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Predictors of Recurrent AKI.

ABSTRACT: Recurrent AKI is common among patients after hospitalized AKI and is associated with progressive CKD. In this study, we identified clinical risk factors for recurrent AKI present during index AKI hospitalizations that occurred between 2003 and 2010 using a regional Veterans Administration database in the United States. AKI was defined as a 0.3 mg/dl or 50% increase from a baseline creatinine measure. The primary outcome was hospitalization with recurrent AKI within 12 months of discharge from the index hospitalization. Time to recurrent AKI was examined using Cox regression analysis, and sensitivity analyses were performed using a competing risk approach. Among 11,683 qualifying AKI hospitalizations, 2954 patients (25%) were hospitalized with recurrent AKI within 12 months of discharge. Median time to recurrent AKI within 12 months was 64 (interquartile range 19-167) days. In addition to known demographic and comorbid risk factors for AKI, patients with longer AKI duration and those whose discharge diagnosis at index AKI hospitalization included congestive heart failure (primary diagnosis), decompensated advanced liver disease, cancer with or without chemotherapy, acute coronary syndrome, or volume depletion, were at highest risk for being hospitalized with recurrent AKI. Risk factors identified were similar when a competing risk model for death was applied. In conclusion, several inpatient conditions associated with AKI may increase the risk for recurrent AKI. These findings should facilitate risk stratification, guide appropriate patient referral after AKI, and help generate potential risk reduction strategies. Efforts to identify modifiable factors to prevent recurrent AKI in these patients are warranted.

SUBMITTER: Siew ED

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4814177 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Predictors of Recurrent AKI.

Siew Edward D ED Parr Sharidan K SK Abdel-Kader Khaled K Eden Svetlana K SK Peterson Josh F JF Bansal Nisha N Hung Adriana M AM Fly James J Speroff Ted T Ikizler T Alp TA Matheny Michael E ME

Journal of the American Society of Nephrology : JASN 20150811 4

Recurrent AKI is common among patients after hospitalized AKI and is associated with progressive CKD. In this study, we identified clinical risk factors for recurrent AKI present during index AKI hospitalizations that occurred between 2003 and 2010 using a regional Veterans Administration database in the United States. AKI was defined as a 0.3 mg/dl or 50% increase from a baseline creatinine measure. The primary outcome was hospitalization with recurrent AKI within 12 months of discharge from th ...[more]

PMID: 26264853

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Project description:Background and objectivesHow to best medically manage patients who survived hospitalized AKI is unclear. Use of renin-angiotensin system blockers in this setting may increase risk of recurrent AKI.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsThis is a cohort study of 10,242 members of an integrated health care delivery system in Northern California who experienced AKI and survived a hospitalization between January 1, 2006 and December 31, 2013. All study participants did not have prior heart failure or use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACE-Is) or angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) up to 5 years prior. New receipt and time-updated exposure of ACE-Is/ARBs was identified on the basis of dispensed prescriptions found in outpatient health plan pharmacy databases. The main outcome of interest was subsequent episode of hospitalized AKI after discharge from an initial index hospitalization complicated by AKI. Recurrent AKI episode was defined using acute changes in serum creatinine concentrations. Marginal structural models were used to adjust for baseline and potential time-dependent confounders.ResultsForty-seven percent of the study population had a documented eGFR<60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 or documented proteinuria before hospitalization. With a median of 3 (interquartile range, 1-5) years of follow-up, 1853 (18%) patients initiated use of ACE-Is/ARBs and 2124 (21%) patients experienced recurrent AKI. Crude rate of recurrent AKI was 6.1 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 5.9 to 6.4) per 100 person-years off ACE-Is/ARBs and 5.7 (95% CI, 4.9 to 6.5) per 100 person-years on ACE-Is/ARBs. In marginal structural causal inference models that adjusted for baseline and potential time-dependent confounders, exposure to ACE-I/ARB use was not associated with higher incidence of recurrent AKI (adjusted odds ratio, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.45 to 1.12).ConclusionsIn this study of AKI survivors without heart failure, new use of ACE-I/ARB therapy was not independently associated with increased risk of recurrent hospitalized AKI.

