Association of black race with recurrent stroke risk.
Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Park JH
PROVIDER: S-EPMC4876018 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Jun
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Association of black race with recurrent stroke risk.
Park Jong-Ho JH Ovbiagele Bruce B
Journal of the neurological sciences 20160413
<h4>Background</h4>The significantly higher risk of primary stroke in Black vs. Whites is very well established. However, very few studies have specifically examined the presence of this racial disparity in recurrent stroke risk.<h4>Methods</h4>We conducted an analysis of a clinical trial dataset comprising 3470 recent non-cardioembolic stroke patients aged ≥35years and followed for 2years. Subjects were categorized by race into Whites and Blacks. Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate the ...[more]
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Project description:ObjectivesTo assess whether black race and other cerebrovascular risk factors have a differential effect on first vs. recurrent stroke events.MethodsEstimate the differences in the magnitude of the association of demographic (age, back race, sex) or stroke risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, cigarette smoking, atrial fibrillation, left ventricular hypertrophy, or heart disease) for first vs. recurrent stroke from a longitudinal cohort study of 29,682 black or white participants aged 45 years and older.ResultsOver an average 6.8 years follow-up, 301 of 2,993 participants with a previous stroke at baseline had a recurrent stroke, while 818 of 26,689 participants who were stroke-free at baseline had a first stroke. Among those stroke-free at baseline, there was an age-by-race interaction (p = 0.0002), with a first stroke risk 2.70 (95% confidence interval: 1.86-3.91) times greater for black than white participants at age 45, but no racial disparity at age 85 (hazard ratio = 0.91; 95% confidence interval: 0.70-1.18). In contrast, there was no evidence of a higher risk of recurrent stroke at any age for black participants (p > 0.05). The association of traditional stroke risk factors was generally similar for first and recurrent stroke.ConclusionThe association of age and black race differs substantially on first vs. recurrent stroke risk, with risk factors playing a similar role.
| S-EPMC4762422 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Physical activity is of benefit for primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases, but it appears to increase the risk for atrial fibrillation. We aimed to study a cohort of patients following a first stroke in individuals with previous high physical activity, compare them to the general population with respect to recurrent stroke and death, and relate these to atrial fibrillation.From the participants of the Vasaloppet, the world's largest ski-race, and matched individuals from the general population (n=708,604), we identified 5964 patients hospitalized with a first-time stroke between 1994 and 2010. Individuals with severe diseases were excluded. One half percent of skiers and 1% of nonskiers were hospitalized due to stroke. The incidence rate was 8.3 per 100 person-years among skiers and 11.1 among nonskiers. The hazard ratio (HR) for recurrent stroke or death between the 2 groups was 0.76 (95% CI 0.67 to 0.86). The result was consistent in subgroups. The HR for death was 0.66 (95% CI 0.56 to 0.78) and for recurrent stroke 0.82 (95% CI 0.70 to 0.96). After adjustment for smoking and socioeconomic factors, the HR for death was consistent at 0.70 (95% CI 0.56 to 0.87) while the HR for recurrent stroke was not statistically significant. Outcomes for skiers with atrial fibrillation tended to show a lower risk than for nonskiers.This large cohort study supports the hypothesis that patients with a stroke and with prior regular physical activity have a lower risk of death, while their risk for recurrent stroke is similar to that of nonskiers. The skiers had a higher incidence of atrial fibrillation, but still no increased risk of recurring stroke.
