Modeling the Health Effects of Expanding e-Cigarette Sales in the United States and United Kingdom: A Monte Carlo Analysis.

ABSTRACT:

Importance

The prevalence of electronic cigarette (e-cigarette) use is increasing. Population health effects will depend on cigarette smoking behaviors, levels of dual use with conventional cigarettes, and e-cigarette toxicity.

Objective

To evaluate potential health effects of various scenarios of increasing promotion and use of e-cigarettes.

Design, setting, and participants

A base case model was developed using data on actual cigarette and e-cigarette use patterns that quantifies transitions from an initial state of no cigarette or e-cigarette use to 1 of 5 final states: never use of cigarettes or e-cigarettes, cigarette use, e-cigarette use, dual use of cigarettes and e-cigarettes, or quit. Seven scenarios were created that cover a range of use patterns, depending

SUBMITTER: Kalkhoran S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4594196 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature