estimates of quantities play a central scientific role in developing intuition about the structure and behavior of physical systems, for example in so-called Fermi problems in the physical sciences. Such calculations can be used to powerfully and quantitatively reason about biological systems, particularly at the interface between physics and biology. However, substantial uncertainties are often associated with values in cell biology, and performing calculations without taking this uncertainty into account may limit the extent to which results can be interpreted for a given problem. We present a means to facilitate such calculations where uncertainties are explicitly tracked through the line of reasoning, and introduce a probabilistic calculator called CALADIS, a free web tool, designed to perform this tracking. This approach allows users to perform more statistically robust calculations in cell biology despite having uncertain values, and to identify which quantities need to be measured more precisely to make confident statements, facilitating efficient experimental design. We illustrate the use of our tool for tracking uncertainty in several example biological calculations, showing that the results yield powerful and interpretable statistics on the quantities of interest. We also demonstrate that the outcomes of calculations may differ from point estimates when uncertainty is accurately tracked. An integral link between CALADIS and the BioNumbers repository of biological quantities further facilitates the straightforward location, selection, and use of a wealth of experimental data in cell biological calculations.

SUBMITTER: Johnston IG

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4255194 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Explicit tracking of uncertainty increases the power of quantitative rule-of-thumb reasoning in cell biology.

Johnston Iain G IG Rickett Benjamin C BC Jones Nick S NS

Biophysical journal 20141202 11

Back-of-the-envelope or rule-of-thumb calculations involving rough estimates of quantities play a central scientific role in developing intuition about the structure and behavior of physical systems, for example in so-called Fermi problems in the physical sciences. Such calculations can be used to powerfully and quantitatively reason about biological systems, particularly at the interface between physics and biology. However, substantial uncertainties are often associated with values in cell bio ...[more]

PMID: 25468340

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Project description:Methanogenesis allows methanogenic archaea (methanogens) to generate cellular energy for their growth while producing methane. Hydrogenotrophic methanogens thrive on carbon dioxide and molecular hydrogen as sole carbon and energy sources. Thermophilic and hydrogenotrophic Methanothermobacter spp. have been recognized as robust biocatalysts for a circular carbon economy and are now applied in power-to-gas technology. Here, we generated the first manually curated genome-scale metabolic reconstruction for three Methanothermobacter spp.. We investigated differences in growth performance and gas consumption/production of three wild-type strains and one genetically engineered strain in two independent quadruplicate chemostat bioreactor experiments: 1) with molecular hydrogen and carbon dioxide; and 2) with sodium formate. In the first experiment, we found the highest methane production rate for Methanothermobacter thermautotrophicus ΔH, while Methanothermobacter marburgensis Marburg reached the highest biomass growth rate. We collected statistically reliable transcriptomics and proteomics data sets from these steady-state bioreactors, which we integrated within our genome-scale metabolic models. The implementation of an pan-model that contains combined reactions from all three microbes allowed us to perform an interspecies comparison of the complete omics data set. While the observed differences in the growth behavior cannot be fully explained, the comparison enabled us to identify crucial differences in growth-related pathways, such as formate anabolism. In the second experiment, we found stable growth with a M. thermautotrophicus ΔH plasmid-carrying strain on formate with similar performance parameters compared to wild-type Methanothermobacter thermautotrophicus Z-245. The results of the two studies demonstrate the advantages of an integrative approach using fermentation and omics data with genome-scale modeling for the investigation of lesser studied metabolisms, and the biotechnological potential of Methanothermobacter spp. as production platform hosts.

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Explicit tracking of uncertainty increases the power of quantitative rule-of-thumb reasoning in cell biology.

Publications

Explicit tracking of uncertainty increases the power of quantitative rule-of-thumb reasoning in cell biology.

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