| S-EPMC4845143 | biostudies-other
Project description:ImportanceStroke is the fifth-highest cause of death in the US and a leading cause of serious long-term disability with particularly high risk in Black individuals. Quality risk prediction algorithms, free of bias, are key for comprehensive prevention strategies.ObjectiveTo compare the performance of stroke-specific algorithms with pooled cohort equations developed for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease for the prediction of new-onset stroke across different subgroups (race, sex, and age) and to determine the added value of novel machine learning techniques.Design, setting, and participantsRetrospective cohort study on combined and harmonized data from Black and White participants of the Framingham Offspring, Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC), Multi-Ethnic Study for Atherosclerosis (MESA), and Reasons for Geographical and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) studies (1983-2019) conducted in the US. The 62 482 participants included at baseline were at least 45 years of age and free of stroke or transient ischemic attack.ExposuresPublished stroke-specific algorithms from Framingham and REGARDS (based on self-reported risk factors) as well as pooled cohort equations for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease plus 2 newly developed machine learning algorithms.Main outcomes and measuresModels were designed to estimate the 10-year risk of new-onset stroke (ischemic or hemorrhagic). Discrimination concordance index (C index) and calibration ratios of expected vs observed event rates were assessed at 10 years. Analyses were conducted by race, sex, and age groups.ResultsThe combined study sample included 62 482 participants (median age, 61 years, 54% women, and 29% Black individuals). Discrimination C indexes were not significantly different for the 2 stroke-specific models (Framingham stroke, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.72-073; REGARDS self-report, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.72-0.74) vs the pooled cohort equations (0.72; 95% CI, 0.71-0.73): differences 0.01 or less (P values >.05) in the combined sample. Significant differences in discrimination were observed by race: the C indexes were 0.76 for all 3 models in White vs 0.69 in Black women (all P values <.001) and between 0.71 and 0.72 in White men and between 0.64 and 0.66 in Black men (all P values ≤.001). When stratified by age, model discrimination was better for younger (<60 years) vs older (≥60 years) adults for both Black and White individuals. The ratios of observed to expected 10-year stroke rates were closest to 1 for the REGARDS self-report model (1.05; 95% CI, 1.00-1.09) and indicated risk overestimation for Framingham stroke (0.86; 95% CI, 0.82-0.89) and pooled cohort equations (0.74; 95% CI, 0.71-0.77). Performance did not significantly improve when novel machine learning algorithms were applied.Conclusions and relevanceIn this analysis of Black and White individuals without stroke or transient ischemic attack among 4 US cohorts, existing stroke-specific risk prediction models and novel machine learning techniques did not significantly improve discriminative accuracy for new-onset stroke compared with the pooled cohort equations, and the REGARDS self-report model had the best calibration. All algorithms exhibited worse discrimination in Black individuals than in White individuals, indicating the need to expand the pool of risk factors and improve modeling techniques to address observed racial disparities and improve model performance.
| S-EPMC10408266 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ImportanceRace-specific and sex-specific stroke risk varies across the lifespan, yet few reports describe sex differences in stroke risk separately in black individuals and white individuals.ObjectiveTo examine incidence and risk factors for ischemic stroke by sex for black and white individuals.Design, setting, and participantsThis prospective cohort study included participants 45 years and older who were stroke-free from the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) cohort, enrolled from the continental United States 2003 through 2007 with follow-up through October 2016. Data were analyzed from March 2018 to September 2018.ExposuresSex and race.Main outcomes and measuresPhysician-adjudicated incident ischemic stroke, self-reported race/ethnicity, and measured and self-reported risk factors.ResultsA total of 25 789 participants (14 170 women [54.9%]; 10 301 black individuals [39.9%]) were included. Over 222 120 person-years of follow-up, 939 ischemic strokes occurred: 159 (16.9%) in black men, 326 in white men (34.7%), 217 in black women (23.1%), and 237 in white women (25.2%). Between 45 and 64 years of age, white women had 32% lower stroke risk than white men (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 0.68 [95% CI, 0.49-0.94]), and black women had a 28% lower risk than black men (IRR, 0.72 [95% CI, 0.52-0.99]). Lower stroke risk in women than men persisted at age 65 through 74 years in white individuals (IRR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.55-0.94]) but not in black individuals (IRR, 0.94 [95% CI, 0.68-1.30]); however, the race-sex interaction was not significant. At 75 years and older, there was no sex difference in stroke risk for either race. For white individuals, associations of systolic blood pressure (women: hazard ratio [HR], 1.13 [95% CI, 1.05-1.22]; men: 1.04 [95% CI, 0.97-1.11]; P = .099), diabetes (women: HR, 1.84 [95% CI, 1.35-2.52]; men: 1.13 [95% CI, 0.86-1.49]; P = .02), and heart disease (women: HR, 1.76 [95% CI, 1.30-2.39]; men, 1.26 [95% CI, 0.99-1.60]; P = .09) with stroke risk were larger for women than men, while antihypertensive medication use had a smaller association in women than men (women: HR, 1.17 [95% CI, 0.89-1.54]; men: 1.61 [95% CI, 1.29-2.03]; P = .08). In black individuals, there was no evidence of a sex difference for any risk factors.Conclusions and relevanceFor both races, at age 45 through 64 years, women were at lower stroke risk than men, and there was no sex difference at 75 years or older; however, the sex difference pattern may differ by race from age 65 through 74 years. The association of risk factors on stroke risk differed by race-sex groups. While the need for primordial prevention, optimal management, and control of risk factors is universal across all age, racial/ethnic, and sex groups, some demographic subgroups may require earlier and more aggressive strategies.
