Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Guzzetta G
PROVIDER: S-EPMC4522372 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Sep
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Guzzetta Giorgio G Ajelli Marco M Yang Zhenhua Z Mukasa Leonard N LN Patil Naveen N Bates Joseph H JH Kirschner Denise E DE Merler Stefano S
Journal of theoretical biology 20150605
Comprehensive assessment of the effectiveness of contact investigations for tuberculosis (TB) control is still lacking. In this study, we use a computational model, calibrated against notification data from Arkansas during the period 2001-2011, that reproduces independent data on key features of TB transmission and epidemiology. The model estimates that the Arkansas contact investigations program has avoided 18.6% (12.1-25.9%) of TB cases and 23.7% (16.4-30.6%) of TB deaths that would have occur ...[more]