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The extent and consequences of p-hacking in science.


ABSTRACT: A focus on novel, confirmatory, and statistically significant results leads to substantial bias in the scientific literature. One type of bias, known as "p-hacking," occurs when researchers collect or select data or statistical analyses until nonsignificant results become significant. Here, we use text-mining to demonstrate that p-hacking is widespread throughout science. We then illustrate how one can test for p-hacking when performing a meta-analysis and show that, while p-hacking is probably common, its effect seems to be weak relative to the real effect sizes being measured. This result suggests that p-hacking probably does not drastically alter scientific consensuses drawn from meta-analyses.

SUBMITTER: Head ML 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4359000 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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The extent and consequences of p-hacking in science.

Head Megan L ML   Holman Luke L   Lanfear Rob R   Kahn Andrew T AT   Jennions Michael D MD  

PLoS biology 20150313 3


A focus on novel, confirmatory, and statistically significant results leads to substantial bias in the scientific literature. One type of bias, known as "p-hacking," occurs when researchers collect or select data or statistical analyses until nonsignificant results become significant. Here, we use text-mining to demonstrate that p-hacking is widespread throughout science. We then illustrate how one can test for p-hacking when performing a meta-analysis and show that, while p-hacking is probably  ...[more]

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