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Filtration markers as predictors of ESRD and mortality in Southwestern American Indians with type 2 diabetes.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:A growing number of serum filtration markers are associated with mortality and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in adults. Whether ?-trace protein (BTP) and ?2-microglobulin (B2M) are associated with these outcomes in adults with type 2 diabetes is not known. STUDY DESIGN:Longitudinal cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS:250 Pima Indians with type 2 diabetes (69% women; mean age, 42 years; mean diabetes duration, 11 years). PREDICTORS:Serum BTP, B2M, and glomerular filtration rate measured by iothalamate clearance (mGFR) or estimated using creatinine (eGFRcr) or cystatin C level (eGFRcys). OUTCOMES & MEASUREMENTS:Incident ESRD and all-cause mortality through December 2013. HRs were reported per interquartile range decrease of the inverse of BTP and B2M (1/BTP and 1/B2M) using Cox regression. Improvement in risk prediction with the addition of BTP or B2M level to established markers (eGFRcys with mGFR or eGFRcr) was evaluated using C statistics, continuous net reclassification improvement, and relative integrated discrimination improvement (RIDI). RESULTS:During a median follow-up of 14 years, 69 participants developed ESRD and 95 died. Both novel markers were associated with ESRD in multivariable models. BTP level remained statistically significant after further adjustment for mGFR (1/BTP, 1.53 [95% CI, 1.01-2.30]; 1/B2M, 1.54 [95% CI, 0.98-2.42]). B2M level was associated with mortality in multivariable models and after further adjustment for mGFR (HR, 2.12; 95% CI, 1.38-3.26). The addition of B2M level to established markers increased the C statistic for mortality but only weakly when assessed by either continuous net reclassification improvement or RIDI; none was improved for ESRD by the addition of these markers. LIMITATIONS:Small sample size, single measurements of markers. CONCLUSIONS:In Pima Indians with type 2 diabetes, BTP and, to a lesser extent, B2M levels were associated with ESRD. B2M level was associated with mortality after adjustment for traditional risk factors and established filtration markers. Further studies are warranted to confirm whether inclusion of B2M level in a multimarker approach leads to improved risk prediction for mortality in this population.

SUBMITTER: Foster MC

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4485524 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Filtration markers as predictors of ESRD and mortality in Southwestern American Indians with type 2 diabetes.

Foster Meredith C MC Inker Lesley A LA Hsu Chi-Yuan CY Eckfeldt John H JH Levey Andrew S AS Pavkov Meda E ME Myers Bryan D BD Bennett Peter H PH Kimmel Paul L PL Vasan Ramachandran S RS Coresh Josef J Nelson Robert G RG

American journal of kidney diseases : the official journal of the National Kidney Foundation 20150312 1

<h4>Background</h4>A growing number of serum filtration markers are associated with mortality and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in adults. Whether β-trace protein (BTP) and β2-microglobulin (B2M) are associated with these outcomes in adults with type 2 diabetes is not known.<h4>Study design</h4>Longitudinal cohort study.<h4>Setting & participants</h4>250 Pima Indians with type 2 diabetes (69% women; mean age, 42 years; mean diabetes duration, 11 years).<h4>Predictors</h4>Serum BTP, B2M, and glo ...[more]

PMID: 25773485

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Project description:Background and objectivesSerum ?-trace protein (BTP) and ?-2 microglobulin (B2M) are associated with risk of ESRD and death in the general population and in populations at high risk for these outcomes (GP/HR) and those with CKD, but results differ among studies.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsWe performed an individual patient-level meta-analysis including three GP/HR studies (n=17,903 participants) and three CKD studies (n=5415). We compared associations, risk prediction, and improvement in reclassification of eGFR using BTP (eGFRBTP) and B2M (eGFRB2M) alone and the average (eGFRavg) of eGFRBTP, eGFRB2M, creatinine (eGFRcr), and cystatin C (eGFRcys), to eGFRcr, eGFRcys, and their combination (eGFRcr-cys) for ESRD (2075 events) and death (7275 events).ResultsMean (SD) follow up times for ESRD and mortality for GP/HR and CKD studies were 13 (4), 6.2 (3.2), 14 (5), and 7.5 (3.9) years, respectively. Compared with eGFRcr, eGFRBTP and eGFRB2M improved risk associations and modestly improved prediction for ESRD and death even after adjustment for established risk factors. eGFRavg provided the most consistent improvement in associations and prediction across both outcomes and populations. Assessment of heterogeneity did not yield clinically relevant differences. For ESRD, addition of albuminuria substantially attenuated the improvement in risk prediction and risk classification with novel filtration markers. For mortality, addition of albuminuria did not affect the improvement in risk prediction with the use of novel markers, but lessened improvement in risk classification, especially for the CKD cohort.ConclusionsThese markers do not provide substantial additional prognostic information to eGFRcr and albuminuria, but may be appropriate in circumstances where eGFRcr is not accurate or albuminuria is not available. Educational efforts to increase measurement of albuminuria in clinical practice may be more cost-effective than measurement of BTP and B2M for improving prognostic information.

