Dataset Information

Persistent high serum bicarbonate and the risk of heart failure in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD): A report from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Serum bicarbonate varies over time in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients, and this variability may portend poor cardiovascular outcomes. The aim of this study was to conduct a time-updated longitudinal analysis to evaluate the association of serum bicarbonate with long-term clinical outcomes: heart failure, atherosclerotic events, renal events (halving of estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] or end-stage renal disease), and mortality.

Methods and results

Serum bicarbonate was measured annually, in 3586 participants with CKD, enrolled in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study. Marginal structural models were created to allow for integration of all available bicarbonate measurements and proper adjustment for time-dependent confounding. During the 6 years follow-up, 512 participants developed congestive heart failure (26/1000 person-years) and 749 developed renal events (37/1000 person-years). The risk of heart failure and death was significantly higher for participants who maintained serum bicarbonate >26 mmol/L for the entire duration of follow-up (hazard ratio [HR] 1.66; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.23 to 2.23, and HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.82, respectively) compared with participants who kept their bicarbonate 22 to 26 mmol/L, after adjusting for demographics, co-morbidities, medications including diuretics, eGFR, and proteinuria. Participants who maintained serum bicarbonate <22 mmol/L had almost a 2-fold increased risk of renal disease progression (HR 1.97; 95% CI, 1.50 to 2.57) compared with participants with bicarbonate 22 to 26 mmol/L.

Conclusion

In this large CKD cohort, persistent serum bicarbonate >26 mmol/L was associated with increased risk of heart failure events and mortality. Further studies are needed to determine the optimal range of serum bicarbonate in CKD to prevent adverse clinical outcomes.

SUBMITTER: Dobre M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4579944 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Similar Datasets

Project description:Rationale & objectiveDysnatremias have been associated with an increased risk of mortality in the chronic kidney disease (CKD) population. Our objective is to identify the prevalence of and risk factors associated with dysnatremias in a CKD population and assess the association of dysnatremias with kidney failure and mortality among patients with CKD enrolled in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study.Study designAnalysis of prospective cohort study.Setting & participantsAdult patients aged 21-74 years with CKD from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort study.PredictorsBaseline and time-dependent hyponatremia and hypernatremia.OutcomesAll-cause mortality and kidney failure.Analytical approachBaseline characteristics were compared using χ2 tests for categorical variables, analysis of variance for age, and Kruskal-Wallis tests for laboratory variables. Cox proportional hazards models and competing risk models were used to evaluate the association between baseline sodium level and overall mortality.ResultsOf a total of 5,444 patients with CKD, 486 (9%) had hyponatremia and 53 (1%) had hypernatremia. Altogether, 1,508 patients died and 1,206 reached kidney failure. In adjusted Cox models, time-dependent dysnatremias were strongly associated with mortality for both hyponatremia (HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.16-1.64) and hypernatremia (HR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.04-2.29). Factors associated with hyponatremia included female sex, diabetes, and hypertension. Regardless of age, time-dependent hypernatremia was associated with an increased risk of kidney failure (HR, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.06-2.53). Baseline and time-dependent hyponatremia were associated with an increased risk of kidney failure in patients younger than 65 (baseline hyponatremia HR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.03-1.64 and time-dependent hyponatremia HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.09-1.70) but not among patients aged >65 years.LimitationsInability to establish causality and lack of generalizability to hospitalized patients.ConclusionsDysnatremias are prevalent among ambulatory CKD patients and are associated with mortality and kidney failure. Time-dependent dysnatremias were significantly associated with mortality in patients with CKD. Time-dependent hypernatremia was associated with progression to kidney failure. Baseline and time-dependent hyponatremia were associated with an increased risk of progression to kidney failure in those younger than 65 years.

Project description:Rationale & objectiveLow serum magnesium level has been shown to be associated with increased mortality, but its role as a predictor of cardiovascular disease is unclear. This study evaluates the association between serum magnesium level and cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality in a large cohort of individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD).Study designProspective cohort study.Setting & participants3,867 participants with CKD, enrolled in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.ExposuresSerum magnesium measured at study baseline.OutcomesComposite cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, cerebrovascular accident, heart failure, and peripheral arterial disease) and all-cause mortality.Analytical approachCox proportional hazards models adjusted for demographic, clinical, and laboratory characteristics.ResultsDuring the 14.6 (4.4) years (standard deviation) of follow-up, 1,384 participants died (36/1,000 person-years), and 1,227 (40/1,000 person-years) had a composite cardiovascular event. There was a nonlinear association between serum magnesium level and all-cause mortality. Low and high magnesium levels were associated with greater rates of all-cause mortality after adjusting for demographics, comorbid conditions, medications including diuretics, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and proteinuria (P < 0.001). No significant associations were observed between serum magnesium levels and the composite cardiovascular events. Low serum magnesium level was associated with incident atrial fibrillation (HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.01-1.82; P = 0.04).LimitationsSingle measurement of serum magnesium.ConclusionsIn this large CKD cohort, serum magnesium level < 1.9 mg/dL and >2.1 mg/dL was associated with increased risk for all-cause mortality. Low magnesium level was associated with incident atrial fibrillation but not with composite cardiovascular disease events. Further studies are needed to determine the optimal range of serum magnesium in CKD to prevent adverse clinical outcomes.

