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ABSTRACT: Background
Few studies have prospectively evaluated the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in children and adolescents, as well as factors associated with progression.Study design
Prospective multicenter observational cohort study.Setting & participants
496 children and adolescents with CKD enrolled in the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children (CKiD) Study.Predictors
Proteinuria, hypoalbuminemia, blood pressure, dyslipidemia, and anemia.Outcomes
Parametric failure-time models were used to characterize adjusted associations between baseline levels and changes in predictors and time to a composite event of renal replacement therapy or 50% decline in glomerular filtration rate (GFR).Results
398 patients had nonglomerular disease and 98 had glomerular disease; of these, 29% and 41%, respectively, progressed to the composite event after median follow-ups of 5.2 and 3.7 years, respectively. Demographic and clinical characteristics and outcomes differed substantially according to the underlying diagnosis; hence, risk factors for progression were assessed in stratified analyses, and formal interactions by diagnosis were performed. Among patients with nonglomerular disease and after adjusting for baseline GFR, times to the composite event were significantly shorter with urinary protein-creatinine ratio > 2mg/mg, hypoalbuminemia, elevated blood pressure, dyslipidemia, male sex, and anemia, by 79%, 69%, 38%, 40%, 38%, and 45%, respectively. Among patients with glomerular disease, urinary protein-creatinine ratio >2mg/mg, hypoalbuminemia, and elevated blood pressure were associated with significantly reduced times to the composite event by 94%, 71%, and 67%, respectively. Variables expressing change in patient clinical status over the initial year of the study contributed significantly to the model, which was cross-validated internally.Limitations
Small number of events in glomerular patients and use of internal cross-validation.Conclusions
Characterization and modeling of risk factors for CKD progression can be used to predict the extent to which these factors, either alone or in combination, would shorten the time to renal replacement therapy or 50% decline in GFR in children with CKD.
SUBMITTER: Warady BA
PROVIDER: S-EPMC4578873 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Jun
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Warady Bradley A BA Abraham Alison G AG Schwartz George J GJ Wong Craig S CS Muñoz Alvaro A Betoko Aisha A Mitsnefes Mark M Kaskel Frederick F Greenbaum Larry A LA Mak Robert H RH Flynn Joseph J Moxey-Mims Marva M MM Furth Susan S
American journal of kidney diseases : the official journal of the National Kidney Foundation 20150319 6
<h4>Background</h4>Few studies have prospectively evaluated the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in children and adolescents, as well as factors associated with progression.<h4>Study design</h4>Prospective multicenter observational cohort study.<h4>Setting & participants</h4>496 children and adolescents with CKD enrolled in the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children (CKiD) Study.<h4>Predictors</h4>Proteinuria, hypoalbuminemia, blood pressure, dyslipidemia, and anemia.<h4>Outcomes</h4>Para ...[more]