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Using bayesian models to assess the effects of under-reporting of cannabis use on the association with birth defects, national birth defects prevention study, 1997-2005.

ABSTRACT: Studies on associations between periconceptional cannabis exposure and birth defects have mainly relied on self-reported exposure. Therefore, the results may be biased due to under-reporting of the exposure. The aim of this study was to quantify the potential effects of this form of exposure misclassification.Using multivariable logistic regression, we re-analysed associations between periconceptional cannabis use and 20 specific birth defects using data from the National Birth Defects Prevention Study from 1997-2005 for 13?859 case infants and 6556 control infants. For seven birth defects, we implemented four Bayesian models based on various assumptions concerning the sensitivity of self-reported cannabis use to estimate odds ratios (ORs), adjusted for confounding and under-reporting of the exposure. We used information on sensitivity of self-reported cannabis use from the literature for prior assumptions.The results unadjusted for under-reporting of the exposure showed an association between cannabis use and anencephaly (posterior OR 1.9 [95% credible interval (CRI) 1.1, 3.2]) which persisted after adjustment for potential exposure misclassification. Initially, no statistically significant associations were observed between cannabis use and the other birth defect categories studied. Although adjustment for under-reporting did not notably change these effect estimates, cannabis use was associated with esophageal atresia (posterior OR 1.7 [95% CRI 1.0, 2.9]), diaphragmatic hernia (posterior OR 1.8 [95% CRI 1.1, 3.0]), and gastroschisis (posterior OR 1.7 [95% CRI 1.2, 2.3]) after correction for exposure misclassification.Under-reporting of the exposure may have obscured some cannabis-birth defect associations in previous studies. However, the resulting bias is likely to be limited.

SUBMITTER: van Gelder MM

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4532339 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Using bayesian models to assess the effects of under-reporting of cannabis use on the association with birth defects, national birth defects prevention study, 1997-2005.

van Gelder Marleen M H J MM Donders A Rogier T AR Devine Owen O Roeleveld Nel N Reefhuis Jennita J

Paediatric and perinatal epidemiology 20140826 5

<h4>Background</h4>Studies on associations between periconceptional cannabis exposure and birth defects have mainly relied on self-reported exposure. Therefore, the results may be biased due to under-reporting of the exposure. The aim of this study was to quantify the potential effects of this form of exposure misclassification.<h4>Methods</h4>Using multivariable logistic regression, we re-analysed associations between periconceptional cannabis use and 20 specific birth defects using data from t ...[more]

PMID: 25155701

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Project description:BackgroundGastroschisis is particularly prevalent among offspring of young women and has increased over recent decades. Although previous studies suggest that maternal alcohol consumption is associated with increased gastroschisis risk, none have explored whether maternal age modifies that association.ObjectiveThe objective of the study was to evaluate associations between self-reported maternal periconceptional alcohol consumption (1 month prior through the third month after conception) and risk of gastroschisis among offspring, by maternal age.MethodsWe used data from the National Birth Defects Prevention Study (NBDPS), a multi-site population-based case-control study. The analysis included 1450 gastroschisis cases and 11,829 unaffected liveborn controls delivered during 1997-2011 in ten US states. We estimated adjusted odds ratios (aOR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the individual and joint effects of alcohol consumption and young maternal age at delivery (<25 years vs ≥25 years) on gastroschisis risk. We estimated the relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI) to quantify additive interaction.ResultsPericonceptional alcohol consumption was common regardless of maternal age (women <25 years: cases 38.8%, controls 29.3%; women ≥25: cases 43.5%, controls 39.5%). Compared with women ≥25 years who did not consume alcohol, we observed increased risk of gastroschisis among women <25 years, with higher estimates among those who consumed alcohol (women <25 years who did not consume alcohol. aOR 5.90, 95% CI 4.89, 7.11; women <25 years who did consume alcohol: aOR 8.21, 95% CI 6.69, 10.07). Alcohol consumption among women ≥25 years was not associated with gastroschisis (aOR 1.12, 95% CI 0.88, 1.42). This suggests super-additive interaction between alcohol consumption and maternal age (RERI -2.19, 95% CI 1.02, 3.36).ConclusionsPericonceptional alcohol consumption may disproportionately increase risk of gastroschisis among young mothers. Our findings support public health recommendations to abstain from alcohol consumption during pregnancy.

Dataset Information

Using bayesian models to assess the effects of under-reporting of cannabis use on the association with birth defects, national birth defects prevention study, 1997-2005.

Publications

Using bayesian models to assess the effects of under-reporting of cannabis use on the association with birth defects, national birth defects prevention study, 1997-2005.

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