Prospectively quantifying the propensity for atrial fibrillation: a mechanistic formulation.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Carrick RT
PROVIDER: S-EPMC4358999 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained dysfunction in heart rhythm clinically and has been identified as an independent risk factor for stroke through formation and embolization of thrombi. AF is associated with reduced cardiac output and short and irregular cardiac cycle length. Although the effect of AF on cardiac hemodynamic parameters has been reported, it remains unclear how the hemodynamic perturbations affect the potential embolization of blood clots to the brain that can cause stroke. To understand stroke propensity in AF, we performed computer simulations to describe trajectories of blood clots subject to the aortic flow conditions that represent normal heart rhythm and AF. Quantitative assessment of stroke propensity by blood clot embolism was carried out for a range of clot properties (e.g., 2-6 mm in diameter and 0-0.8 m/s ejection speed) under normal and AF flow conditions. The simulations demonstrate that the trajectory of clot is significantly affected by clot properties as well as hemodynamic waveforms which lead to significant variations in stroke propensity. The predicted maximum difference in stroke propensity in the left common carotid artery was shown to be about 60% between the normal and AF flow conditions examined. The results suggest that the reduced cardiac output and cycle length induced by AF can significantly increase the incidence of carotid embolism. The present simulations motivate further studies on patient-specific risk assessment of stroke in AF.
| S-EPMC3764003 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundScreening the general public for atrial fibrillation (AF) may enable early detection and timely intervention, which could potentially decrease the incidence of stroke. Existing screening methods require professional monitoring and involve high costs. AF is characterized by an irregular irregularity of the cardiac rhythm, which may be detectable using an index quantifying and visualizing this type of irregularity, motivating wide screening programs and promoting the research of AF patient subgroups and clinical impact of AF burden.MethodsWe calculated variability, normality and mean of the difference between consecutive RR interval series (denoted as modified entropy scale-MESC) to quantify irregular irregularities. Based on the variability and normality indices calculated for long 1-lead ECG records, we created a plot termed a regularogram (RGG), which provides a visual presentation of irregularly irregular rates and their burden in a given record. To inspect the potency of these indices, they were applied to train and test a machine learning classifier to identify AF episodes in gold-standard, publicly available databases (PhysioNet) that include recordings from both patients with AF and/or other rhythm disturbances, and from healthy volunteers. The classifier was trained and validated on one database and tested on three other databases.ResultsIrregular irregularities were identified using normality, variability and mean MESC indices. The RGG displayed visually distinct differences between patients with vs. without AF and between patients with different levels of AF burden. Training a simple, explainable machine learning tool integrating these three indices enabled AF detection with 99.9% accuracy, when trained on the same person, and 97.8%, when trained on patients from a different database. Comparison to other RR interval-based AF detection methods that utilize signal processing, classic machine learning and deep learning techniques, showed superiority of our suggested method.ConclusionVisualizing and quantifying irregular irregularities will be of value for both rapid visual inspection of long Holter recordings for the presence and the burden of AF, and for machine learning classification to identify AF episodes. A free online tool for calculating the indices, drawing RGGs and estimating AF burden, is available.
| S-EPMC7930338 | biostudies-literature
Project description:The aim of this study is to perform transcriptome analysis on mouse left atrium tissue after long-term ibrutinib treatment or cardiac CSK knockout, in order to compared the enriched gene clusters.
2020-04-01 | GSE139427 | GEO
Project description:To develop electrocardiogram (ECG) tools to quantify the number of sources for atrial fibrillation (AF), i.e. spatially stable rotors and focal impulses, and whether they lie in right or left atrium. Intracardiac mapping has recently shown that paroxysmal and persistent AF is sustained by rotors or focal sources that are stable in location and thus targets for limited ablation [focal impulse and rotor modulation (FIRM)] to eliminate AF. Importantly, the numbers and locations of concurrent sources determine both the complexity of AF and the approach for ablation.In 36 AF patients (n = 29 persistent, 63 ± 9 years) in the CONventional ablation with or without Focal Impulse and Rotor Modulation (CONFIRM) trial, we developed phase lock (PL) to quantify spatial repeatability of ECG 'F-waves' between leads over time. Phase lock spectrally quantifies the angle ? between F-wave voltages in planes formed by ECG leads I, aVF, and V1 at successive points in time. We compared PL with ECG spectral dominant frequency (DF) and organizational index (OI) to characterize stable rotors and focal sources validated by intracardiac FIRM mapping. Focal impulse and rotor modulation ablation alone at ?3 sources acutely terminated and rendered AF non-inducible or substantially slowed AF in 31 of 36 patients. Receiver operating characteristics of PL for this endpoint had area under the curve (AUC) = 0.72, and the optimum cut-point (PL = 0.09) had 74% sensitivity, 92% positive predictive value (PPV). Receiver operating characteristics areas for OI and DF were 0.50 and 0.58, respectively. Left (n = 28) or right (n = 3) atrial sources were localized by PL with AUC = 0.85, sensitivity 100%, PPV 30%, and negative predictive value 100%. Spectral DF provided AUC = 0.79. Notably, PL did not comigrate with diagnosis of paroxysmal or persistent AF (P = NS), unlike ECG DF.The novel metric of ECG PL identifies patients with fewer (?3) or greater numbers of stable rotors/focal sources for AF, validated by intracardiac FIRM mapping, and localized them to right or left atria. These data open the possibility of using 12-lead ECG analyses to classify AF mechanistically and plan procedures for right- or left-sided FIRM ablation.
