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Disproportionate effect on child admissions of the change in Medicines and Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency guidance for management of paracetamol poisoning: an analysis of hospital admissions for paracetamol overdose in England and Scotland.

ABSTRACT: OBJECTIVE:The aim of the present study was to assess the effects of the changes in the management of paracetamol overdose recommended by the UK Commission for Human Medicines on rates of hospital admission. METHODS:An interrupted time series analysis was carried out on data for hospital admissions for paracetamol poisoning for England between January 2010 and June 2014, and for Scotland between January 2010 and Sept. 2014. The main outcome measure was admissions to hospital with paracetamol poisoning (T39.1), as defined by first position coding in children and adults. RESULTS:The time series analysis (Jan 2010 to June 2014) showed that admission rates for paracetamol poisoning were steady from 2010 to the date of change (September 2012), with an estimated 269 [95% confidence interval (CI) 252.5, 285.5] child (0-14 years) and 3541 (95% CI 3454, 3628) adult admissions per month. In September 2013, 12 months after the change, there were an estimated additional 116 [37.3% (95% CI 17.2-67.4)] child and 426 [12.5% (95% CI 4.5-19.6)] adult admissions. Thus, in the year before the change (September 2011 to August 2012) there were 45,181 (3500 child and 41,681 adult) admissions, and in the year after (September 2012 to August 2013) there were 50,198 (4779 child and 45,419 adult) admissions. The overall proportion of child admissions was significantly greater after the change (Chi-square 32.486, P < 0.001), emphasizing the disproportionate effect in children. CONCLUSIONS:Changes to the management guidelines for paracetamol poisoning in September 2012 were rapidly implemented but have particularly increased paediatric hospital admissions for paracetamol poisoning. This impact in children, who are at low risk of mortality from paracetamol toxicity, appears excessive.

SUBMITTER: Narayan H

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4693484 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Disproportionate effect on child admissions of the change in Medicines and Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency guidance for management of paracetamol poisoning: an analysis of hospital admissions for paracetamol overdose in England and Scotland.

Narayan Hafid H Thomas Simon H L SH Eddleston Michael M Dear James W JW Sandilands Euan E Bateman D Nicholas DN

British journal of clinical pharmacology 20151026 6

<h4>Objective</h4>The aim of the present study was to assess the effects of the changes in the management of paracetamol overdose recommended by the UK Commission for Human Medicines on rates of hospital admission.<h4>Methods</h4>An interrupted time series analysis was carried out on data for hospital admissions for paracetamol poisoning for England between January 2010 and June 2014, and for Scotland between January 2010 and Sept. 2014. The main outcome measure was admissions to hospital with p ...[more]

PMID: 26353969

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Project description:OBJECTIVES:To identify whether the abolition of prescription fees in Scotland resulted in: (1) Increase in the number (cost to NHS) of medicines prescribed for which there had been a fee (inhaled corticosteroids). (2) Reduction in hospital admissions for conditions related to those medications for which there had been a fee (asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD))-when both are compared with prescribed medicines and admissions for a condition (diabetes mellitus) for which prescriptions were historically free. DESIGN:Natural experimental retrospective general practice level interrupted time series (ITS) analysis using administrative data. SETTING:General practices, Scotland, UK. PARTICIPANTS:732 (73.6%) general practices across Scotland with valid dispensed medicines and hospital admissions data during the study period (July 2005-December 2013). INTERVENTION:Reduction in fees per dispensed item from April 2008 leading to the abolition of the fee in April 2011, resulting in universal free prescriptions. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOMES:Hospital admissions recorded in the Scottish Morbidity Record - 01 Inpatient (SMR01) and dispensed medicines recorded in the Prescribing Information System (PIS). RESULTS:The ITS analysis identified marked step reductions in adult (19-59 years) admissions related to asthma or COPD (the intervention group), compared with older or young people with the same conditions or adults with diabetes mellitus (the counterfactual groups). The prescription findings were less coherent and subsequent sensitivity analyses found that both the admissions and prescriptions data were highly variable above the annual or seasonal level, limiting the ability to interpret the findings of the ITS analysis. CONCLUSIONS:This study did not find sufficient evidence that universal free prescriptions was a demonstrably effective or ineffective policy, in terms of reducing hospital admissions or reducing socioeconomic inequality in hospital admissions, in the context of a universal, publicly administered medical care system, the National Health Service of Scotland.

Project description:ObjectiveTo assess the long term effect of United Kingdom legislation introduced in September 1998 to restrict pack sizes of paracetamol on deaths from paracetamol poisoning and liver unit activity.DesignInterrupted time series analyses to assess mean quarterly changes from October 1998 to the end of 2009 relative to projected deaths without the legislation based on pre-legislation trends.SettingMortality (1993-2009) and liver unit activity (1995-2009) in England and Wales, using information from the Office for National Statistics and NHS Blood and Transplant, respectively.ParticipantsResidents of England and Wales.Main outcome measuresSuicide, deaths of undetermined intent, and accidental poisoning deaths involving single drug ingestion of paracetamol and paracetamol compounds in people aged 10 years and over, and liver unit registrations and transplantations for paracetamol induced hepatotoxicity.ResultsCompared with the pre-legislation level, following the legislation there was an estimated average reduction of 17 (95% confidence interval -25 to -9) deaths per quarter in England and Wales involving paracetamol alone (with or without alcohol) that received suicide or undetermined verdicts. This decrease represented a 43% reduction or an estimated 765 fewer deaths over the 11¼ years after the legislation. A similar effect was found when accidental poisoning deaths were included, and when a conservative method of analysis was used. This decrease was largely unaltered after controlling for a non-significant reduction in deaths involving other methods of poisoning and also suicides by all methods. There was a 61% reduction in registrations for liver transplantation for paracetamol induced hepatotoxicity (-11 (-20 to -1) registrations per quarter). But no reduction was seen in actual transplantations (-3 (-12 to 6)), nor in registrations after a conservative method of analysis was used.ConclusionsUK legislation to reduce pack sizes of paracetamol was followed by significant reductions in deaths due to paracetamol overdose, with some indication of fewer registrations for transplantation at liver units during the 11 years after the legislation. The continuing toll of deaths suggests, however, that further preventive measures should be sought.

Dataset Information

Disproportionate effect on child admissions of the change in Medicines and Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency guidance for management of paracetamol poisoning: an analysis of hospital admissions for paracetamol overdose in England and Scotland.

Publications

Disproportionate effect on child admissions of the change in Medicines and Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency guidance for management of paracetamol poisoning: an analysis of hospital admissions for paracetamol overdose in England and Scotland.

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