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Predicting antibiotic resistance to community-acquired pneumonia antibiotics in culture-positive patients with healthcare-associated pneumonia.

ABSTRACT: To develop and validate a model to predict resistance to community-acquired pneumonia antibiotics (CAP-resistance) among patients with healthcare-associated pneumonia (HCAP), and to compare the model's predictive performance to a model including only guideline-defined criteria for HCAP.Retrospective cohort study.Six Veterans Affairs Medical Centers in the northwestern United States.Culture-positive inpatients with HCAP.Patients were identified based upon guideline-defined criteria for HCAP. Relevant cultures obtained within 48 hours of admission were assessed to determine bacteriology and antibiotic susceptibility. Medical records for the year preceding admission were assessed to develop predictive models of CAP-resistance with logistic regression. The predictive performance of cohort-developed and guideline-defined models was compared.CAP-resistant organisms were identified in 118 of 375 culture-positive patients. Of guideline-defined criteria, CAP-resistance was associated (odds ratio (OR) [95% confidence interval (CI)]) with: admission from nursing home (2.6 [1.6-4.4]); recent antibiotic exposure (1.7 [1.0-2.8]); and prior hospitalization (1.6 [1.0-2.6]). In the cohort-developed model, CAP-resistance was associated with: admission from nursing home or recent nursing home discharge (2.3 [1.4-3.8]); positive methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) history within 90 days of admission (6.4 [2.6-17.8]) or 91-365 days (2.3 [0.9-5.9]); cephalosporin exposure (1.8 [1.1-2.9]); recent infusion therapy (1.9 [1.0-3.5]); diabetes (1.7 [1.0-2.8]); and intensive care unit (ICU) admission (1.6 [1.0-2.6]). Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (aROC [95% CI]) for the cohort-developed model (0.71 [0.65-0.77]) was significantly higher than for the guideline-defined model (0.63 [0.57-0.69]) (P = 0.01).Select guideline-defined criteria predicted CAP-resistance. A cohort-developed model based primarily on prior MRSA history, nursing home residence, and specific antibiotic exposures provided improved prediction of CAP-resistant organisms in HCAP.

SUBMITTER: Madaras-Kelly KJ

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4778425 | biostudies-literature | 2012 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Predicting antibiotic resistance to community-acquired pneumonia antibiotics in culture-positive patients with healthcare-associated pneumonia.

Madaras-Kelly Karl J KJ Remington Richard E RE Fan Vincent S VS Sloan Kevin L KL

Journal of hospital medicine 20111028 3

<h4>Objective</h4>To develop and validate a model to predict resistance to community-acquired pneumonia antibiotics (CAP-resistance) among patients with healthcare-associated pneumonia (HCAP), and to compare the model's predictive performance to a model including only guideline-defined criteria for HCAP.<h4>Design</h4>Retrospective cohort study.<h4>Setting</h4>Six Veterans Affairs Medical Centers in the northwestern United States.<h4>Patients</h4>Culture-positive inpatients with HCAP.<h4>Measure ...[more]

PMID: 22038859

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Project description:IntroductionCommunity-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP) are common complications in idiopathic inflammatory myopathy (IIM) patients, and are frequently associated with unfavorable outcome as well as prolonged antibiotic therapy. In this study, we intended to clarify whether clinical pulmonary infection score (CPIS) and multiple serum biomarkers are valuable in predicting unfavorable outcomes and prolonged antibiotic therapy in adult IIM patients complicated with CAP or HAP.MethodsData of IIM patients with CAP or HAP who were admitted to three tertiary centers from December 2010 to November 2019 were retrospectively collected. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis and logistic regression analysis were adopted to identify risk factors for unfavorable outcomes and prolonged antibiotic therapy in these patients. The predictive values of potential predictors were assessed using receiver operating characteristic analysis.ResultsThe mortality rate was 60.6% in 109 IIM patients complicated with CAP or HAP. Myositis Disease Activity Assessment Visual Analogue Scales (MYOACT) score, CPIS and timely adjustment to antibiotics based on drug susceptibility test (DST-based antibiotic) were significantly associated with long-term outcome in these patients. With an optimal cutoff value of 6.5 and area under the curve (AUC) of 0.813, CPIS was a more satisfying predictor compared with MYOACT score. The peak C-reactive protein (CRP) level, DST-based antibiotics, and complication of interstitial lung disease (ILD) were also significantly correlated with prolonged antibiotic therapy.ConclusionsIIM patients complicated with CAP or HAP frequently suffer from unfavorable outcomes. Compared with IIM disease activity, CPIS worked as a better predictor of outcome in these patients. Also, the peak CRP level during hospitalization might be valuable in predicting prolonged antibiotic therapy. The existence of ILD might impede early discontinuation of antibiotics. Timely adjustment to antibiotics based on drug susceptibility testing would decrease the mortality rate and reduce the incidence of prolonged antibiotic therapy.

Dataset Information

Predicting antibiotic resistance to community-acquired pneumonia antibiotics in culture-positive patients with healthcare-associated pneumonia.

Publications

Predicting antibiotic resistance to community-acquired pneumonia antibiotics in culture-positive patients with healthcare-associated pneumonia.

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