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Increased prediction accuracy in wheat breeding trials using a marker × environment interaction genomic selection model.

ABSTRACT: Genomic selection (GS) models use genome-wide genetic information to predict genetic values of candidates of selection. Originally, these models were developed without considering genotype × environment interaction(G×E). Several authors have proposed extensions of the single-environment GS model that accommodate G×E using either covariance functions or environmental covariates. In this study, we model G×E using a marker × environment interaction (M×E) GS model; the approach is conceptually simple and can be implemented with existing GS software. We discuss how the model can be implemented by using an explicit regression of phenotypes on markers or using co-variance structures (a genomic best linear unbiased prediction-type model). We used the M×E model to analyze three CIMMYT wheat data sets (W1, W2, and W3), where more than 1000 lines were genotyped using genotyping-by-sequencing and evaluated at CIMMYT's research station in Ciudad Obregon, Mexico, under simulated environmental conditions that covered different irrigation levels, sowing dates and planting systems. We compared the M×E model with a stratified (i.e., within-environment) analysis and with a standard (across-environment) GS model that assumes that effects are constant across environments (i.e., ignoring G×E). The prediction accuracy of the M×E model was substantially greater of that of an across-environment analysis that ignores G×E. Depending on the prediction problem, the M×E model had either similar or greater levels of prediction accuracy than the stratified analyses. The M×E model decomposes marker effects and genomic values into components that are stable across environments (main effects) and others that are environment-specific (interactions). Therefore, in principle, the interaction model could shed light over which variants have effects that are stable across environments and which ones are responsible for G×E. The data set and the scripts required to reproduce the analysis are publicly available as Supporting Information.

SUBMITTER: Lopez-Cruz M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4390573 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Increased prediction accuracy in wheat breeding trials using a marker × environment interaction genomic selection model.

Lopez-Cruz Marco M Crossa Jose J Bonnett David D Dreisigacker Susanne S Poland Jesse J Jannink Jean-Luc JL Singh Ravi P RP Autrique Enrique E de los Campos Gustavo G

G3 (Bethesda, Md.) 20150206 4

Genomic selection (GS) models use genome-wide genetic information to predict genetic values of candidates of selection. Originally, these models were developed without considering genotype × environment interaction(G×E). Several authors have proposed extensions of the single-environment GS model that accommodate G×E using either covariance functions or environmental covariates. In this study, we model G×E using a marker × environment interaction (M×E) GS model; the approach is conceptually simpl ...[more]

PMID: 25660166

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Project description:With the current advances in the development of low-cost high-density array-based DNA marker technologies, cereal breeding programs are increasingly relying on genomic selection as a tool to accelerate the rate of genetic gain in seed quality traits. Different sources of genetic information are being explored, with the most prevalent being combined additive information from marker and pedigree-based data, and their interaction with the environment. In this, there has been mixed evidence on the performance of use of these data. This study undertook an extensive analysis of 907 elite winter barley (Hordeum vulgare L.) lines across multiple environments from two breeding companies. Six genomic prediction models were evaluated to demonstrate the effect of using pedigree and marker information individually and in combination, as well their interactions with the environment. Each model was evaluated using three cross-validation schemes that allows the prediction of newly developed lines (lines that have not been evaluated in any environment), prediction of new or unobserved years, and prediction of newly developed lines in unobserved years. The results showed that the best prediction model depends on the cross-validation scheme employed. In predicting newly developed lines in known environments, marker information had no advantage to pedigree information. Predictions in this scenario also benefited from including genotype-by-environment interaction in the models. However, when predicting lines and years not observed previously, marker information was superior to pedigree data. Nonetheless, such scenarios did not benefit from the addition of genotype-by-environment interaction. A combination of pedigree-based and marker-based information produced a similar or only marginal improvement in prediction ability. It was also discovered that combining populations from the different breeding programs to increase training population size had no advantage in prediction.

Dataset Information

Increased prediction accuracy in wheat breeding trials using a marker × environment interaction genomic selection model.

Publications

Increased prediction accuracy in wheat breeding trials using a marker × environment interaction genomic selection model.

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