Dataset Information

The Pneumonia Severity Index as a Predictor of In-Hospital Mortality in Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

ABSTRACT: To determine whether the pneumonia severity index (PSI) can predict in-hospital mortality for AECOPD patients and compare its usefulness with the CURB65 and BAP65 indexes to predict mortality.Demographics, clinical signs and symptoms, comorbidities, and laboratory and radiographic findings of hospitalized AECOPD patients were obtained. Univariate and multiple logistic regression analyses were used to identify the risk factors for in-hospital mortality. The PSI, CURB65 and BAP65 scores were calculated. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to identify the PSI, CURB65 and BAP65 scores that could discriminate between non-survivors and survivors. To control for the confounding factor of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) regarding the mortality of AECOPD, subgroup analysis was performed when excluded patients who had met the criteria of IMV but who had not received the cure of IMV according to their wishes.During the in-hospital period, 73 patients died and 679 patients recovered. Age, PaO2<60 mmHg, pH < 7.35, PaCO2?50 mmHg, nursing home residency, congestive heart failure, liver disease, sodium<130 mmol/L, lower FEV1% and altered mental status were risk factors for in-hospital mortality. The areas under the ROC curves (AUCs) of the PSI for death were 0.847 (95% CI: 0.799-0.895). The cut-off value was 116.5 with a sensitivity of 82.2% and a specificity of 77.6%. However, the AUCs of the CURB65 and BAP65 for death were only 0.744 (95% CI: 0.680-0.809) and 0.665 (95% CI: 0.594-0.736), respectively. Subgroup analysis also showed that the PSI score could predict the mortality of AECOPD patients with an AUC = 0.857 (95% CI: 0.802-0.913), with exclusion of the patients who met the criteria of IMV but who did not receive the cure of IMV.The PSI score may be used to predict in-hospital mortality for hospitalized AECOPD patients, with a prognostic capacity superior to CURB65 and BAP65.

SUBMITTER: Hu G

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4506124 | biostudies-literature | 2015

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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The Pneumonia Severity Index as a Predictor of In-Hospital Mortality in Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Hu Guoping G Zhou Yumin Y Wu Yankui Y Yu Yan Y Liang Weiqiang W Ran Pixin P

PloS one 20150717 7

<h4>Objective</h4>To determine whether the pneumonia severity index (PSI) can predict in-hospital mortality for AECOPD patients and compare its usefulness with the CURB65 and BAP65 indexes to predict mortality.<h4>Methods</h4>Demographics, clinical signs and symptoms, comorbidities, and laboratory and radiographic findings of hospitalized AECOPD patients were obtained. Univariate and multiple logistic regression analyses were used to identify the risk factors for in-hospital mortality. The PSI, ...[more]

PMID: 26186637

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Project description:BACKGROUND: Patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) can experience 'exacerbations' of their conditions. An exacerbation is an event defined in terms of subjective descriptors or symptoms, namely dyspnoea, cough and sputum that worsen sufficiently to warrant a change in medical management. There is a need for reliable markers that reflect the pathological mechanisms that underlie exacerbation severity and that can be used as a surrogate to assess treatment effects in clinical studies. Little is known as to how existing study variables and suggested markers change in both the stable and exacerbation phases of COPD. In an attempt to find the best surrogates for exacerbations, we have reviewed the literature to identify which of these markers change in a consistent manner with the severity of the exacerbation event. METHODS: We have searched standard databases between 1966 to July 2004 using major keywords and terms. Studies that provided demographics, spirometry, potential markers, and clear eligibility criteria were included in this study. Central tendencies and dispersions for all the variables and markers reported and collected by us were first tabulated according to sample size and ATS/ERS 2004 Exacerbation Severity Levels I to III criteria. Due to the possible similarity of patients in Levels II and III, the data was also redefined into categories of exacerbations, namely out-patient (Level I) and in-patient (Levels II & III combined). For both approaches, we performed a fixed effect meta-analysis on each of the reported variables. RESULTS: We included a total of 268 studies reported between 1979 to July 2004. These studies investigated 142,407 patients with COPD. Arterial carbon dioxide tension and breathing rate were statistically different between all levels of exacerbation severity and between in out- and in-patient settings. Most other measures showed weak relationships with either level or setting, or they had insufficient data to permit meta-analysis. CONCLUSION: Arterial carbon dioxide and breathing rate varied in a consistent manner with exacerbation severity and patient setting. Many other measures showed weak correlations that should be further explored in future longitudinal studies or assessed using suggested mathematical modelling techniques.

Project description:ObjectivesThis study was conducted to assess the association between the Dyspnea, Eosinopenia, Consolidation, Acidemia and Atrial Fibrillation (DECAF) scores and the prognosis of patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD), to evaluate the specific predictive and prognostic value of DECAF scores and to explore the effectiveness of different cut-off values in risk stratification of patients with AECOPD.DesignSystematic review and meta-analysis.ParticipantsAdult patients diagnosed with AECOPD (over 18 years of age).Primary and secondary outcome measuresElectronic databases, including the Cochrane Library, PubMed, the Embase and the WOS, and the reference lists in related articles were searched for studies published up to September 2019. The identified studies reported the prognostic value of DECAF scores in patients with AECOPD.ResultsSeventeen studies involving 8329 participants were included in the study. Quantitative analysis demonstrated that elevated DECAF scores were associated with high mortality risk (weighted mean difference=1.87; 95% CI 1.19 to 2.56). In the accuracy analysis, DECAF scores showed good prognostic accuracy for both in-hospital and 30-day mortality (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.83 (0.79-0.86) and 0.79 (0.76-0.83), respectively). When the prognostic value was compared with that of other scoring systems, DECAF scores showed better prognostic accuracy and stable clinical values than the modified DECAF; COPD and Asthma Physiology Score; BUN, Altered mental status, Pulse and age >65; Confusion, Urea, Respiratory Rate, Blood pressure and age >65; or Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores.ConclusionThe DECAF score is an effective and feasible predictor for short-term mortality. As a specific and easily scored predictor for patients with AECOPD, DECAF score is superior to other prognostic scores. The DECAF score can correctly identify most patients with AECOPD as low risk, and with the increase of cut-off value, the risk stratification of DECAF score in high-risk population increases significantly.

Project description:Rationale: As chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) prevalence in women has outpaced that in men, COPD-related hospitalization and mortality are now higher in women. Presentation, evaluation, and treatment of COPD differ between women and men. Despite higher smoking rates in Veterans, little work has characterized differences in Veterans with COPD by sex. Objectives: To determine risk factors for 30-day readmission among Veterans hospitalized for COPD exacerbations and how they differed by sex. Methods: We performed a retrospective observational analysis of Veterans receiving primary care in Veterans Health Affairs facilities. We included Veterans Administration-based hospitalizations for Veterans with a COPD exacerbation (identified by International Classification of Disease, Ninth Revision codes) who survived to discharge between fiscal years 2012 and 2015. Primary outcome was 30-day readmission. Predictors ascertained before hospitalization included smoking status (current, former, never), pulmonary function testing, pulmonary medication prescriptions, and medical and psychiatric comorbidities (identified by International Classification of Disease, ninth revision codes). We created combined and sex-stratified multivariate logistic regression models to identify associations with 30-day readmission. Results: Our sample included 48,888 Veterans (4% women). Compared with men, women Veterans were younger, more likely to be nonwhite, and differed in smoking status. Women were more likely to have asthma, drug use, and several psychiatric comorbidities. Before hospitalization, women were less likely to have pulmonary function testing (76% vs. 78%; P = 0.01) or be treated with antimuscarinic (43% vs. 48%) or combined long-acting bronchodilator/inhaled corticosteroid (61% vs. 64%) inhalers. Women were more likely to receive nicotine-replacement therapy (all P < 0.01). Women had shorter length of stay (median days, 2 vs. 3; P = 0.04) and lower 30-day readmission rate (20% vs. 22%; P = 0.01). In adjusted models including both sexes, age, antimuscarinic use, comorbidities, and diagnosis of drug or alcohol use were associated with readmission; there was no association with sex and readmission risk. In models stratified by sex, associations were similar between women and men. Conclusions: This study suggests differences between women and men hospitalized for COPD regarding presentation, evaluation, and management. Readmission is strongly influenced by comorbidities, suggesting individualized and comprehensive case management may reduce readmission risk for women and men with COPD.

Dataset Information

The Pneumonia Severity Index as a Predictor of In-Hospital Mortality in Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Publications

The Pneumonia Severity Index as a Predictor of In-Hospital Mortality in Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

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