Project description:Background and objectivesA major challenge in early treatment of acute cardiorenal syndrome (CRS) is the lack of predictors for progression of AKI. We aim to investigate the utility of urinary angiotensinogen and other renal injury biomarkers in predicting AKI progression in CRS.Design, settings, participants, & measurementsIn this prospective, multicenter study, we screened 732 adults who admitted for acute decompensated heart failure from September 2011 to December 2014, and evaluated whether renal injury biomarkers measured at time of AKI diagnosis can predict worsening of AKI. In 213 patients who developed Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes stage 1 or 2 AKI, six renal injury biomarkers, including urinary angiotensinogen (uAGT), urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (uNGAL), plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin, urinary IL-18 (uIL-18), urinary kidney injury molecule-1, and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio, were measured at time of AKI diagnosis. The primary outcome was AKI progression defined by worsening of AKI stage (50 patients). The secondary outcome was AKI progression with subsequent death (18 patients).ResultsAfter multivariable adjustment, the highest tertile of three urinary biomarkers remained associated with AKI progression compared with the lowest tertile: uAGT (odds ratio [OR], 10.8; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 3.4 to 34.7), uNGAL (OR, 4.7; 95% CI, 1.7 to 13.4), and uIL-18 (OR, 3.6; 95% CI, 1.4 to 9.5). uAGT was the best predictor for both primary and secondary outcomes with area under the receiver operating curve of 0.78 and 0.85. These three biomarkers improved risk reclassification compared with the clinical model alone, with uAGT performing the best (category-free net reclassification improvement for primary and secondary outcomes of 0.76 [95% CI, 0.46 to 1.06] and 0.93 [95% CI, 0.50 to 1.36]; P<0.001). Excellent performance of uAGT was further confirmed with bootstrap internal validation.ConclusionsuAGT, uNGAL, and uIL-18 measured at time of AKI diagnosis improved risk stratification and identified CRS patients at highest risk of adverse outcomes.

Project description:BackgroundRetroperitoneal liposarcoma (RLS) is a rare but severe disease. Repeated postoperative recurrence with multiple tumors is a therapeutic dilemma. The clinical outcomes and survival predictors of recurrent RLS with multiple tumors remain to be explored.MethodsPatients with recurrent RLS were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analysis was performed to find independent prognostic factors that were correlated with Overall survival (OS) or progression-free survival (PFS). Factors significant in univariate analysis were further included into multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model. The nomogram model was built to predict the survival status of patients. Variables that were significant in multivariable analysis were added to the internally validated nomogram models. The analysis of OS and PFS was performed by Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank test.ResultsA total of 113 recurrent RLS patients with multiple tumors were enrolled in the study. The 1-, 3-, and 5-years OS (PFS) rates were 70.7% (76.1%), 35.9% (76.1%), and 30.9% (76.1%), respectively. Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that number of surgeries, resection methods, tumor size, status of pathological differentiation, pathological subtypes, and recurrence patterns were important prognostic factors for OS or PFS (each p < 0.05). Nomogram models were established to efficiently predict the prognostic status of patients. Patients with the local recurrence (LR) pattern had a poor prognosis and would derive no survival benefit from combined organ resection and R0/R1 resection (each p < 0.05).ConclusionRLS patients recurrence with multiple tumors had a poor prognosis. Those patients should be followed up more frequently after surgery. The strategies of aggressive resection may not improve the survival of patients with LR pattern in the retroperitoneum. Prognostic factors in the efficient nomogram models should be considered in the individualized clinical management of recurrent RLS with multiple tumors.