| S-EPMC6439952 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ImportanceBirth in a group of predominantly southern US states is robustly linked to increased stroke risk. Given the role of cerebrovascular disease in dementia risk, geographic patterning may also occur for dementia incidence.ObjectiveTo determine whether birth in 9 high stroke mortality states (HSMSs) is associated with dementia in a diverse cohort of individuals living in Northern California.Design, setting, and participantsAn observational cohort study included 7423 members of Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC), an integrated health care delivery system, with health survey and clinical examination data available. Data were collected between 1964 and 1973 when the individuals were middle-aged and 1996 and 2015 when participants were in later life.ExposuresSelf-reported state of birth in an HSMS (top quintile of states for stroke mortality).Main outcomes and measuresDementia diagnoses obtained from electronic health records from January 1, 1996, to October 15, 2015. Place of birth, race, educational level, and midlife vascular risk factors data were collected between 1964 and 1973.ResultsOf the 7423 persons included in the analysis, 4049 (54.5%) were women; 1354 (18.2%) were black. The mean (SD) age of study participants at their first visit between 1963 and 1974 was 42.94 (1.73) years and mean (SD) age at the beginning of follow-up for dementia in 1996 was 71.14 (2.72) years. Dementia was diagnosed in 2254 (30.4%) of the participants and was more common among those born in an HSMS than those born outside of one (455 [39.0%] vs 1799 [28.8%]). Birth in an HSMS was 9.6 times more common for black participants (795 [58.7%]) than nonblack participants (371 [6.1%]). Overall, birth in an HSMS was associated with a 28% higher risk of dementia (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.28; 95% CI, 1.13-1.46) adjusted for age, sex, and race. Compared with nonblack persons born outside of an HSMS, black individuals born in an HSMS had the highest dementia risk (aHR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.48-1.88), followed by black individuals not born in an HSMS (aHR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.28-1.72), and nonblack persons born in an HSMS had a 46% increased risk (aHR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.23-1.74). Cumulative 20-year dementia risks at age 65 years were 30.13% (95% CI, 26.87%-32.93%) and 21.80% (95% CI, 20.51%-22.91%) for individuals born in and outside an HSMS, respectively.Conclusions and relevanceTo our knowledge, this is the first study to date of place of birth and incident dementia and shows increased risk for individuals born in an HSMS, even though all participants subsequently resided in California. Birth in an HSMS was common among black participants. Place of birth has enduring consequences for dementia risk and may be a major contributor to racial disparities in dementia.
