Dataset Information

Stroke and recurrent haemorrhage associated with antithrombotic treatment after gastrointestinal bleeding in patients with atrial fibrillation: nationwide cohort study.

ABSTRACT:

Study question

What are the risks of all cause mortality, thromboembolism, major bleeding, and recurrent gastrointestinal bleeding associated with restarting antithrombotic treatment after gastrointestinal bleeding in patients with atrial fibrillation?

Methods

This Danish cohort study (1996-2012) included all patients with atrial fibrillation discharged from hospital after gastrointestinal bleeding while receiving antithrombotic treatment. Restarted treatment regimens were single or combined antithrombotic drugs with oral anticoagulation and antiplatelets. Follow-up started 90 days after discharge to avoid confounding from use of previously prescribed drugs on discharge. Risks of all cause mortality, thromboembolism, major bleeding, and recurrent gastrointestinal bleeding were estimated with competing risks models and time dependent multiple Cox regression models.

Study answer and limitations

4602 patients (mean age 78 years) were included. Within two years, 39.9% (95% confidence interval 38.4% to 41.3%, n=1745) of the patients had died, 12.0% (11.0% to 13.0%, n=526) had experienced thromboembolism, 17.7% (16.5% to 18.8%, n=788) major bleeding, and 12.1% (11.1% to 13.1%, n=546) recurrent gastrointestinal bleeding. 27.1% (n=924) of patients did not resume antithrombotic treatment. Compared with non-resumption of treatment, a reduced risk of all cause mortality was found in association with restart of oral anticoagulation (hazard ratio 0.39, 95% confidence interval 0.34 to 0.46), an antiplatelet agent (0.76, 0.68 to 0.86), and oral anticoagulation plus an antiplatelet agent (0.41, 0.32 to 0.52), and a reduced risk of thromboembolism was found in association with restart of oral anticoagulation (0.41, 0.31 to 0.54), an antiplatelet agent (0.76, 0.61 to 0.95), and oral anticoagulation plus an antiplatelet agent (0.54, 0.36 to 0.82). Restarting oral anticoagulation alone was the only regimen with an increased risk of major bleeding (1.37, 1.06 to 1.77) compared with non-resumption of treatment; however, the difference in risk of recurrent gastrointestinal bleeding was not significant between patients who restarted an antithrombotic treatment regimen and those who did not resume treatment.

What this study adds

Among patients with atrial fibrillation who experience gastrointestinal bleeding while receiving antithrombotic treatment; subsequent restart of oral anticoagulation alone was associated with better outcomes for all cause mortality and thromboembolism compared with patients who did not resume treatment. This was despite an increased longitudinal associated risk of bleeding.

Funding, competing interests, data sharing

This study was supported by a grant from Boehringer-Ingelheim. Competing interests are available in the full paper on bmj.com. The authors have no additional data to share.

SUBMITTER: Staerk L

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4646074 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundUse of oral anticoagulation therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) involves a trade-off between a reduced risk of ischemic stroke and an increased risk of bleeding events. Different anticoagulation therapies have different safety profiles and data on the societal costs of both ischemic stroke and bleeding events are necessary for assessing the cost-effectiveness and budgetary impact of different treatment options. To our knowledge, no previous studies have estimated the societal costs of bleeding events in patients with AF. The objective of this study was to estimate the 3-years societal costs of first-incident intracranial, gastrointestinal and other major bleeding events in Danish patients with AF.MethodsThe study was an incidence-based cost-of-illness study carried out from a societal perspective and based on data from national Danish registries covering the period 2002-2012. Costs were estimated using a propensity score matching and multivariable regression analysis (first difference OLS) in a cohort design.ResultsAverage 3-years societal costs attributable to intracranial, gastrointestinal and other major bleeding events were 27,627, 17,868, and 12,384 EUR per patient, respectively (2015 prices). Existing evidence shows that the corresponding costs of ischemic stroke were 24,084 EUR per patient (2012 prices). The average costs of bleeding events did not differ between patients with AF who were on oral anticoagulation therapy prior to the event and patients who were not.ConclusionsThe societal costs attributable to major bleeding events in patients with AF are significant. Intracranial haemorrhages are most costly to society with average costs of similar magnitude as the costs of ischemic stroke. The average costs of gastrointestinal and other major bleeding events are lower than the costs of intracranial haemorrhages, but still substantial. Knowledge about the relative size of the costs of bleeding events compared to ischemic stroke in patients with AF constitutes valuable evidence for decisions-makers in Denmark as well as in other countries.

