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Predictors of end-stage renal disease in the urban poor.

ABSTRACT: We sought to examine the influence of social and clinical factors on risk of progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in the urban poor. We studied 15,353 individuals with moderate-to-advanced CKD who received ambulatory care within a large public health system during 1996-2005. The primary outcome was progression to ESRD. Overall, 559 cases of ESRD occurred over a median follow-up of 2.8 years. Among traditional predictors of ESRD, younger age, male sex, non-White race/ethnicity, public health insurance coverage, diabetes, lower kidney function, higher proteinuria, lower hemoglobin level, and lower serum albumin concentration were significantly associated with a higher adjusted ESRD risk (p<.001 for all). There was no significant association between HIV/AIDS (p=.07), viral hepatitis (p=.11), or non-English language (p=.27) and ESRD risk. Our results highlight the importance of addressing traditional risk factors for progressive CKD to reduce the disproportionate burden of ESRD among disadvantaged populations.

SUBMITTER: Hall YN

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4504426 | biostudies-literature | 2013 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Predictors of end-stage renal disease in the urban poor.

Hall Yoshio N YN Choi Andy I AI Xu Ping P Smith Nicholas L NL Boyko Edward J EJ

Journal of health care for the poor and underserved 20131101 4

We sought to examine the influence of social and clinical factors on risk of progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in the urban poor. We studied 15,353 individuals with moderate-to-advanced CKD who received ambulatory care within a large public health system during 1996-2005. The primary outcome was progression to ESRD. Overall, 559 cases of ESRD occurred over a median follow-up of 2.8 years. Among traditional predictors of ESRD, younger age, male sex, non ...[more]

PMID: 24185164

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Project description:IntroductionProteomic profiling of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients could lead to improved risk prediction and novel insights into cardiovascular disease mechanisms. Plasma levels of 92 cardiovascular disease-associated proteins were assessed by proximity extension assay (Proseek Multiplex CVD-1, Olink Bioscience, Uppsala, Sweden) in a discovery cohort of dialysis patients, the Mapping of Inflammatory Markers in Chronic Kidney disease cohort [MIMICK; n?=?183, 55% women, mean age 63 years, 46 cardiovascular deaths during follow-up (mean 43 months)]. Significant results were replicated in the incident and prevalent hemodialysis arm of the Salford Kidney Study [SKS dialysis study, n?=?186, 73% women, mean age 62 years, 45 cardiovascular deaths during follow-up (mean 12 months)], and in the CKD5-LD-RTxcohort with assessments of coronary artery calcium (CAC)-score by cardiac computed tomography (n?=?89, 37% women, mean age 46 years).ResultsIn age and sex-adjusted Cox regression in MIMICK, 11 plasma proteins were nominally associated with cardiovascular mortality (in order of significance: Kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1), Matrix metalloproteinase-7, Tumour necrosis factor receptor 2, Interleukin-6, Matrix metalloproteinase-1, Brain-natriuretic peptide, ST2 protein, Hepatocyte growth factor, TNF-related apoptosis inducing ligand receptor-2, Spondin-1, and Fibroblast growth factor 25). Only plasma KIM-1 was associated with cardiovascular mortality after correction for multiple testing, but also after adjustment for dialysis vintage, cardiovascular risk factors and inflammation (hazard ratio) per standard deviation (SD) increase 1.84, 95% CI 1.26-2.69, p?=?0.002. Addition of KIM-1, or nine of the most informative proteins to an established risk-score (modified AROii CVM-score) improved discrimination of cardiovascular mortality risk from C?=?0.777 to C?=?0.799 and C?=?0.823, respectively. In the SKS dialysis study, KIM-1 predicted cardiovascular mortality in age and sex adjusted models (hazard ratio per SD increase 1.45, 95% CI 1.03-2.05, p?=?0.034) and higher KIM-1 was associated with higher CACscores in the CKD5-LD-RTx-cohort.ConclusionsOur proteomics approach identified plasma KIM-1 as a risk marker for cardiovascular mortality and coronary artery calcification in three independent ESRD-cohorts. The improved risk prediction for cardiovascular mortality by plasma proteomics merit further studies.

