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The Envy of Scholars: Applying the Lessons of the Framingham Heart Study to the Prevention of Chronic Kidney Disease.

ABSTRACT: During the past 50 years, a dramatic reduction in the mortality rate associated with cardiovascular disease has occurred in the US and other countries. Statistical modeling has revealed that approximately half of this reduction is the result of risk factor mitigation. The successful identification of such risk factors was pioneered and has continued with the Framingham Heart Study, which began in 1949 as a project of the US National Heart Institute (now part of the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute). Decreases in total cholesterol, blood pressure, smoking, and physical inactivity account for 24%, 20%, 12%, and 5% reductions in the mortality rate, respectively. Nephrology was designated as a recognized medical professional specialty a few years later. Hemodialysis was first performed in 1943. The US Medicare End-Stage Renal Disease (ESRD) Program was established in 1972. The number of patients in the program increased from 5,000 in the first year to more than 500,000 in recent years. Only recently have efforts for risk factor identification, early diagnosis, and prevention of chronic kidney disease (CKD) been undertaken. By applying the approach of the Framingham Heart Study to address CKD risk factors, we hope to mirror the success of cardiology; we aim to prevent progression to ESRD and to avoid the cardiovascular complications associated with CKD. In this paper, we present conceptual examples of risk factor modification for CKD, in the setting of this historical framework.

SUBMITTER: Wasser WG

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4524402 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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The Envy of Scholars: Applying the Lessons of the Framingham Heart Study to the Prevention of Chronic Kidney Disease.

Wasser Walter G WG Gil Amnon A Skorecki Karl L KL

Rambam Maimonides medical journal 20150730 3

During the past 50 years, a dramatic reduction in the mortality rate associated with cardiovascular disease has occurred in the US and other countries. Statistical modeling has revealed that approximately half of this reduction is the result of risk factor mitigation. The successful identification of such risk factors was pioneered and has continued with the Framingham Heart Study, which began in 1949 as a project of the US National Heart Institute (now part of the National Heart, Lung, and Bloo ...[more]

PMID: 26241225

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Project description:Background Data are limited on the association of mildly reduced estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR 60-89 mL/min per 1.73 m2) with cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the community. Methods and Results We evaluated 3066 Framingham Offspring Study participants (55% women, mean age 58 years), without clinical CVD. Using multivariable regression, we related categories of mildly reduced eGFR (80-89, 70-79, or 60-69 versus ≥90 mL/min per 1.73 m2 [referent]) to prevalent coronary artery calcium, carotid intima media thickness, and left ventricular hypertrophy, and to circulating concentrations of cardiac stress biomarkers. We related eGFR categories to CVD incidence and to progression to ≥Stage 3 chronic kidney disease (eGFR <60 mL/min per 1.73 m2) using Cox regression. Individuals with eGFR 60-69 mL/min per 1.73 m2 (n=320) had higher coronary artery calcium score (odds ratio 1.69; 95% CI 1.02-2.80) compared with the referent group. Individuals with eGFR 60-69 and 70-79 mL/min per 1.73 m2 had higher blood growth differentiating factor-15 concentrations (β=0.131 and 0.058 per unit-increase in log-biomarker, respectively). Participants with eGFR 60-69 and 80-89 mL/min per 1.73 m2 had higher blood B-type natriuretic peptide concentrations (β=0.119 and 0.116, respectively). On follow-up (median 16 years; 691 incident CVD and 252 chronic kidney disease events), individuals with eGFR 60-69 and 70-79 mL/min per 1.73 m2 experienced higher CVD incidence (hazard ratio [HR], 1.40; 95% CI, 1.02-1.93 and 1.45, 95% CI, 1.05-2.00, respectively, versus referent). Participants with eGFR 60-69 mL/min per 1.73 m2 experienced higher chronic kidney disease incidence (HR, 2.94; 95% CI, 1.80-4.78 versus referent). Conclusions Individuals with mildly reduced eGFR 60-69 mL/min per 1.73 m2 have a higher burden of subclinical atherosclerosis cross-sectionally, and a greater risk of CVD and chronic kidney disease progression prospectively. Additional studies are warranted to confirm our findings.

Project description:BackgroundBiomarkers common to chronic kidney disease (CKD) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) may reflect early impairments underlying both diseases.MethodsWe evaluated associations of 71 CVD-related plasma proteins measured in 2,873 Framingham Heart Study (FHS) Offspring cohort participants with cross-sectional continuous eGFR and with longitudinal change in eGFR from baseline to follow-up (ΔeGFR). We also evaluated the associations of the 71 CVD proteins with the following dichotomous secondary outcomes: prevalent CKD stage ≥3 (cross-sectional), new-onset CKD stage ≥3 (longitudinal), and rapid decline in eGFR (longitudinal). Proteins significantly associated with eGFR and ΔeGFR were subsequently validated in 3,951 FHS Third Generation cohort participants and were tested using Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to infer putatively causal relations between plasma protein biomarkers and kidney function.ResultsIn cross-sectional analysis, 37 protein biomarkers were significantly associated with eGFR at FDR<0.05 in the FHS Offspring cohort and 20 of these validated in the FHS Third Generation cohort at p<0.05/37. In longitudinal analysis, 27 protein biomarkers were significantly associated with ΔeGFR at FDR<0.05 and 12 of these were validated in the FHS Third Generation cohort at p<0.05/27. Additionally, 35 protein biomarkers were significantly associated with prevalent CKD, five were significantly associated with new-onset CKD, and 17 were significantly associated with rapid decline in eGFR. MR suggested putatively causal relations of melanoma cell adhesion molecule (MCAM; -0.011±0.003 mL/min/1.73m2, p = 5.11E-5) and epidermal growth factor-containing fibulin-like extracellular matrix protein 1 (EFEMP1; -0.006±0.002 mL/min/1.73m2, p = 0.0001) concentration with eGFR.Discussion/conclusionsEight protein biomarkers were consistently associated with eGFR in cross-sectional and longitudinal analysis in both cohorts and may capture early kidney impairment; others were implicated in association and causal inference analyses. A subset of CVD protein biomarkers may contribute causally to the pathogenesis of kidney impairment and should be studied as targets for CKD treatment and early prevention.

Dataset Information

The Envy of Scholars: Applying the Lessons of the Framingham Heart Study to the Prevention of Chronic Kidney Disease.

Publications

The Envy of Scholars: Applying the Lessons of the Framingham Heart Study to the Prevention of Chronic Kidney Disease.

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