| S-EPMC5691590 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ImportanceAt a given estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), individuals who are Black have higher rates of mortality and kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT) compared with those who are non-Black. Whether the recently adopted eGFR equations without race preserve racial differences in risk of mortality and KFRT at a given eGFR is unknown.ObjectiveTo assess whether eGFR equations with and without race and cystatin C document racial differences in risk of KFRT and mortality in populations including Black and non-Black participants.Design, setting, and participantsRetrospective individual-level data analysis of 62 011 participants from 5 general population and 3 chronic kidney disease (CKD) US-based cohorts with serum creatinine, cystatin C, and follow-up for KFRT and mortality from 1988 to 2018.ExposuresChronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equation with serum creatinine (eGFRcr with and without race), cystatin C (eGFRcys without race), or both markers (eGFRcr-cys without race).Main outcomes and measuresThe prevalence of decreased eGFR at baseline and hazard ratios of KFRT and mortality in Black vs non-Black participants were calculated, adjusted for age and sex. Analyses were performed within each cohort and with random-effect meta-analyses of the models.ResultsAmong 62 011 participants (20 773 Black and 41 238 non-Black; mean age, 63 years; 53% women), the prevalence ratio (95% CI; percent prevalences) of eGFR less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 comparing Black with non-Black participants was 0.98 (95% CI, 0.93-1.03; 11% vs 12%) for eGFRcr with race, 0.95 (95% CI, 0.91-0.98; 17% vs 18%) for eGFRcys, and 1.2 (95% CI, 1.2-1.3; 13% vs 11%) for eGFRcr-cys but was 1.8 (95% CI, 1.7-1.8; 15% vs 9%) for eGFRcr without race. During a mean follow-up of 13 years, 8% and 4% of Black and non-Black participants experienced KFRT and 34% and 39% died, respectively. Decreased eGFR was associated with significantly greater risk of both outcomes for all equations. At an eGFR of 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, the hazard ratios for KFRT comparing Black with non-Black participants were 2.8 (95% CI, 1.6-4.9) for eGFRcr with race, 3.0 (95% CI, 1.5-5.8) for eGFRcys, and 2.8 (95% CI, 1.4-5.4) for eGFRcr-cys vs 1.3 (95% CI, 0.8-2.1) for eGFRcr without race. The 5-year absolute risk differences for KFRT comparing Black with non-Black participants were 1.4% (95% CI, 0.2%-2.6%) for eGFRcr with race, 1.1% (95% CI, 0.2%-1.9%) for eGFRcys, and 1.3% (95% CI, 0%-2.6%) for eGFRcr-cys vs 0.37% (95% CI, -0.32% to 1.05%) for eGFRcr without race. Similar patterns were observed for mortality.Conclusions and relevanceIn this retrospective analysis of 8 US cohorts including Black and non-Black individuals, the eGFR equation without race that included creatinine and cystatin C, but not the eGFR equation without race that included creatinine without cystatin C, demonstrated racial differences in the risk of KFRT and mortality throughout the range of eGFR. The eGFRcr-cys equation may be preferable to the eGFRcr equation without race for assessing racial differences in the risk of KFRT and mortality associated with low eGFR.
| S-EPMC9171658 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ObjectiveTo determine black-white differences in 1-year recurrent stroke and 30-day case fatality after a recurrent stroke in older US adults.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study using a 5% random sample of Medicare beneficiaries with fee-for-service health insurance coverage who were hospitalized for ischemic stroke between 1999 and 2013. Hazard ratios for recurrent ischemic stroke and risk ratios for 30-day case fatality comparing blacks to whites were calculated with adjustment for demographics, risk factors, and competing risk of death when appropriate.ResultsAmong 128,789 Medicare beneficiaries having an ischemic stroke (mean age 80 years [SD 8 years], 60.4% male), 11.1% were black. The incidence rate of recurrent ischemic stroke per 1,000 person-years for whites and blacks was 108 (95% confidence interval [CI], 106-111) and 154 (95% CI 147-162) , respectively. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio for recurrent stroke among blacks compared with whites was 1.36 (95% CI 1.29-1.44). The case fatality after recurrent stroke for blacks and whites was 21% (95% CI 21%-22%) and 16% (95% CI 15%-18%), respectively. The multivariable-adjusted relative risk for mortality within 30 days of a recurrent stroke among blacks compared with whites was 0.82 (95% CI 0.73-0.93).ConclusionThe risk of stroke recurrence among older Americans hospitalized for ischemic stroke is higher for blacks compared to whites, while 30-day case fatality after recurrent stroke remains lower for blacks.
