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ABSTRACT: Objective
The authors aimed to characterize distinct trajectories of knee pain in adults who had, or were at high risk of, knee osteoarthritis using data from two population-based cohorts.Method
Latent class growth analysis was applied to measures of knee pain severity on activity obtained at 18-month intervals for up to 6 years between 2002 and 2009 from symptomatic participants aged over 50 years in the Knee Clinical Assessment Study (CAS-K) in the United Kingdom. The optimum latent class growth model from CAS-K was then tested for reproducibility in a matched sample of participants from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) in the United States.Results
A 5-class linear model produced interpretable trajectories in CAS-K with reasonable goodness of fit and which were labelled "Mild, non-progressive" (N = 201, 35%), "Progressive" (N = 162, 28%), "Moderate" (N = 124, 22%) "Improving" (N = 68, 12%), and "Severe, non-improving" (N = 15, 3%). We were able to reproduce "Mild, non-progressive", "Moderate", and "Severe, non-improving" classes in the matched sample of participants from the OAI, however, absence of a "Progressive" class and instability of the "Improving" classes in the OAI was observed.Conclusions
Our findings strengthen the grounds for moving beyond a simple stereotype of osteoarthritis as "slowly progressive". Mild, non-progressive or improving symptom trajectories, although difficult to reproduce, can nevertheless represent a genuinely favourable prognosis for a sizeable minority.
SUBMITTER: Nicholls E
PROVIDER: S-EPMC4256061 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Dec
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Nicholls E E Thomas E E van der Windt D A DA Croft P R PR Peat G G
Osteoarthritis and cartilage 20141008 12
<h4>Objective</h4>The authors aimed to characterize distinct trajectories of knee pain in adults who had, or were at high risk of, knee osteoarthritis using data from two population-based cohorts.<h4>Method</h4>Latent class growth analysis was applied to measures of knee pain severity on activity obtained at 18-month intervals for up to 6 years between 2002 and 2009 from symptomatic participants aged over 50 years in the Knee Clinical Assessment Study (CAS-K) in the United Kingdom. The optimum l ...[more]