Project description:BACKGROUND:Using change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) based on creatinine concentration as a surrogate outcome in clinical trials of chronic kidney disease has been proposed. Risk for end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and all-cause mortality associated with change in concentrations of other filtration markers has not been studied in chronic kidney disease populations. STUDY DESIGN:Observational analysis of 2 clinical trials. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS:Participants in the MDRD (Modification of Diet in Renal Disease; n=317) Study and AASK (African American Study of Kidney Disease and Hypertension; n=373). PREDICTORS:Creatinine, cystatin C, ?-trace protein (BTP), and ?2-microglobulin (B2M) were measured in serum samples collected at the 12- and 24-month follow-up visits, along with measured GFR (mGFR) at these time points. OUTCOMES:ESRD and all-cause mortality. MEASUREMENTS:Poisson regression was used to estimate incidence rate ratios and 95% CIs for ESRD and all-cause mortality during long-term follow-up (10-16 years) per 30% decline in mGFR or eGFR for each filtration marker and the average of all 4 markers. RESULTS:1-year decline in mGFR, eGFRcr, eGFRBTP, and the average of the 4 filtration markers was significantly associated with increased risk for incident ESRD in both studies (all P?0.02). Compared to mGFR, only decline in eGFRBTP was statistically significantly more strongly associated with ESRD risk in both studies (both P?0.03). Decline in eGFRcr, but not mGFR or the other filtration markers, was significantly associated with risk for all-cause mortality in AASK only (incidence rate ratio per 30% decline, 4.17; 95% CI, 1.78-9.74; P<0.001), but this association was not significantly different from decline in mGFR (P=0.2). LIMITATIONS:Small sample size. CONCLUSIONS:Declines in mGFR, eGFRcr, eGFRBTP, and the average of 4 filtration markers (creatinine, cystatin C, BTP, and B2M) were consistently associated with progression to ESRD.

Project description:Background and objectivesDiabetes is the leading cause of kidney failure in the United States, but early structural determinants of renal function loss in type 2 diabetes are poorly defined. We examined the association between morphometrically determined renal structural variables and loss of renal function in 111 American Indians with type 2 diabetes who volunteered for a research kidney biopsy at the end of a 6-year clinical trial designed to test the renoprotective efficacy of losartan versus placebo. Participants were subsequently followed in an observational study, in which annual measurements of GFR (iothalamate) initiated during the clinical trial were continued.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsRenal function loss was defined as ≥40% loss of GFR from the research examination performed at the time of kidney biopsy. Associations with renal function loss were evaluated by Cox proportional hazards regression. Hazard ratios (HRs) were reported per 1-SD increment for each morphometric variable.ResultsOf 111 participants (82% women; baseline mean [±SD] age, 46 years old [±10]; diabetes duration, 16 years [±6]; hemoglobin A1c =9.4% [±2.2]; GFR=147 ml/min [±56]; median albumin-to-creatinine ratio, 41 mg/g [interquartile range, 13-158]), 51 (46%) developed renal function loss during a median follow-up of 6.6 years (interquartile range, 3.1-9.0). Fourteen had baseline GFR <90 ml/min, and three had baseline GFR <60 ml/min. Higher mesangial fractional volume (HR, 2.27; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.58 to 3.26), percentage of global glomerular sclerosis (HR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.21 to 2.21), nonpodocyte cell number per glomerulus (HR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.10 to 2.05), glomerular basement membrane width (HR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.05 to 2.08), mean glomerular volume (HR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.96), and podocyte foot process width (HR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.03 to 1.60); lower glomerular filtration surface density (HR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.41 to 0.94); and fewer endothelial fenestrations (HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.48 to 0.95) were each associated with GFR decline after adjustment for baseline age, sex, duration of diabetes, hemoglobin A1c, GFR, and treatment assignment during the clinical trial.ConclusionsQuantitative measures of glomerular structure predict loss of renal function in type 2 diabetes.