Project description:Rationale & objectiveQuality of life in chronic kidney disease (CKD) is impaired by a large burden of symptoms including some that overlap with the symptoms of heart failure (HF). We studied a group of individuals with CKD to understand the patterns and trajectories of HF-type symptoms in this setting.Study designProspective cohort study.Setting & participants3,044 participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) without prior diagnosis of HF.PredictorsSociodemographics, medical history, medications, vital signs, laboratory values, echocardiographic and electrocardiographic parameters.OutcomeTrajectory over 5.5 years of a HF-type symptom score (modified Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire [KCCQ] Overall Summary Score with a range of 0-100 where<75 reflects clinically significant symptoms).Analytical approachLatent class mixed models were used to model trajectories. Multinomial logistic regression was used to model relationships of predictors with trajectory group membership.ResultsFive trajectories of KCCQ score were identified in the cohort of 3,044 adults, 45% of whom were female, and whose median age was 61 years. Group 1 (41.7%) had a stable high score (minimal symptoms, average score of 96); groups 2 (35.6%) and 3 (15.6%) had stable but lower scores (mild symptoms [average of 81] and clinically significant symptoms [average of 52], respectively). Group 4 (4.9%) had a substantial worsening in symptoms over time (mean 31-point decline), and group 5 (2.2%) had a substantial improvement (mean 33-point increase) in KCCQ score. A majority of group 1 was male, without diabetes or obesity, and this group had higher baseline kidney function. A majority of groups 2 and 3 had diabetes and obesity. A majority of group 4 was male and had substantial proteinuria. Group 5 had the highest proportion of baseline cardiovascular disease (CVD).LimitationsNo validation cohort available, CKD management changes in recent years may alter trajectories, and latent class models depend on the missing at random assumption.ConclusionsDistinct HF-type symptom burden trajectories were identified in the setting of CKD, corresponding to different baseline characteristics. These results highlight the diversity of HF-type symptom experiences in individuals with CKD.

Project description:Rationale & objectiveThe clinical significance of isolated diastolic hypertension in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is unclear. We assessed the prevalence of isolated diastolic hypertension and its association with adverse kidney and cardiovascular outcomes in participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study.Study designProspective cohort study.Setting & populationCRIC study participants with complete baseline data on systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) (N=5,621).ExposureIsolated diastolic hypertension defined as SBP ≤ 130 mm Hg and DBP >80 mm Hg.Reference groupNormotension, defined as SBP ≤ 130 mm Hg and DBP ≤ 80 mm Hg.OutcomesComposite kidney events (50% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate or onset of kidney failure), composite cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, heart failure, stroke, or peripheral arterial disease), and all-cause mortality.Analytical approachCox proportional hazards models adjusted for demographic, health behavior, and clinical covariates.ResultsOf the 5,621 participants, 347 (6.2%) had isolated diastolic hypertension. Among the 347 participants with isolated diastolic hypertension, there was no association between isolated diastolic hypertension and the composite kidney outcome (HR, 1.17; 95% CI, 0.93-1.47; P = 0.18), composite cardiovascular events (HR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.65-1.27; P = 0.58), or all-cause mortality (HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.57-1.19; P = 0.30).LimitationsOlder age of cohort and low number of participants of Asian ethnicity limit generalizability of findings. A relatively small sample size is inadequate to detect modest associations with outcomes.ConclusionsIsolated diastolic hypertension was not associated with the risk of adverse kidney and cardiovascular events in participants with CKD.Plain language summaryClinicians frequently encounter patients with kidney disease who have controlled systolic blood pressure (BP) but high diastolic BP and do not know whether they should intensify BP treatment in an attempt to control the diastolic BP. We examined whether having controlled systolic BP but uncontrolled diastolic BP leads to worse heart and kidney outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease. We did not find any such association. However, our study was relatively small and had a number of limitations. Till larger studies confirm or refute this finding, we recommend not increasing blood pressure medications to improve the diastolic BP control if the systolic BP is already well controlled in patients with chronic kidney disease.

