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Association of Cardiometabolic Multimorbidity With Mortality.


ABSTRACT: IMPORTANCE:The prevalence of cardiometabolic multimorbidity is increasing. OBJECTIVE:To estimate reductions in life expectancy associated with cardiometabolic multimorbidity. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS:Age- and sex-adjusted mortality rates and hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using individual participant data from the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration (689,300 participants; 91 cohorts; years of baseline surveys: 1960-2007; latest mortality follow-up: April 2013; 128,843 deaths). The HRs from the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration were compared with those from the UK Biobank (499,808 participants; years of baseline surveys: 2006-2010; latest mortality follow-up: November 2013; 7995 deaths). Cumulative survival was estimated by applying calculated age-specific HRs for mortality to contemporary US age-specific death rates. EXPOSURES:A history of 2 or more of the following: diabetes mellitus, stroke, myocardial infarction (MI). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES:All-cause mortality and estimated reductions in life expectancy. RESULTS:In participants in the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration without a history of diabetes, stroke, or MI at baseline (reference group), the all-cause mortality rate adjusted to the age of 60 years was 6.8 per 1000 person-years. Mortality rates per 1000 person-years were 15.6 in participants with a history of diabetes, 16.1 in those with stroke, 16.8 in those with MI, 32.0 in those with both diabetes and MI, 32.5 in those with both diabetes and stroke, 32.8 in those with both stroke and MI, and 59.5 in those with diabetes, stroke, and MI. Compared with the reference group, the HRs for all-cause mortality were 1.9 (95% CI, 1.8-2.0) in participants with a history of diabetes, 2.1 (95% CI, 2.0-2.2) in those with stroke, 2.0 (95% CI, 1.9-2.2) in those with MI, 3.7 (95% CI, 3.3-4.1) in those with both diabetes and MI, 3.8 (95% CI, 3.5-4.2) in those with both diabetes and stroke, 3.5 (95% CI, 3.1-4.0) in those with both stroke and MI, and 6.9 (95% CI, 5.7-8.3) in those with diabetes, stroke, and MI. The HRs from the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration were similar to those from the more recently recruited UK Biobank. The HRs were little changed after further adjustment for markers of established intermediate pathways (eg, levels of lipids and blood pressure) and lifestyle factors (eg, smoking, diet). At the age of 60 years, a history of any 2 of these conditions was associated with 12 years of reduced life expectancy and a history of all 3 of these conditions was associated with 15 years of reduced life expectancy. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE:Mortality associated with a history of diabetes, stroke, or MI was similar for each condition. Because any combination of these conditions was associated with multiplicative mortality risk, life expectancy was substantially lower in people with multimorbidity.

SUBMITTER: Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4664176 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Association of Cardiometabolic Multimorbidity With Mortality.

Di Angelantonio Emanuele E   Kaptoge Stephen S   Wormser David D   Willeit Peter P   Butterworth Adam S AS   Bansal Narinder N   O'Keeffe Linda M LM   Gao Pei P   Wood Angela M AM   Burgess Stephen S   Freitag Daniel F DF   Pennells Lisa L   Peters Sanne A SA   Hart Carole L CL   Håheim Lise Lund LL   Gillum Richard F RF   Nordestgaard Børge G BG   Psaty Bruce M BM   Yeap Bu B BB   Knuiman Matthew W MW   Nietert Paul J PJ   Kauhanen Jussi J   Salonen Jukka T JT   Kuller Lewis H LH   Simons Leon A LA   van der Schouw Yvonne T YT   Barrett-Connor Elizabeth E   Selmer Randi R   Crespo Carlos J CJ   Rodriguez Beatriz B   Verschuren W M Monique WM   Salomaa Veikko V   Svärdsudd Kurt K   van der Harst Pim P   Björkelund Cecilia C   Wilhelmsen Lars L   Wallace Robert B RB   Brenner Hermann H   Amouyel Philippe P   Barr Elizabeth L M EL   Iso Hiroyasu H   Onat Altan A   Trevisan Maurizio M   D'Agostino Ralph B RB   Cooper Cyrus C   Kavousi Maryam M   Welin Lennart L   Roussel Ronan R   Hu Frank B FB   Sato Shinichi S   Davidson Karina W KW   Howard Barbara V BV   Leening Maarten J G MJ   Leening Maarten M   Rosengren Annika A   Dörr Marcus M   Deeg Dorly J H DJ   Kiechl Stefan S   Stehouwer Coen D A CD   Nissinen Aulikki A   Giampaoli Simona S   Donfrancesco Chiara C   Kromhout Daan D   Price Jackie F JF   Peters Annette A   Meade Tom W TW   Casiglia Edoardo E   Lawlor Debbie A DA   Gallacher John J   Nagel Dorothea D   Franco Oscar H OH   Assmann Gerd G   Dagenais Gilles R GR   Jukema J Wouter JW   Sundström Johan J   Woodward Mark M   Brunner Eric J EJ   Khaw Kay-Tee KT   Wareham Nicholas J NJ   Whitsel Eric A EA   Njølstad Inger I   Hedblad Bo B   Wassertheil-Smoller Sylvia S   Engström Gunnar G   Rosamond Wayne D WD   Selvin Elizabeth E   Sattar Naveed N   Thompson Simon G SG   Danesh John J  

JAMA 20150701 1


<h4>Importance</h4>The prevalence of cardiometabolic multimorbidity is increasing.<h4>Objective</h4>To estimate reductions in life expectancy associated with cardiometabolic multimorbidity.<h4>Design, setting, and participants</h4>Age- and sex-adjusted mortality rates and hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using individual participant data from the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration (689,300 participants; 91 cohorts; years of baseline surveys: 1960-2007; latest mortality follow-up: April 2013;  ...[more]

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