Dataset Information

Prediction of drug clearance in children: an evaluation of the predictive performance of several models.

ABSTRACT: The objective of this study is to evaluate the predictive performance of several models to predict drug clearance in children ?5 years of age. Six models (allometric model (data-dependent exponent), fixed exponent of 0.75 model, maturation model, body weight-dependent model, segmented allometric model, and age-dependent exponent model) were evaluated in this study. From the literature, the clearance values for six drugs from neonates to adults were obtained. External data were used to evaluate the predictive performance of these models in children ?5 years of age. With the exception of a fixed exponent of 0.75, the mean predicted clearance in most of the age groups was within ?50% prediction error. Individual clearance prediction was erratic by all models and cannot be used reliably to predict individual clearance. Maturation, body weight-dependent, and segmented allometric models to predict clearances of drugs in children ?5 years of age are of limited practical value during drug development due to the lack of availability of data. Age-dependent exponent model can be used for the selection of first-in-children dose during drug development.

SUBMITTER: Mahmood I

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4389735 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Prediction of drug clearance in children: an evaluation of the predictive performance of several models.

Mahmood Iftekhar I Staschen Carl-Michael CM Goteti Kosalaram K

The AAPS journal 20141002 6

The objective of this study is to evaluate the predictive performance of several models to predict drug clearance in children ≤5 years of age. Six models (allometric model (data-dependent exponent), fixed exponent of 0.75 model, maturation model, body weight-dependent model, segmented allometric model, and age-dependent exponent model) were evaluated in this study. From the literature, the clearance values for six drugs from neonates to adults were obtained. External data were used to evaluate t ...[more]

PMID: 25274608

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Project description:BackgroundSchizophrenia (SC) is one of the most common mental illnesses. However, the underlying genes that cause it and its effective treatments are unknown. Programmed cell death (PCD) is associated with many immune diseases and plays an important role in schizophrenia, which may be a diagnostic indicator of the disease.MethodsTwo groups as training and validation groups were chosen for schizophrenia datasets from the Gene Expression Omnibus Database (GEO). Furthermore, the PCD-related genes of the 12 patterns were extracted from databases such as KEGG. Limma analysis was performed for differentially expressed genes (DEG) identification and functional enrichment analysis. Machine learning was employed to identify minimum absolute contractions and select operator (LASSO) regression to determine candidate immune-related center genes, construct protein-protein interaction networks (PPI), establish artificial neural networks (ANN), and validate with consensus clustering (CC) analysis, then Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn for diagnosis of schizophrenia. Immune cell infiltration was developed to investigate immune cell dysregulation in schizophrenia, and finally, related drugs with candidate genes were collected via the Network analyst online platform.ResultsIn schizophrenia, 263 genes were crossed between DEG and PCD-related genes, and machine learning was used to select 42 candidate genes. Ten genes with the most significant differences were selected to establish a diagnostic prediction model by differential expression profiling. It was validated using artificial neural networks (ANN) and consensus clustering (CC), while ROC curves were plotted to assess diagnostic value. According to the findings, the predictive model had a high diagnostic value. Immune infiltration analysis revealed significant differences in Cytotoxic and NK cells in schizophrenia patients. Six candidate gene-related drugs were collected from the Network analyst online platform.ConclusionOur study systematically discovered 10 candidate hub genes (DPF2, ATG7, GSK3A, TFDP2, ACVR1, CX3CR1, AP4M1, DEPDC5, NR4A2, and IKBKB). A good diagnostic prediction model was obtained through comprehensive analysis in the training (AUC 0.91, CI 0.95-0.86) and validation group (AUC 0.94, CI 1.00-0.85). Furthermore, drugs that may be useful in the treatment of schizophrenia have been obtained (Valproic Acid, Epigallocatechin gallate).

Project description:BACKGROUND:The application of modeling and simulation approaches in clinical pharmacology studies has gained momentum over the last 20 years. OBJECTIVES:The objective of this study was to develop six empirical models from clearance data obtained from children aged > 2 years and adults to evaluate the suitability of the models to predict drug clearance in children aged ≤ 2 years (preterm, term, and infants). METHODS:Ten drugs were included in this study and administered intravenously: alfentanil, amikacin, busulfan, cefetamet, meperidine, oxycodone, propofol, sufentanil, theophylline, and tobramycin. These drugs were selected according to the availability of individual subjects' weight, age, and clearance data (concentration-time data for these drugs were not available to the author). The chosen drugs are eliminated by extensive metabolism by either the renal route or both the renal and hepatic routes. The six empirical models were (1) age and body weight-dependent sigmoidal maximum possible effect (Emax) maturation model, (2) body weight-dependent sigmoidal Emax model, (3) uridine 5'-diphospho [body weight-dependent allometric exponent model (BDE)], (4) age-dependent allometric exponent model (ADE), (5) a semi-physiological model, and (6) an allometric model developed from children aged > 2 years to adults. The model-predicted clearance values were compared with observed clearance values in an individual child. In this analysis, a prediction error of ≤ 50% for mean or individual clearance values was considered acceptable. RESULTS:Across all age groups and the ten drugs, data for 282 children were compared between observed and model-predicted clearance values. The validation data consisted of 33 observations (sum of different age groups for ten drugs). Only three of the six models (body weight-dependent sigmoidal Emax model, ADE, and semi-physiological model) provided reasonably accurate predictions of clearance (> 80% observation with ≤ 50% prediction error) in children aged ≤ 2 years. In most instances, individual predicted clearance values were erratic (as indicated by % error) and were not in agreement with the observed clearance values. CONCLUSIONS:The study indicated that simple empirical models can provide more accurate results than complex empirical models.

Dataset Information

Prediction of drug clearance in children: an evaluation of the predictive performance of several models.

Publications

Prediction of drug clearance in children: an evaluation of the predictive performance of several models.

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