Project description:Rationale & objectiveThe PRESERVE trial used a 2 × 2 factorial design to compare intravenous saline solution with intravenous sodium bicarbonate solution and oral N-acetylcysteine with placebo for the prevention of 90-day major adverse kidney events and death (MAKE-D) and contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) among patients with chronic kidney disease undergoing angiography. In this ancillary study, we evaluated the predictive capacities of preangiography injury and repair proteins in urine and plasma for MAKE-D, CA-AKI, and their impact on trial design.Study designLongitudinal analysis.Setting & participantsA subset of participants from the PRESERVE trial.ExposuresInjury (KIM-1, NGAL, and IL-18) and repair (MCP-1, UMOD, and YKL-40) proteins in urine and plasma 1 to 2 hours preangiography.OutcomesMAKE-D and CA-AKI.Analytical approachWe analyzed the associations of preangiography biomarkers with MAKE-D and with CA-AKI. We evaluated whether the biomarker levels could enrich the MAKE-D event rate and improve future clinical trial efficiency through an online biomarker prognostic enrichment tool available at prognosticenrichment.com.ResultsWe measured plasma biomarkers in 916 participants and urine biomarkers in 797 participants. After adjusting for urinary albumin-creatinine ratio and baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate, preangiography levels of 4 plasma (KIM-1, NGAL, UMOD, and YKL-40) and 3 urine (NGAL, IL-18, and YKL-40) biomarkers were associated with MAKE-D. Only plasma KIM-1 level was significantly associated with CA-AKI after adjustment. Biomarker levels provided modest discriminatory capacity for MAKE-D. Screening patients using the 50th percentile of preangiography plasma KIM-1 or YKL-40 levels would have reduced the required sample size by 30% (∼2,000 participants).LimitationsEvaluation of prognostic enrichment does not account for changing trial costs, time needed to screen patients, or loss to follow-up. Most participants were male, limiting the generalizability of our findings.ConclusionsPreangiography levels of injury and repair biomarkers modestly predict the development of MAKE-D and can be used to improve the efficiency of future CA-AKI trials.

Project description:ObjectivesTo evaluate incidence, predictors, and re-treatment outcome of recurrent myopic choroidal neovascularization (m-CNV).MethodsRetrospective consecutive observational series. From year 2014 to 2019, 167 eyes of 167 patients of treatment naïve m-CNV were enrolled. 59 and 108 eyes were treated with intra-vitreal ranibizumab and bevacizumab mono-therapy, respectively. Recurrence was defined as re-appearance of CNV activity, confirmed on optical coherence tomography (OCT) after at least 3 months of cessation of anti-VEGF therapy. Incidence of recurrence, predictors and re-treatment outcomes were studied.ResultsOverall, mean age and spherical equivalence (SE) was 47.95 ± 14.72 years and -12.19 ± 4.93 D respectively. Males constituted 50.9%. 44 eyes (26.4%) had a recurrence during a mean follow up of 16.5 ± 12.86 months. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed the risk of recurrence was 8, 26 and, 33.6% at 6, 12 and 18 months, respectively. Age (p = 0.511), gender (p = 0.218), SE (p = 0.092), anti-VEGF (p = 0.629) and baseline BCVA (p = 0.519) did not influence recurrence. Number of injections administered to control the disease in the first episode was the only significant predictor of recurrence (Cox Proportional Hazard Ratio 2.89-3.07, 95% Confidence Interval: 1.28-7.45; p = 0.005). At 12 months, eyes requiring one injection in first episode had a recurrence rate of 12% versus 45% in eyes requiring 3 or more injections in the first episode. A mean number of 1.9 additional injections per eye was needed during re-treatment. Final BCVA in the recurrence group was similar to that of non-recurrence group (0.53 ± 0.40 versus 0.55 ± 0.36 LogMAR; p = 0.755). Baseline BCVA (p = 0.0001) was the only predictor of final visual outcome irrespective of anti-VEGF drug (p = 0.38).ConclusionEyes requiring greater number of injections for disease control in first episode are "at risk" of early m-CNV recurrence. However, recurrence does not adversely affect visual outcome, if treated adequately.

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Predictors of Recurrent AKI.

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Predictors of Recurrent AKI.

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