Project description:BACKGROUNDWe aimed to determine whether metabolic syndrome (MetS) affects longitudinal trajectories of diabetic complications, including neuropathy, cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy (CAN), and kidney disease in American Indians with type 2 diabetes.METHODSWe performed a prospective study where participants underwent annual metabolic phenotyping and outcome measurements. The updated National Cholesterol Education Program criteria were used to define MetS and its individual components, using BMI instead of waist circumference. Neuropathy was defined using the Michigan Neuropathy Screening Instrument index, CAN with the expiration/inspiration ratio, and kidney disease with glomerular filtration rate. Mixed-effects models were used to evaluate associations between MetS and these outcomes.RESULTSWe enrolled 141 participants: 73.1% female, a mean (±SD) age of 49.8 (12.3), and a diabetes duration of 19.6 years (9.7 years) who were followed for a mean of 3.1 years (1.7 years). MetS components were stable during follow-up except for declining obesity and cholesterol. Neuropathy (point estimate [PE]: 0.30, 95% CI: 0.24, 0.35) and kidney disease (PE: -14.2, 95% CI: -16.8, -11.4) worsened over time, but CAN did not (PE: -0.002, 95% CI: -0.006, 0.002). We found a significant interaction between the number of MetS components and time for neuropathy (PE: 0.05, 95% CI: 0.01-0.10) but not CAN (PE: -0.003, 95% CI: -0.007, 0.001) or kidney disease (PE: -0.69, 95% CI: -3.16, 1.76). Systolic blood pressure (SBP, unit = 10 mmHg) was associated with each complication: neuropathy (PE: 0.23, 95% CI: 0.07, 0.39), CAN (PE: -0.02, 95% CI: -0.03, -0.02), and kidney disease (PE: -10.2, 95% CI: -15.4, -5.1).CONCLUSIONIn participants with longstanding diabetes, neuropathy and kidney disease worsened during follow-up, despite stable to improving MetS components, suggesting that early metabolic intervention is necessary to prevent complications in such patients. Additionally, the number of MetS components was associated with an increased rate of neuropathy progression, and SBP was associated with each complication.FUNDINGThe following are funding sources: NIH T32NS0007222, NIH R24DK082841, NIH R21NS102924, NIH R01DK115687, the Intramural Program of the NIDDK, the NeuroNetwork for Emerging Therapies, the Robert and Katherine Jacobs Environmental Health Initiative, the Robert E. Nederlander Sr. Program for Alzheimer's Research, and the Sinai Medical Staff Foundation.TRIAL REGISTRATIONClinicalTrials.gov, NCT00340678.

Project description:BACKGROUND:New filtration markers, including ?-trace protein (BTP) and ??-microglobulin (B2M), may, similar to cystatin C, enable a stronger prediction of mortality compared to serum creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcr). We sought to evaluate these mortality associations in a representative sample of US adults. STUDY DESIGN:Prospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS:6,445 adults 20 years or older from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1988-1994) with mortality linkage through December 31, 2006. PREDICTORS:Serum cystatin C, BTP, and B2M levels and eGFRcr categorized into quintiles, with the highest quintile (lowest for eGFRcr) split into tertiles (subquintiles Q5a-Q5c). OUTCOMES:All-cause, cardiovascular disease, and coronary heart disease mortality. MEASUREMENTS:Demographic- and multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS:During follow-up, 2,392 deaths (cardiovascular, 1,079; coronary heart disease, 605) occurred. Levels of all 4 filtration markers were associated with mortality risk after adjusting for demographics (P trend<0.02). Adjusted for mortality risk factors, compared to the middle quintile, the highest subquintiles for cystatin C (Q5c: HR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.43-2.62), BTP (Q5c: HR, 2.14; 95% CI, 1.56-2.94), and B2M (Q5c: HR, 2.58; 95% CI, 1.96-3.41) were associated with increased all-cause mortality risk, whereas the association was weaker for eGFRcr (Q5c: HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.84-2.04). Associations persisted for the novel markers and not for eGFRcr at eGFRcr ?60 mL/min/1.73 m². Trends were similar for cardiovascular disease and coronary heart disease mortality. LIMITATIONS:Single measurements of markers from long-term stored samples. CONCLUSIONS:The strong association of cystatin C level with mortality compared with serum creatinine estimates is shared by BTP and B2M. This supports the utility of alternative filtration markers beyond creatinine when improved risk prediction related to decreased GFR is needed.

Dataset Information

Filtration markers as predictors of ESRD and mortality in Southwestern American Indians with type 2 diabetes.

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Filtration markers as predictors of ESRD and mortality in Southwestern American Indians with type 2 diabetes.

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