| S-EPMC3753059 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Few clinical indices identify the propensity of patients to atrial fibrillation (AF) when not in AF. Repolarization alternans has been shown to indicate AF vulnerability, but is limited in its sensitivity to detect changes in action potential (AP) duration (APD), which may be subtle. We hypothesized that spectral analysis would be a more sensitive and robust marker of AP alternans and thus a better clinical index of individual propensity to AF than APD alternans.In 31 patients (12 persistent AF, 15 paroxysmal AF, 4 controls with no AF), we recorded left (n=27) and right (n=6) atrial monophasic APs during incremental pacing from cycle length 500 ms (120 beats per minute) to AF onset. Alternans was measured by APD and spectral analysis. At baseline pacing (median cycle length [1st, 3rd quartiles], 500 ms [500, 500]), APD alternans was detected in only 7 of 27 AF patients (no controls), whereas spectral AP alternans was detected in 18 of 27 AF patients (no controls; P=0.003); AP alternans was more prevalent in persistent than paroxysmal AF, and absent in controls (P=0.018 APD; P=0.042 spectral). Spectral AP alternans magnitude at baseline was highest in persistent AF, with modest rate-dependent amplification, followed by paroxysmal AF, with marked rate dependence, and undetectable in controls until just before induced AF.Spectral AP alternans near baseline rates can identify patients with, versus those without, clinical histories and pathophysiological substrates for AF. Future studies should examine whether the presence of spectral AP alternans during sinus rhythm may obviate the need to actually demonstrate AF, such as on ambulatory ECG monitoring.
| S-EPMC3897260 | biostudies-literature
Project description:This study will report the incidence of atrial fibrillation after elective colorectal cancer resection in the over 65 age group. This will be used to validate a risk model for the development of post-operative atrial fibrillation.
Eligible patients will undergo electrocardiogram based screening for atrial fibrillation, as well as brain natriuretic peptide tests prior to surgery. They will undergo 24 hour holter monitor prior to surgery, and at 30 and 90 days following surgery.
The primary outcome will be occurrence of atrial fibrillation within 90 days of surgery. Secondary outcomes include quality of life change, use of hospital services for atrial fibrillation, and complications of atrial fibrillation. This will be used to validate the pre-existing model for prediction of atrial fibrillation.
| 2312263 | ecrin-mdr-crc
Project description:Abstract Objective To investigate the clinical outcomes of patients who underwent cardioversion compared with those who did not have cardioverson in a large dataset of patients with recent onset non-valvular atrial fibrillation. Design Observational study using prospectively collected registry data (Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD-AF—GARFIELD-AF). Setting 1317 participating sites in 35 countries. Participants 52 057 patients aged 18 years and older with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation (up to six weeks’ duration) and at least one investigator determined stroke risk factor. Main outcome measures Comparisons were made between patients who received cardioversion and those who had no cardioversion at baseline, and between patients who received direct current cardioversion and those who had pharmacological cardioversion. Overlap propensity weighting with Cox proportional hazards models was used to evaluate the effect of cardioversion on clinical endpoints (all cause mortality, non-haemorrhagic stroke or systemic embolism, and major bleeding), adjusting for baseline risk and patient selection. Results 44 201 patients were included in the analysis comparing cardioversion and no cardioversion, and of these, 6595 (14.9%) underwent cardioversion at baseline. The propensity score weighted hazard ratio for all cause mortality in the cardioversion group was 0.74 (95% confidence interval 0.63 to 0.86) from baseline to one year follow-up and 0.77 (0.64 to 0.93) from one year to two year follow-up. Of the 6595 patients who had cardioversion at baseline, 299 had a follow-up cardioversion more than 48 days after enrolment. 7175 patients were assessed in the analysis comparing type of cardioversion: 2427 (33.8%) received pharmacological cardioversion and 4748 (66.2%) had direct current cardioversion. During one year follow-up, event rates (per 100 patient years) for all cause mortality in patients who received direct current and pharmacological cardioversion were 1.36 (1.13 to 1.64) and 1.70 (1.35 to 2.14), respectively. Conclusion In this large dataset of patients with recent onset non-valvular atrial fibrillation, a small proportion were treated with cardioversion. Direct current cardioversion was performed twice as often as pharmacological cardioversion, and there appeared to be no major difference in outcome events for these two cardioversion modalities. For the overall cardioversion group, after adjustments for confounders, a significantly lower risk of mortality was found in patients who received early cardioversion compared with those who did not receive early cardioversion. Study registration ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01090362.
