Dataset Information

Causal mediation analysis with multiple mediators.

ABSTRACT: In diverse fields of empirical research-including many in the biological sciences-attempts are made to decompose the effect of an exposure on an outcome into its effects via a number of different pathways. For example, we may wish to separate the effect of heavy alcohol consumption on systolic blood pressure (SBP) into effects via body mass index (BMI), via gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT), and via other pathways. Much progress has been made, mainly due to contributions from the field of causal inference, in understanding the precise nature of statistical estimands that capture such intuitive effects, the assumptions under which they can be identified, and statistical methods for doing so. These contributions have focused almost entirely on settings with a single mediator, or a set of mediators considered en bloc; in many applications, however, researchers attempt a much more ambitious decomposition into numerous path-specific effects through many mediators. In this article, we give counterfactual definitions of such path-specific estimands in settings with multiple mediators, when earlier mediators may affect later ones, showing that there are many ways in which decomposition can be done. We discuss the strong assumptions under which the effects are identified, suggesting a sensitivity analysis approach when a particular subset of the assumptions cannot be justified. These ideas are illustrated using data on alcohol consumption, SBP, BMI, and GGT from the Izhevsk Family Study. We aim to bridge the gap from "single mediator theory" to "multiple mediator practice," highlighting the ambitious nature of this endeavor and giving practical suggestions on how to proceed.

SUBMITTER: Daniel RM

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4402024 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Causal mediation analysis with multiple mediators.

Daniel R M RM De Stavola B L BL Cousens S N SN Vansteelandt S S

Biometrics 20141028 1

In diverse fields of empirical research-including many in the biological sciences-attempts are made to decompose the effect of an exposure on an outcome into its effects via a number of different pathways. For example, we may wish to separate the effect of heavy alcohol consumption on systolic blood pressure (SBP) into effects via body mass index (BMI), via gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT), and via other pathways. Much progress has been made, mainly due to contributions from the field of caus ...[more]

PMID: 25351114

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Project description:BackgroundMapping expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs) has provided insight into gene regulation. Compared to cis-eQTLs, the regulatory mechanisms of trans-eQTLs are less known. Previous studies suggest that trans-eQTLs may regulate expression of remote genes by altering the expression of nearby genes. Trans-association has been studied in the mediation analysis with a single mediator. However, prior applications with one mediator are prone to model misspecification due to correlations between genes. Motivated from the observation that trans-eQTLs are more likely to associate with more than one cis-gene than randomly selected SNPs in the GTEx dataset, we developed a computational method to identify trans-eQTLs that are mediated by multiple mediators.ResultsWe proposed two hypothesis tests for testing the total mediation effect (TME) and the component-wise mediation effects (CME), respectively. We demonstrated in simulation studies that the type I error rates were controlled in both tests despite model misspecification. The TME test was more powerful than the CME test when the two mediation effects are in the same direction, while the CME test was more powerful than the TME test when the two mediation effects are in opposite direction. Multiple mediator analysis had increased power to detect mediated trans-eQTLs, especially in large samples. In the HapMap3 data, we identified 11 mediated trans-eQTLs that were not detected by the single mediator analysis in the combined samples of African populations. Moreover, the mediated trans-eQTLs in the HapMap3 samples are more likely to be trait-associated SNPs. In terms of computation, although there is no limit in the number of mediators in our model, analysis takes more time when adding additional mediators. In the analysis of the HapMap3 samples, we included at most 5 cis-gene mediators. Majority of the trios we considered have one or two mediators.ConclusionsTrans-eQTLs are more likely to associate with multiple cis-genes than randomly selected SNPs. Mediation analysis with multiple mediators improves power of identification of mediated trans-eQTLs, especially in large samples.

Dataset Information

Causal mediation analysis with multiple mediators.

Publications

Causal mediation analysis with multiple mediators.

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