Project description:RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE:Coronary artery calcification (CAC) is prevalent among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and increases risks for cardiovascular disease events and mortality. We hypothesized that a novel serum measure of calcification propensity is associated with CAC among patients with CKD stages 2 to 4. STUDY DESIGN:Prospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS:Participants from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study with baseline (n=1,274) and follow-up (n=780) CAC measurements. PREDICTORS:Calcification propensity, quantified as transformation time (T50) from primary to secondary calciprotein particles, with lower T50 corresponding to higher calcification propensity. Covariates included age, sex, race/ethnicity, clinical site, estimated glomerular filtration rate, proteinuria, diabetes, systolic blood pressure, number of antihypertensive medications, current smoking, history of cardiovascular disease, total cholesterol level, and use of statin medications. OUTCOMES:CAC prevalence, severity, incidence, and progression. ANALYTICAL APPROACH:Multivariable-adjusted generalized linear models. RESULTS:At baseline, 824 (65%) participants had prevalent CAC. After multivariable adjustment, T50 was not associated with CAC prevalence but was significantly associated with greater CAC severity among participants with prevalent CAC: 1-SD lower T50 was associated with 21% (95% CI, 6%-38%) greater CAC severity. Among 780 participants followed up an average of 3 years later, 65 (20%) without baseline CAC developed incident CAC, while 89 (19%) with baseline CAC had progression, defined as annual increase≥100 Agatston units. After multivariable adjustment, T50 was not associated with incident CAC but was significantly associated with CAC progression: 1-SD lower T50 was associated with 28% (95% CI, 7%-53%) higher risk for CAC progression. LIMITATIONS:Potential selection bias in follow-up analyses; inability to distinguish intimal from medial calcification. CONCLUSIONS:Among patients with CKD stages 2 to 4, higher serum calcification propensity is associated with more severe CAC and CAC progression.

Project description:Rationale & objectiveMatrix metalloproteinase 2 (MMP-2) plays an important role in the development of fibrosis, the final common pathway of chronic kidney disease (CKD). This study aimed to assess the relationship between repeated measures of MMP-2 and CKD progression in a large, diverse prospective cohort.Study designIn a prospective cohort of Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) participants (N = 3,827), MMP-2 was measured at baseline. In a case-cohort design, MMP-2 was additionally measured at year 2 in a randomly selected subcohort and cases of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) halving or kidney replacement therapy (KRT) (N = 1,439).Setting & participantsCRIC is a multicenter prospective cohort of adults with CKD.ExposureMMP-2 measured in plasma at baseline and at year 2.OutcomesA composite kidney endpoint (KRT/eGFR halving).Analytical approachWeighted Cox proportional hazards models for case-cohort participants.ResultsParticipants were followed for a median of 4.6 years from year 2 and 6.9 years from the baseline. Persistently elevated MMP-2 (≥300 ng/mL at both baseline and year 2) increased the hazard of the composite kidney endpoint (HR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.07-2.42; P = 0.09) after adjusting for covariates. The relationship of persistently elevated MMP-2 was modified by levels of inflammation, with a 2.6 times higher rate of the composite kidney endpoint in those with high-sensitivity C-reactive protein < 2.5 g/dL at study entry. Heterogeneity of effect was found with proteinuria, with a baseline MMP-2 level of ≥300 ng/mL associated with an increased risk of the composite kidney endpoint (HR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.09-1.54) only with proteinuria ≥ 442 mg/g.LimitationsThe observational study design limits causal interpretation.ConclusionsElevated MMP-2 is associated with CKD progression, particularly among those with low inflammation and those with proteinuria. Future investigations are warranted to confirm the reduction in risk of CKD progression among these subgroups of patients with CKD.

Project description:BACKGROUND:People with advanced chronic kidney disease are at risk for the development of end-stage renal disease (ESRD), but also many other adverse outcomes, including cardiovascular disease (CVD) events and death. Determination of risk factors that explain the variability in prognosis and timing of these adverse outcomes can aid patient counseling and medical decision making. STUDY DESIGN:Prospective research cohort. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS:1,798 participants with estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRs)<30mL/min/1.73m2 in the CRIC Study were followed up for a median of 5.5 years. PREDICTORS:Age, race, sex, eGFR, proteinuria, diabetes mellitus, body mass index, ejection fraction, systolic blood pressure, history of CVD, and smoking history. OUTCOMES:ESRD, CVD (congestive heart failure, stroke, myocardial infarction, and peripheral artery disease), and death. RESULTS:Baseline age of the cohort was 60 years, 46% were women, and 46% were African American. Although 52.3% of participants progressed to ESRD during follow-up, the path by which this occurred was variable. For example, predicted 1-year probabilities for a hypothetical 60-year-old white woman with eGFR of 30mL/min/1.73m2, urine protein excretion of 1.8g/d, and no diabetes or CVD (risk characteristics similar to the average participant) were 3.3%, 4.1%, and 0.3%, for first developing CVD, ESRD, and death, respectively. For a 40-year-old African American man with similar characteristics but higher systolic blood pressure, the corresponding 1-year probabilities were 2.4%, 13.2%, and 0.1%. For all participants, the development of ESRD or CVD increased the risk for subsequent mortality, with no differences by patient race or body mass index. LIMITATIONS:The CRIC population was specifically recruited for kidney disease, and the vast majority had seen a nephrologist. CONCLUSIONS:The prognosis and timing of adverse outcomes in chronic kidney disease vary by patient characteristics. These results may help guide the development of personalized approaches for managing patients with advanced CKD.

