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Patterns and predictors of early mortality in incident hemodialysis patients: new insights.

ABSTRACT: Incident hemodialysis patients have the highest mortality in the first several months after starting dialysis treatments. We hypothesized that the patterns and risk factors associated with this early mortality differ from those in later dialysis therapy periods.We examined mortality patterns and predictors during the first several months of hemodialysis treatment in 18,707 incident patients since the first week of hemodialysis therapy and estimated the population attributable fractions for selected time periods in the first 24 months.The 18,707 incident hemodialysis patients were 45% women and 54% diabetics. The standardized mortality ratios (95% confidence interval) in the 1st to 3rd month of hemodialysis therapy were 1.81 (1.74-1.88), 1.79 (1.72-1.86), and 1.34 (1.27-1.40), respectively. The standardized mortality ratio reached prevalent mortality only by the 7th month. No survival advantage for African Americans existed in the first 6 months. Patients with low albumin <3.5 g/dl had the highest proportion of infection-related deaths while patients with higher albumin levels had higher cardiovascular deaths including 76% of deaths during the first 3 months. Use of catheter as vascular access and hypoalbuminemia <3.5 g/dl explained 34% (17-54%) and 33% (19-45%) of all deaths in the first 90 days, respectively.Incident hemodialysis patients have the highest mortality during the first 6 months including 80% higher death risk in the first 2 months. The presence of a central venous catheter and hypoalbuminemia <3.5 g/dl each explain one third of all deaths in the first 90 days.

SUBMITTER: Lukowsky LR

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4587354 | biostudies-literature | 2012

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Patterns and predictors of early mortality in incident hemodialysis patients: new insights.

Lukowsky Lilia R LR Kheifets Leeka L Arah Onyebuchi A OA Nissenson Allen R AR Kalantar-Zadeh Kamyar K

American journal of nephrology 20120606 6

<h4>Background</h4>Incident hemodialysis patients have the highest mortality in the first several months after starting dialysis treatments. We hypothesized that the patterns and risk factors associated with this early mortality differ from those in later dialysis therapy periods.<h4>Methods</h4>We examined mortality patterns and predictors during the first several months of hemodialysis treatment in 18,707 incident patients since the first week of hemodialysis therapy and estimated the populati ...[more]

PMID: 22677686

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Project description:In the general population, low serum magnesium levels are associated with poor outcomes and death. While limited data suggest that low baseline magnesium levels may be associated with higher mortality in hemodialysis (HD) patients, the impact of changes in magnesium levels over time is unknown.We examined the association of time-varying serum magnesium levels with all-cause mortality using multivariable time-varying survival models adjusted for clinical characteristics and other time-varying laboratory measures.9,359 maintenance HD patients treated in a large dialysis organization between 2007 and 2011.Time-varying serum magnesium levels across 5 magnesium increments (<1.8, 1.8-<2.0, 2.0-<2.2, 2.2-<2.4, and ?2.4mg/dL).All-cause mortality.2,636 individuals died over 5 years. Time-varying serum magnesium levels < 2.0mg/dL were associated with higher mortality after adjustment for demographics and comorbid conditions, including hypertension, diabetes, and malignancies (reference: magnesium, 2.2-<2.4mg/dL): adjusted HRs for serum magnesium level < 1.8 and 1.8 to <2.0mg/dL were 1.39 (95% CI, 1.23-1.58; P<0.001) and 1.20 (95% CI, 1.06-1.36; P=0.004), respectively. Some associations were attenuated to the null after incremental adjustment for laboratory test results, particularly serum albumin. However, among patients with serum albumin measurements, low albumin level (<3.5g/dL) and magnesium level < 2.0mg/dL were associated with an additional death risk (adjusted HR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.05-1.31; P=0.004), whereas patients with high serum albumin levels (?3.5g/dL) exhibited low death risk (adjusted HRs of 0.53 and 0.53 [P?0.001] for magnesium < 2.0 and ?2.0mg/dL, respectively; reference: albumin < 3.5g/dL and magnesium ? 2.0mg/dL).Causality cannot be determined, and residual confounding cannot be excluded given the observational study design.Lower serum magnesium levels are associated with higher mortality in HD patients, including those with hypoalbuminemia. Interventional studies are warranted to examine whether correction of hypomagnesemia ameliorates adverse outcomes in this population.

Dataset Information

Patterns and predictors of early mortality in incident hemodialysis patients: new insights.

Publications

Patterns and predictors of early mortality in incident hemodialysis patients: new insights.

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