Dataset Information

Stratification of coronary artery disease patients for revascularization procedure based on estimating adverse effects.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is the most commonly performed treatment for coronary atherosclerosis. It is associated with a higher incidence of repeat revascularization procedures compared to coronary artery bypass grafting surgery. Recent results indicate that PCI is only cost-effective for a subset of patients. Estimating risks of treatment options would be an effort toward personalized treatment strategy for coronary atherosclerosis.

Methods

In this paper, we propose to model clinical knowledge about the treatment of coronary atherosclerosis to identify patient-subgroup-specific classifiers to predict the risk of adverse events of different treatment options. We constructed one model for each patient subgroup to account for subgroup-specific interpretation and availability of features and hierarchically aggregated these models to cover the entire data. In addition, we deviated from the current clinical workflow only for patients with high probability of benefiting from an alternative treatment, as suggested by this model. Consequently, we devised a two-stage test with optimized negative and positive predictive values as the main indicators of performance. Our analysis was based on 2,377 patients that underwent PCI. Performance was compared with a conventional classification model and the existing clinical practice by estimating effectiveness, safety, and costs for different endpoints (6 month angiographic restenosis, 12 and 36 month hazardous events).

Results

Compared to the current clinical practice, the proposed method achieved an estimated reduction in adverse effects by 25.0% (95% CI, 17.8 to 30.2) for hazardous events at 36 months and 31.2% (95% CI, 25.4 to 39.0) for hazardous events at 12 months. Estimated total savings per patient amounted to $693 and $794 at 12 and 36 months, respectively. The proposed subgroup-specific method outperformed conventional population wide regression: The median area under the receiver operating characteristic curve increased from 0.57 to 0.61 for prediction of angiographic restenosis and from 0.76 to 0.85 for prediction of hazardous events.

Conclusions

The results of this study demonstrated the efficacy of deployment of bare-metal stents and coronary artery bypass grafting surgery for subsets of patients. This is one effort towards development of personalized treatment strategies for patients with coronary atherosclerosis that could significantly impact associated treatment costs.

SUBMITTER: Polsterl S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4336731 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Stratification of coronary artery disease patients for revascularization procedure based on estimating adverse effects.

Pölsterl Sebastian S Singh Maneesh M Katouzian Amin A Navab Nassir N Kastrati Adnan A Ladic Lance L Kamen Ali A

BMC medical informatics and decision making 20150214

<h4>Background</h4>Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is the most commonly performed treatment for coronary atherosclerosis. It is associated with a higher incidence of repeat revascularization procedures compared to coronary artery bypass grafting surgery. Recent results indicate that PCI is only cost-effective for a subset of patients. Estimating risks of treatment options would be an effort toward personalized treatment strategy for coronary atherosclerosis.<h4>Methods</h4>In this paper ...[more]

PMID: 25889930

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Project description:AimsCoronary flow reserve (CFR) is an integrated measure of the entire coronary vasculature, and is a powerful prognostic marker in coronary artery disease (CAD). The extent to which coronary revascularization can improve CFR is unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) on CFR in patients with stable CAD.Methods and resultsIn a prospective, multicentre observational study, CFR was measured by 15O-water positron emission tomography as the ratio of stress to rest myocardial blood flow at baseline and 6 months after optimal medical therapy (OMT) alone, PCI, or CABG. Changes in the SYNTAX and Leaman scores were angiographically evaluated as indicators of completeness of revascularization. Follow-up was completed by 75 (25 OMT alone, 28 PCI, and 22 CABG) out of 82 patients. The median SYNTAX and Leaman scores, and baseline CFR were 14.5 [interquartile range (IQR): 8-24.5], 5.5 (IQR: 2.5-12.5), and 1.94 (IQR: 1.67-2.66), respectively. Baseline CFR was negatively correlated with the SYNTAX (ρ = -0.40, P < 0.001) and Leaman scores (ρ = -0.33, P = 0.004). Overall, only CABG was associated with a significant increase in CFR [1.67 (IQR: 1.14-1.96) vs. 1.98 (IQR: 1.60-2.39), P < 0.001]. Among patients with CFR <2.0 (n = 41), CFR significantly increased in the PCI [1.70 (IQR: 1.42-1.79) vs. 2.21 (IQR: 1.78-2.49), P = 0.002, P < 0.001 for interaction between time and CFR] and CABG groups [1.28 (IQR: 1.13-1.80) vs. 1.86 (IQR: 1.57-2.22), P < 0.001]. The reduction in SYNTAX or Leaman scores after PCI or CABG was independently associated with the percent increase in CFR after adjusting for baseline characteristics (P = 0.012 and P = 0.011, respectively).ConclusionCoronary revascularization ameliorated reduced CFR in patients with obstructive CAD. The degree of improvement in angiographic CAD burden by revascularization was correlated with magnitude of improvement in CFR.

Project description:BackgroundThe concept of hybrid coronary revascularization (HCR) combines the left internal mammary artery (LIMA)-left anterior descending (LAD) graft and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) to non-LAD vessels. Multiple comparative studies have evaluated the safety and feasibility of HCR and coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) for multivessel coronary artery disease (MCAD). However, the sample size of each study was small, and evidences based on single-institutional experience. The purpose of this meta-analysis was to compare the short-term outcomes of HCR with those of CABG for MCAD.MethodPubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane Library databases, as well as conference proceedings, were searched for eligible studies published up to March 2014. We calculated summary odds ratios (OR) for primary endpoints (death, stroke; myocardial infarction (MI); target vessel revascularization (TVR); major adverse cardiac or cerebrovascular events (MACCEs)) and secondary endpoints (atrial fibrillation (AF); renal failure; length of stay in the intensive care unit (LoS in ICU); length of stay in hospital (LoS in hospital); red blood cell (RBC) transfusion). Data from 6176 participants were derived from ten cohort studies.ResultsHCR was non-inferior to CABG in terms of MACCEs during hospitalization (odds ratio (OR), 0.68, 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.34-1.33)and at one-year follow-up(0.32, 0.05-1.89) , and no significant difference was found between HCR and CABG groups in in-hospital and one-year follow-up outcomes of death, MI, stroke, the prevalence of AF and renal failure, whereas HCR was associated with a lower requirement of RBC transfusion and shorter LoS in ICU and LoS in hospital than CABG (weighted mean difference (WMD) -1.25, 95% CI, -1.62 to -0.88; -17.47, -31.01 to -3.93; -1.77, -3.07 to -0.46; respectively).ConclusionOur meta-analysis indicates that HCR is feasible, safe and effective for the treatment of MCAD, with similar in-hospital and one-year follow-up outcome, significantly lower requirement of RBC transfusion, and faster recovery compared with CABG.

Dataset Information

Stratification of coronary artery disease patients for revascularization procedure based on estimating adverse effects.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Stratification of coronary artery disease patients for revascularization procedure based on estimating adverse effects.

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