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Programmed Ventricular Stimulation for Risk Stratification in the Brugada Syndrome: A Pooled Analysis.

ABSTRACT: The role of programmed ventricular stimulation in identifying patients with Brugada syndrome at the highest risk for sudden death is uncertain.We performed a systematic review and pooled analysis of prospective, observational studies of patients with Brugada syndrome without a history of sudden cardiac arrest who underwent programmed ventricular stimulation. We estimated incidence rates and relative hazards of cardiac arrest or implantable cardioverter-defibrillator shock. We analyzed individual-level data from 8 studies comprising 1312 patients who experienced 65 cardiac events (median follow-up, 38.3 months). A total of 527 patients were induced into arrhythmias with up to triple extrastimuli. Induction was associated with cardiac events during follow-up (hazard ratio, 2.66; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.44-4.92, P<0.001), with the greatest risk observed among those induced with single or double extrastimuli. Annual event rates varied substantially by syncope history, presence of spontaneous type 1 ECG pattern, and arrhythmia induction. The lowest risk occurred in individuals without syncope and with drug-induced type 1 patterns (0.23%, 95% CI, 0.05-0.68 for no induced arrhythmia with up to double extrastimuli; 0.45%, 95% CI, 0.01-2.49 for induced arrhythmia), and the highest risk occurred in individuals with syncope and spontaneous type 1 patterns (2.55%, 95% CI, 1.58-3.89 for no induced arrhythmia; 5.60%, 95% CI, 2.98-9.58 for induced arrhythmia).In patients with Brugada syndrome, arrhythmias induced with programmed ventricular stimulation are associated with future ventricular arrhythmia risk. Induction with fewer extrastimuli is associated with higher risk. However, clinical risk factors are important determinants of arrhythmia risk, and lack of induction does not necessarily portend low ventricular arrhythmia risk, particularly in patients with high-risk clinical features.

SUBMITTER: Sroubek J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4758872 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Programmed Ventricular Stimulation for Risk Stratification in the Brugada Syndrome: A Pooled Analysis.

Sroubek Jakub J Probst Vincent V Mazzanti Andrea A Delise Pietro P Hevia Jesus Castro JC Ohkubo Kimie K Zorzi Alessandro A Champagne Jean J Kostopoulou Anna A Yin Xiaoyan X Napolitano Carlo C Milan David J DJ Wilde Arthur A Sacher Frederic F Borggrefe Martin M Ellinor Patrick T PT Theodorakis George G Nault Isabelle I Corrado Domenico D Watanabe Ichiro I Antzelevitch Charles C Allocca Giuseppe G Priori Silvia G SG Lubitz Steven A SA

Circulation 20160121 7

<h4>Background</h4>The role of programmed ventricular stimulation in identifying patients with Brugada syndrome at the highest risk for sudden death is uncertain.<h4>Methods and results</h4>We performed a systematic review and pooled analysis of prospective, observational studies of patients with Brugada syndrome without a history of sudden cardiac arrest who underwent programmed ventricular stimulation. We estimated incidence rates and relative hazards of cardiac arrest or implantable cardiover ...[more]

PMID: 26797467

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Project description:BackgroundA novel risk calculator based on clinical characteristics and noninvasive tests that predicts the onset of clinical sustained ventricular arrhythmias (VA) in patients with arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) has been proposed and validated by recent studies. It remains unknown whether programmed ventricular stimulation (PVS) provides additional prognostic value.MethodsAll patients with a definite ARVC diagnosis, no history of sustained VAs at diagnosis, and PVS performed at baseline were extracted from 6 international ARVC registries. The calculator-predicted risk for sustained VA (sustained or implantable cardioverter defibrillator treated ventricular tachycardia [VT] or fibrillation, [aborted] sudden cardiac arrest) was assessed in all patients. Independent and combined performance of the risk calculator and PVS on sustained VA were assessed during a 5-year follow-up period.ResultsTwo hundred eighty-eight patients (41.0±14.5 years, 55.9% male, right ventricular ejection fraction 42.5±11.1%) were enrolled. At PVS, 137 (47.6%) patients had inducible ventricular tachycardia. During a median of 5.31 [2.89-10.17] years of follow-up, 83 (60.6%) patients with a positive PVS and 37 (24.5%) with a negative PVS experienced sustained VA (P<0.001). Inducible ventricular tachycardia predicted clinical sustained VA during the 5-year follow-up and remained an independent predictor after accounting for the calculator-predicted risk (HR, 2.52 [1.58-4.02]; P<0.001). Compared with ARVC risk calculator predictions in isolation (C-statistic 0.72), addition of PVS inducibility showed improved prediction of VA events (C-statistic 0.75; log-likelihood ratio for nested models, P<0.001). PVS inducibility had a 76% [67-84] sensitivity and 68% [61-74] specificity, corresponding to log-likelihood ratios of 2.3 and 0.36 for inducible (likelihood ratio+) and noninducible (likelihood ratio-) patients, respectively. In patients with a ARVC risk calculator-predicted risk of clinical VA events <25% during 5 years (ie, low/intermediate subgroup), PVS had a 92.6% negative predictive value.ConclusionsPVS significantly improved risk stratification above and beyond the calculator-predicted risk of VA in a primary prevention cohort of patients with ARVC, mainly for patients considered to be at low and intermediate risk by the clinical risk calculator.