Project description:OBJECTIVE:Serum albumin is a marker of malnutrition and inflammation and has been demonstrated as a strong predictor of mortality in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients. Yet, whether serum albumin levels in late-stage CKD are associated with adverse outcomes after the transition to ESRD is unknown. We hypothesize that lower levels and a decline in serum albumin in late-stage CKD are associated with higher risk of mortality and hospitalization rates 1 year after transition to ESRD. DESIGN AND METHODS:This retrospective cohort study included 29,124 US veterans with advanced CKD transitioning to ESRD between 2007 and 2015. We evaluated the association of pre-ESRD (91 days before transition) serum albumin with 12-month post-ESRD all-cause, cardiovascular, and infection-related mortalities and hospitalization rates as well as the association of 1-year pre-ESRD albumin slope and 12-month post-ESRD mortality using hierarchical multivariable adjustments. RESULTS:There was a negative linear association between serum albumin and all-cause mortality, such that risk doubled (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.07, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.87, 2.28) for patients with the lowest serum albumin <2.8 g/dL (ref: ?4.0 g/dL) after full adjustment. A consistent relationship was observed between serum albumin and cardiovascular and infection-related mortality, and hospitalization outcomes. An increase in serum albumin of >0.25 g/dL/year was associated with reduced mortality risk (HR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.63, 0.91) compared with a slight decline in albumin (ref: >-0.25 to 0 g/dL/year), whereas a decline more than 0.5 g/dL/year was associated with a 55% higher risk in mortality (HR: 1.55, 95% CI: 1.43, 1.68) in fully adjusted models. CONCLUSIONS:Lower pre-ESRD serum albumin was associated with higher post-ESRD all-cause, cardiovascular, and infection-related mortalities and hospitalization rates. Declining serum albumin levels in the pre-ESRD period were also associated with worse 12-month post-ESRD mortality.

Project description:BackgroundPrevious studies have demonstrated that early pre-end-stage renal disease (ESRD) nephrology care could improve postdialysis prognosis. However, less is known about the specific types of interventions responsible for the improved outcomes. We hypothesized that more frequent predialysis laboratory testing is associated with better postdialysis outcomes in incident ESRD patients.MethodsIn all, 23?089 patients with available outpatient laboratory tests performed during the 2-year predialysis (i.e. prelude) period were identified from a total of 52?172 American veterans with chronic kidney disease (CKD) transitioning to dialysis between October 2007 and September 2011. The associations between the frequency of combined laboratory tests, including serum creatinine, serum potassium and hemoglobin (test trio), with postdialysis mortality and hospitalization were examined in multivariable adjusted Cox and logistic regression models.ResultsWhen entering the 2-year prelude period, the mean age (Standard Deviation) of the patients was 66.2 (SD 11.3)?years and the mean estimated glomerular filtration rate was 46.8 (SD 23.9)?mL/min/1.73 m2. In all, 14% of patients had the test trio performed less than twice in 24?months and 8.9% had the trio measured more often than every other month. Over a 2.5-year median postdialysis follow-up period, 15?303 (66.3%) patients died (mortality rate 260/1000 patient-years). The adjusted hazard ratio of all-cause mortality and adjusted odds ratio of the composite of hospitalization or death associated with lab testing done >12/24?months compared with 2-?4/24 months were 0.68 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.65-0.73] and 0.70 (95% CI 0.62-0.79), respectively.ConclusionsMore frequent laboratory testing in patients with advanced CKD is associated with better clinical outcomes after dialysis. Further examination in clinical trials is needed before the implementation of more frequent laboratory testing in clinical practice.

Project description:BackgroundEvidence is lacking to inform providers' and patients' decisions about many common treatment strategies for patients with end stage renal disease (ESRD).Methods/designThe DEcIDE Patient Outcomes in ESRD Study is funded by the United States (US) Agency for Health Care Research and Quality to study the comparative effectiveness of: 1) antihypertensive therapies, 2) early versus later initiation of dialysis, and 3) intravenous iron therapies on clinical outcomes in patients with ESRD. Ongoing studies utilize four existing, nationally representative cohorts of patients with ESRD, including (1) the Choices for Healthy Outcomes in Caring for ESRD study (1041 incident dialysis patients recruited from October 1995 to June 1999 with complete outcome ascertainment through 2009), (2) the Dialysis Clinic Inc (45,124 incident dialysis patients initiating and receiving their care from 2003-2010 with complete outcome ascertainment through 2010), (3) the United States Renal Data System (333,308 incident dialysis patients from 2006-2009 with complete outcome ascertainment through 2010), and (4) the Cleveland Clinic Foundation Chronic Kidney Disease Registry (53,399 patients with chronic kidney disease with outcome ascertainment from 2005 through 2009). We ascertain patient reported outcomes (i.e., health-related quality of life), morbidity, and mortality using clinical and administrative data, and data obtained from national death indices. We use advanced statistical methods (e.g., propensity scoring and marginal structural modeling) to account for potential biases of our study designs. All data are de-identified for analyses. The conduct of studies and dissemination of findings are guided by input from Stakeholders in the ESRD community.DiscussionThe DEcIDE Patient Outcomes in ESRD Study will provide needed evidence regarding the effectiveness of common treatments employed for dialysis patients. Carefully planned dissemination strategies to the ESRD community will enhance studies' impact on clinical care and patients' outcomes.

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Predictors of end-stage renal disease in the urban poor.

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Predictors of end-stage renal disease in the urban poor.

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