Estimating malaria transmission from humans to mosquitoes in a noisy landscape.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Reiner RC
PROVIDER: S-EPMC4614487 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Oct
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Estimating malaria transmission from humans to mosquitoes in a noisy landscape.
Reiner Robert C RC Guerra Carlos C Donnelly Martin J MJ Bousema Teun T Drakeley Chris C Smith David L DL
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 20151001 111
A basic quantitative understanding of malaria transmission requires measuring the probability a mosquito becomes infected after feeding on a human. Parasite prevalence in mosquitoes is highly age-dependent, and the unknown age-structure of fluctuating mosquito populations impedes estimation. Here, we simulate mosquito infection dynamics, where mosquito recruitment is modelled seasonally with fractional Brownian noise, and we develop methods for estimating mosquito infection rates. We find that n ...[more]
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