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Blood pressure and mortality: using offspring blood pressure as an instrument for own blood pressure in the HUNT study.


ABSTRACT: Given that observational associations may be inaccurate, we used offspring blood pressure (BP) to provide alternative estimates of the associations between own BP and mortality. Observational associations between BP and mortality, estimated as hazard ratios (HRs) from Cox regression, were compared to HRs obtained using offspring BP as an instrumental variable (IV) for own BP (N?=?32,227 mother-offspring and 27,535 father-offspring pairs). Observationally, there were positive associations between own BP and mortality from all-causes, cardiovascular disease (CVD), coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke and diabetes. Point estimates of the associations between BP and mortality from all-causes, CVD and CHD were amplified in magnitude when using offspring BP as an IV. For example, the HR for all-cause mortality per standard deviation (SD) increase in own systolic BP (SBP) obtained in conventional observational analyses increased from 1.10 (95% CI: 1.09-1.12; P?

SUBMITTER: Wade KH 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4510525 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Blood pressure and mortality: using offspring blood pressure as an instrument for own blood pressure in the HUNT study.

Wade Kaitlin H KH   Carslake David D   Nilsen Tom Ivar TI   Timpson Nicholas J NJ   Davey Smith George G   Romundstad Pål P  

Scientific reports 20150722


Given that observational associations may be inaccurate, we used offspring blood pressure (BP) to provide alternative estimates of the associations between own BP and mortality. Observational associations between BP and mortality, estimated as hazard ratios (HRs) from Cox regression, were compared to HRs obtained using offspring BP as an instrumental variable (IV) for own BP (N = 32,227 mother-offspring and 27,535 father-offspring pairs). Observationally, there were positive associations between  ...[more]

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