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Samples from subdivided populations yield biased estimates of effective size that overestimate the rate of loss of genetic variation.

ABSTRACT: Many empirical studies estimating effective population size apply the temporal method that provides an estimate of the variance effective size through the amount of temporal allele frequency change under the assumption that the study population is completely isolated. This assumption is frequently violated, and the magnitude of the resulting bias is generally unknown. We studied how gene flow affects estimates of effective size obtained by the temporal method when sampling from a population system and provide analytical expressions for the expected estimate under an island model of migration. We show that the temporal method tends to systematically underestimate both local and global effective size when populations are connected by gene flow, and the bias is sometimes dramatic. The problem is particularly likely to occur when sampling from a subdivided population where high levels of gene flow obscure identification of subpopulation boundaries. In such situations, sampling in a manner that prevents biased estimates can be difficult. This phenomenon might partially explain the frequently reported unexpectedly low effective population sizes of marine populations that have raised concern regarding the genetic vulnerability of even exceptionally large populations.

SUBMITTER: Ryman N

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4274017 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Samples from subdivided populations yield biased estimates of effective size that overestimate the rate of loss of genetic variation.

Ryman Nils N Allendorf Fred W FW Jorde Per Erik PE Laikre Linda L Hössjer Ola O

Molecular ecology resources 20130906 1

Many empirical studies estimating effective population size apply the temporal method that provides an estimate of the variance effective size through the amount of temporal allele frequency change under the assumption that the study population is completely isolated. This assumption is frequently violated, and the magnitude of the resulting bias is generally unknown. We studied how gene flow affects estimates of effective size obtained by the temporal method when sampling from a population syst ...[more]

PMID: 24034449

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Project description:Eradication or local extinction of the human parasite Schistosoma mansoni is a goal for many control programs. Population genetic analyses are helping to evaluate and guide these efforts, yet what to sample, how to sample and how densely to sample is not well established. We determined the S. mansoni allele frequency profile of nearly all infected inhabitants in two small Brazilian communities and created sub-samples representing 5-50% of all detected human infections (infrapopulations). Samples were selected at random with replacement, and each size class was replicated 100 times. Mean pairwise differentiation for all infrapopulations (Di) and the variance effective population size (Ne) were calculated for each sample. Prior to community-wide treatment, the true mean Di was moderate (0.095-0.123) and Ne large (>30,000). Most samples of <50% of those infected produced estimates outside of 5% of the true value. For estimates within 10%, sample sizes of >15% of all infrapopulations were required. At the 3 year follow-up after treatment, the Di increased and Ne was reduced by >15 fold. At this time sampling of >30-45% was needed to achieve the same accuracy. Following a second treatment and 4 years from baseline, the Di further increased and Ne decreased with little change in the sampling effort required. Extensive sampling is required for accurate estimates of these important population parameters. Characteristics such as population census size, infection prevalence, the community's treatment history and the degree of infrapopulation differentiation should be taken into account. The intensity of infection was weakly correlated with the ability of a single infrapopulation to represent the component population (Dic), indicating a tendency toward random acquisition of parasite genotypes. This also suggests that targeted sampling from those most heavily infected will better represent the genetic diversity of the whole community than a random sample of infrapopulations.

Project description:BackgroundThe use of molecular genetic technologies for broodstock management and selective breeding of aquaculture species is becoming increasingly more common with the continued development of genome tools and reagents. Several laboratories have produced genetic maps for rainbow trout to aid in the identification of loci affecting phenotypes of interest. These maps have resulted in the identification of many quantitative/qualitative trait loci affecting phenotypic variation in traits associated with albinism, disease resistance, temperature tolerance, sex determination, embryonic development rate, spawning date, condition factor and growth. Unfortunately, the elucidation of the precise allelic variation and/or genes underlying phenotypic diversity has yet to be achieved in this species having low marker densities and lacking a whole genome reference sequence. Experimental designs which integrate segregation analyses with linkage disequilibrium (LD) approaches facilitate the discovery of genes affecting important traits. To date the extent of LD has been characterized for humans and several agriculturally important livestock species but not for rainbow trout.ResultsWe observed that the level of LD between syntenic loci decayed rapidly at distances greater than 2 cM which is similar to observations of LD in other agriculturally important species including cattle, sheep, pigs and chickens. However, in some cases significant LD was also observed up to 50 cM. Our estimate of effective population size based on genome wide estimates of LD for the NCCCWA broodstock population was 145, indicating that this population will respond well to high selection intensity. However, the range of effective population size based on individual chromosomes was 75.51 - 203.35, possibly indicating that suites of genes on each chromosome are disproportionately under selection pressures.ConclusionsOur results indicate that large numbers of markers, more than are currently available for this species, will be required to enable the use of genome-wide integrated mapping approaches aimed at identifying genes of interest in rainbow trout.

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Samples from subdivided populations yield biased estimates of effective size that overestimate the rate of loss of genetic variation.

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Samples from subdivided populations yield biased estimates of effective size that overestimate the rate of loss of genetic variation.

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