Project description:Rationale & objectiveFew studies have investigated racial disparities in acute kidney injury (AKI), in contrast to the extensive literature on racial differences in the risk of kidney failure. We sought to study potential differences in risk in the setting of chronic kidney disease (CKD).Study designProspective cohort study.Setting & participantsWe studied 2,720 self-identified Black or White participants with CKD enrolled in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study from July 1, 2013, to December 31, 2017.ExposureSelf-reported race (Black vs White).OutcomeHospitalized AKI (≥50% increase from nadir to peak serum creatinine).Analytical approachCox regression models adjusting for demographics (age and sex), prehospitalization clinical risk factors (diabetes, blood pressure, cardiovascular disease, estimated glomerular filtration rate, proteinuria, receipt of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin-receptor blockers), and socioeconomic status (insurance status and education level). In a subset of participants with genotype data, we adjusted for apolipoprotein L1 gene (APOL1) high-risk status and sickle cell trait.ResultsBlack participants (n = 1,266) were younger but had a higher burden of prehospitalization clinical risk factors. The incidence rate of first AKI hospitalization among Black participants was 6.3 (95% CI, 5.5-7.2) per 100 person-years versus 5.3 (95% CI, 4.6-6.1) per 100 person-years among White participants. In an unadjusted Cox regression model, Black participants were at a modestly increased risk of incident AKI (HR, 1.22 [95% CI, 1.01-1.48]) compared with White participants. However, this risk was attenuated and no longer significant after adjusting for prehospitalization clinical risk factors (adjusted HR, 1.02 [95% CI, 0.83-1.25]). There were only 11 AKI hospitalizations among individuals with high-risk APOL1 risk status and 14 AKI hospitalizations among individuals with sickle cell trait.LimitationsParticipants were limited to research volunteers and potentially not fully representative of all CKD patients.ConclusionsIn this multicenter prospective cohort of CKD patients, racial disparities in AKI incidence were modest and were explained by differences in prehospitalization clinical risk factors.

Project description:Rationale & objectiveThere are limited data about the prevalence and prognostic significance of orthostatic hypo- and hypertension in patients with chronic kidney disease. The objective of this study is to determine the prevalence of orthostatic hypo- and hypertension in a cohort of patients with chronic kidney disease and examine their association with clinical outcomes.Study designProspective cohort study: Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.Setting & population7 clinical centers, participants with chronic kidney disease.ExposuresOrthostatic hypotension (decline in systolic blood pressure [BP] > 20 mm Hg) and orthostatic hypertension (increase in systolic BP > 20 mm Hg) from seated to standing position.OutcomesCardiovascular and kidney outcomes and mortality.Analytical approachLogistic regression was used to determine factors associated with orthostatic hypo- and hypertension; Cox regression was used to examine associations with clinical outcomes.ResultsMean age of study population (n = 3,873) was 58.1 ± 11.0 years. There was a wide distribution of change in systolic BP from seated to standing (from -73.3 to +60.0 mm Hg); 180 participants (4.6%) had orthostatic hypotension and 81 (2.1%) had orthostatic hypertension. Diabetes, reduced body mass index, and β-blocker use were independently associated with orthostatic hypotension. Black race and higher body mass index were independently associated with orthostatic hypertension. After a median follow-up of 7.9 years, orthostatic hypotension was independently associated with high risk for cardiovascular (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.03-1.21) but not kidney outcomes or mortality. Orthostatic hypertension was independently associated with high risk for kidney (HR, 1.51; 96% CI, 1.14-1.97) but not cardiovascular outcomes or mortality.LimitationsOrthostatic change in BP was ascertained at a single visit.ConclusionsOrthostatic hypotension was independently associated with higher risk for cardiovascular outcomes, whereas orthostatic hypertension was associated with higher risk for kidney outcomes. These findings highlight the importance of orthostatic BP measurement in practice and the need for future investigation to understand the mechanisms and potential interventions to minimize the risk associated with orthostatic changes in BP.