| S-EPMC8548918 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Sepsis may adversely affect bleeding risk in anticoagulated patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), but the impact of warfarin treatment in such patients is poorly described. This registry-based nationwide cohort study examined safety of oral anticoagulant treatment (OAC) in patients with preexisting AF who were hospitalized because of incident sepsis in the period 2000-2015.We identified 3030 AF patients who were warfarin users at the time of sepsis diagnosis, and we used inverse probability of treatment weighting to compare the rates of bleeding, thromboembolic events, and death within 90 days after sepsis diagnosis with a comparable cohort of 55721 patients without warfarin treatment and known AF. Weighted 90-day bleeding rates were slightly higher among warfarin users compared with nonusers (0.14 versus 0.12 per 100 person-years), yielding a weighted hazard ratio of 1.19 (95% confidence interval, 1.00-1.41). Thromboembolic event rates during the 90-days after sepsis were marginally higher among warfarin users versus nonusers (0.04 versus 0.03; hazard ratio: 1.25, 95% confidence interval, 0.89-1.76), while the 90-day all-cause mortality was substantially lower among warfarin users (hazard ratio: 0.64, 95% confidence interval, 0.58-0.69). Various sensitivity analyses conducted to challenge the robustness these findings yielded results that were consistent with the main findings.AF patients who are on warfarin therapy at sepsis diagnosis experienced an increase in bleeding rates within the 3 months following sepsis. Warfarin use was associated with lower mortality, despite virtually comparable thromboembolic event rates.
| S-EPMC5721800 | biostudies-other
Project description:Anti-arrhythmic drug therapy is a frontline treatment for atrial fibrillation (AF), but its success rates are highly variable. This is due to incomplete understanding of the mechanisms of action of specific drugs on the atrial substrate at different stages of AF progression. We aimed to elucidate the role of cellular, tissue and organ level atrial heterogeneities in the generation of a re-entrant substrate during AF progression, and their modulation by the acute action of selected anti-arrhythmic drugs. To explore the complex cell-to-organ mechanisms, a detailed biophysical models of the entire 3D canine atria was developed. The model incorporated atrial geometry and fibre orientation from high-resolution micro-computed tomography, region-specific atrial cell electrophysiology and the effects of progressive AF-induced remodelling. The actions of multi-channel class III anti-arrhythmic agents vernakalant and amiodarone were introduced in the model by inhibiting appropriate ionic channel currents according to experimentally reported concentration-response relationships. AF was initiated by applied ectopic pacing in the pulmonary veins, which led to the generation of localized sustained re-entrant waves (rotors), followed by progressive wave breakdown and rotor multiplication in both atria. The simulated AF scenarios were in agreement with observations in canine models and patients. The 3D atrial simulations revealed that a re-entrant substrate was typically provided by tissue regions of high heterogeneity of action potential duration (APD). Amiodarone increased atrial APD and reduced APD heterogeneity and was more effective in terminating AF than vernakalant, which increased both APD and APD dispersion. In summary, the initiation and sustenance of rotors in AF is linked to atrial APD heterogeneity and APD reduction due to progressive remodelling. Our results suggest that anti-arrhythmic strategies that increase atrial APD without increasing its dispersion are effective in terminating AF.
| S-EPMC5161306 | biostudies-literature
Project description:In addition to being an established complicating factor for myocardial infarction (MI), recent studies have revealed that atrial fibrillation (AF) increased risk of MI. This study is to evaluate the risk of MI associated with AF in a nationwide population based cohort. We examine the association between AF and incident MI in 497,366 adults from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database, who were free of AF and MI at baseline. AF group (n?=?3,295) was compared with propensity matched no-AF group (n?=?13,159). Over 4.2 years of follow up, 137 MI events occurred. AF was associated with 3-fold increased risk of MI (HR, 3.1; 95% CI, 2.22-4.37) in both men (HR, 2.91; 95% CI 1.91-4.45) and women (HR, 3.52; 95% CI 2.01-6.17). The risk of AF-associated MI was higher in patients free of hypertension, diabetes, ischemic stroke, and dyslipidemia at baseline. The cumulative incidence of AF-associated MI was lower in patients on anticoagulant and statin therapies. Our finding suggests that AF complications beyond stoke should extend to total mortality to include MI.
| S-EPMC5629219 | biostudies-literature