Project description:Aims: Risk stratification of patients with Brugada syndrome (BrS) is vital for accurate prognosis and therapeutic decisions. Spontaneous Type 1 ST segment elevation is generally considered to be an independent risk factor for arrhythmic events. Other risk factors include gender, syncope, sudden cardiac arrest (SCA), and positive electrophysiological study (EPS). However, the further risk stratification of spontaneous type 1 combined with the other risk factors remains unclear. The present study pooled data from 4 large trials aiming to systematically evaluate the risk of spontaneous Type-1 ECG when combined with one or more of these other recognized risk factors. Methods: We searched for related studies published from November 2, 2002 to February 10, 2018 in PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, MEDLINE, Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), and Wanfang Databases. The pooled data were evaluated combining each risk factor with the presence of a spontaneous Type-1 ECG. All analyses were performed using Review Manager, version 5.0.12. Results: Four eligible studies involving 1,338 patients (85% males, mean age: 48.1 ± 18.1 years) were enrolled. Spontaneous Type-1 ECG was associated with higher risk for ventricular tachycardia/fibrillation (VT/VF) than cases with non-Type 1 ECG in males (odds ratio: 95% CI: 1.84-5.17; P < 0.0001), but not in females (P = 0.29). Among spontaneous Type-1 cases with syncope or with positive EPS, the difference was not statistically significant (P = 0.06 and 0.07, respectively). Patients with Type-1 ECGs and positive EPS were at higher risk than those with negative EPS (95% CI: 1.10-5.04; P = 0.03). Pooled analysis showed an association of Spontaneous Type-1 ECG, Type-1 ECGs combined with male, and Type-1 ECGs combined with positive EPS between increased risk of arrhythmic events. Conclusion: Our results indicate that in BrS patients, a spontaneous Type-1 ECG is an independent risk factor for SCD in males, but not in females. A spontaneous Type-1 BrS is associated with a worse prognosis when combined with positive EPS.

Project description:Background A combination of clinical and electrocardiographic risk factors is used for risk stratification in Brugada syndrome. In this study, we tested the hypothesis that the incorporation of latent variables between variables using nonnegative matrix factorization can improve risk stratification compared with logistic regression. Methods and Results This was a retrospective cohort study of patients presented with Brugada electrocardiographic patterns between 2000 and 2016 from Hong Kong, China. The primary outcome was spontaneous ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation. The external validation cohort included patients from 3 countries. A total of 149 patients with Brugada syndrome (84% males, median age of presentation 50 [38-61] years) were included. Compared with the nonarrhythmic group (n=117, 79%), the spontaneous ventricular tachycardia/ ventricular fibrillation group (n=32, 21%) were more likely to suffer from syncope (69% versus 37%, P=0.001) and atrial fibrillation (16% versus 4%, P=0.023) as well as displayed longer QTc intervals (424 [399-449] versus 408 [386-425]; P=0.020). No difference in QRS interval was observed (108 [98-114] versus 102 [95-110], P=0.104). Logistic regression found that syncope (odds ratio, 3.79; 95% CI, 1.64-8.74; P=0.002), atrial fibrillation (odds ratio, 4.15; 95% CI, 1.12-15.36; P=0.033), QRS duration (odds ratio, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.002-1.06; P=0.037) and QTc interval (odds ratio, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.03; P=0.009) were significant predictors of spontaneous ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation. Increasing the number of latent variables of these electrocardiographic indices incorporated from n=0 (logistic regression) to n=6 by nonnegative matrix factorization improved the area under the curve of the receiving operating characteristics curve from 0.71 to 0.80. The model improves area under the curve of external validation cohort (n=227) from 0.64 to 0.71. Conclusions Nonnegative matrix factorization improves the predictive performance of arrhythmic outcomes by extracting latent features between different variables.

Dataset Information

Programmed Ventricular Stimulation for Risk Stratification in the Brugada Syndrome: A Pooled Analysis.

Publications

Programmed Ventricular Stimulation for Risk Stratification in the Brugada Syndrome: A Pooled Analysis.

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