Project description:Importance:Antithrombotic therapies are effective in both primary and secondary stroke prophylaxis in high-risk patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), but they are often underused in community practice. Objective:To examine prestroke and poststroke antithrombotic treatment patterns and long-term outcomes in patients with AF presenting with ischemic stroke. Design, Setting, and Participants:A retrospective cohort study of Danish patients with AF, with a prestroke CHA2DS2-VASc score of 1 or higher for men and 2 or higher for women, and presenting with ischemic stroke was conducted from January 1, 2004, to January 31, 2017. Data on hospital admission, prescription fillings, and vital status were assessed using several Danish nationwide registries. Exposures:Patients who survived 100 days after discharge were divided into 3 groups according to poststroke antithrombotic therapy: oral anticoagulation (OAC) therapy, antiplatelet therapy alone, or no antithrombotic therapy. Main Outcomes and Measures:Long-term outcomes (thromboembolic events and bleeding complications) were examined using multivariable Cox regression analyses across the 3 groups. Results:Among 30?626 patients with AF admitted with ischemic stroke, 11?139 patients (36.3%) received OAC therapy (44.3% female; median age, 79 years [interquartile range, 73-85 years]), 11?874 (38.8%) received antiplatelet therapy alone (55.0% female; median age, 82 years [interquartile range, 75-88 years]), and 7613 (24.9%) received no antithrombotic therapy before stroke (53.8% female; median age, 80 years [interquartile range, 71-86 years]). Following stroke, 31.3% of those receiving antiplatelet therapy alone and 43.7% of those receiving no antithrombotic therapy before stroke shifted to OAC therapy. Yet, 37.5% of patients with stroke did not receive OAC therapy following stroke. However, OAC treatment rates increased over time. During a maximum of 10 years of follow-up, 17.5%, 21.2%, and 21.5% experienced a new thromboembolic event and 72.7%, 86.4%, and 86.2% died among those treated with OAC therapy, antiplatelet therapy, or no antithrombotic therapy, respectively. Poststroke OAC therapy was associated with lower risk of recurrent thromboembolic events (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.73-0.89) and no significant difference in bleeding complications (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.86-1.10), compared with no poststroke antithrombotic therapy. In contrast, there were no significant differences for those treated with poststroke antiplatelet therapy and no antithrombotic therapy. Conclusions and Relevance:Patients with AF receiving poststroke OAC therapy had lower risk of recurrent thromboembolic events. Our findings suggest a substantial opportunity for improving primary and secondary stroke prophylaxis in high-risk patients with AF.

Project description:OBJECTIVES:Outcomes of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with severe mental disorders are largely unknown. We compared rates of stroke, fatal thromboembolic events and bleeding in patients with AF with and without mental disorders. DESIGN:Nationwide registry-based cohort study. SETTING:Denmark (population 5.6?million), 2000-2015. PARTICIPANTS:Patients with AF with schizophrenia (n=534), severe depression (n=400) or bipolar disease (n=569) matched 1:5 on age, sex and calendar time to patients with AF without mental disorders. EXPOSURE:Inpatient or hospital-based outpatient diagnosis of schizophrenia, severe depression or bipolar disease. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES:HRs for stroke, fatal thromboembolic events and major bleeding comparing patients with and without mental disorders estimated by Cox regression with sequential adjustment for risk factors for stroke and bleeding, comorbidity and initiation of oral anticoagulant therapy (OAT). RESULTS:Compared with matched comparisons, crude 5-year HRs of ischaemic stroke were 1.37 (95% CI 0.88 to 2.14) for schizophrenia, 1.36 (95% CI 0.89 to 2.08) for depression and 1.04 (95% CI 0.69 to 1.56) for bipolar disease. After adjusting for risk factors, comorbidity and OAT, these HRs declined towards the null. Crude HRs of fatal thromboembolic events were 3.16 (95% CI 1.78 to 5.61) for schizophrenia, 1.31 (95% CI 0.67 to 2.56) for depression and 1.53 (95% CI 0.93 to 2.53) for bipolar disease. Rates of major bleeding were increased in patients with schizophrenia (crude HR 1.37, 95%?CI 0.99 to 1.90) and severe depression (HR 1.25, 95%?CI 0.87 to 1.78) but not bipolar disease (HR 0.82, 95%?CI 0.58 to 1.15). CONCLUSION:Patients with AF with schizophrenia or severe depression experienced increased rates of stroke and major bleeding compared with matched comparisons. This increase was largely explained by differences in the prevalence of risk factors for stroke and bleeding, comorbidity and initiation of OAT during follow-up. Patients with AF with schizophrenia further experienced higher mortality following thromboembolic events than matched comparisons without mental disorders.

Project description:OBJECTIVES:To externally validate the accuracy of the Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD-Atrial Fibrillation (GARFIELD-AF) model against existing risk scores for stroke and major bleeding risk in patients with non-valvular AF in a population-based cohort. DESIGN:Retrospective cohort study. SETTING:Danish nationwide registries. PARTICIPANTS:90 693 patients with newly diagnosed non-valvular AF were included between 2010 and 2016, with follow-up censored at 1 year. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES:External validation was performed using discrimination and calibration plots. C-statistics were compared with CHA2DS2VASc score for ischaemic stroke/systemic embolism (SE) and HAS-BLED score for major bleeding/haemorrhagic stroke outcomes. RESULTS:Of the 90 693 included, 51 180 patients received oral anticoagulants (OAC). Overall median age (Q1, Q3) were 75 (66-83) years and 48 486 (53.5%) were male. At 1-year follow-up, a total of 2094 (2.3%) strokes/SE, 2642 (2.9%) major bleedings and 10 915 (12.0%) deaths occurred. The GARFIELD-AF model was well calibrated with the predicted risk for stroke/SE and major bleeding. The discriminatory value of GARFIELD-AF risk model was superior to CHA2DS2VASc for predicting stroke in the overall cohort (C-index: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.70 to 0.72 vs C-index: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.66 to 0.68, p<0.001) as well as in low-risk patients (C-index: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.59 to 0.69 vs C-index: 0.57, 95% CI: 0.53 to 0.61, p=0.007). The GARFIELD-AF model was comparable to HAS-BLED in predicting the risk of major bleeding in patients on OAC therapy (C-index: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.63 to 0.66 vs C-index: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.63 to 0.65, p=0.60). CONCLUSION:In a nationwide Danish cohort with non-valvular AF, the GARFIELD-AF model adequately predicted the risk of ischaemic stroke/SE and major bleeding. Our external validation confirms that the GARFIELD-AF model was superior to CHA2DS2VASc in predicting stroke/SE and comparable with HAS-BLED for predicting major bleeding.