| S-EPMC6251602 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Importance:Timing of surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) in patients with aortic valve stenosis and previous stroke for the risk of recurrent stroke is insufficiently investigated. Objective:To evaluate the association of time elapsed between previous stroke and SAVR with the risk of recurrent perioperative stroke, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and mortality among patients with aortic valve stenosis. Design, Setting, and Participants:This cohort study using data from Danish administrative registries included all patients with aortic valve stenosis older than 18 years who underwent SAVR between 1996 and 2014 (n = 14 030). Patients who received simultaneous mitral, tricuspid, or pulmonary valve surgery and patients with endocarditis 1 year prior to surgery were excluded. Data were analyzed from March 2017 to January 2018. Exposures:Time elapsed between prior stroke and SAVR (<3 months, 3-<12 months, ≥12 months, and no prior stroke). Main Outcomes and Measures:Thirty-day risks of MACE, ischemic stroke, and all-cause mortality reported as absolute events and multivariable adjusted odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals. Restricted cubic spline regression models were additionally applied on the subgroup with prior stroke. Results:Of the 14 030 included patients, 616 patients (190 [30.8%] women; mean [SD] age, 72.0 [9.1] years) with prior stroke underwent surgery, and 13 414 (4837 [36.1%] women; mean [SD] age, 69.8 [10.8] years) without prior stroke underwent surgery. The absolute risk of ischemic stroke was significantly increased in patients with stroke less than 3 months prior to surgery compared with patients with no prior stroke (18.4% [37 of 201] vs 1.2% [160 of 13 219]; odds ratio, 14.69; 95% CI, 9.69-22.27). Likewise, compared with patients without stroke, patients with stroke less than 3 months prior surgery were at significantly increased risk of MACE (23.3% [53 of 227] vs 5.7% [768 of 13 414]; odds ratio, 4.57; 95% CI, 3.24-6.44) but not all-cause mortality (6.8% [50 of 730] vs 3.6% [374 of 10 370]; odds ratio, 1.45; 95% CI, 0.83-2.54). Spline analyses supported a declining risk over time, reaching nadir after 2 to 4 months. Conclusions and Relevance:Previous stroke is a major risk factor of recurrent ischemic stroke and MACE in patients undergoing SAVR, especially if time elapsed between previous stroke and surgery is less than 3 months.
| S-EPMC6128513 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundExtrapulmonary tuberculosis is likely a marker of underlying immune compromise. Our objective was to determine race and sex differences in extrapulmonary tuberculosis risk in order to identify the optimal population in which to assess for host factors associated with extrapulmonary tuberculosis.MethodsWe performed an observational study of all tuberculosis cases reported to the Tennessee Department of Health, January 1, 2000 to December 31, 2006. We compared the incidence of extrapulmonary tuberculosis by race and sex. We also examined risk factors associated with extrapulmonary disease among all persons with tuberculosis.ResultsExtrapulmonary tuberculosis incidence per 100,000 population was 5.93 in black men, 3.21 in black women, 1.01 in non-black men, and 0.58 in non-black women. Among those with tuberculosis, black women were most likely to have extrapulmonary disease (38.6%), followed by black men (28.1%), non-black women (24.6%) and non-black men (21.1%). In multivariate logistic regression among persons with tuberculosis, black women (OR 1.82 (95% CI 1.24-2.65), p = 0.002), black men (OR 1.54 (95% CI 1.13-2.09, p = 0.006), foreign birth (OR 1.55 (95% CI 1.12-2.14), p = 0.009), and HIV infection (OR 1.45 (95% CI 0.99-2.11), p = 0.06) were associated with extrapulmonary tuberculosis.ConclusionsBlack men and black women had the highest incidence of extrapulmonary tuberculosis, and high odds of extrapulmonary disease among persons with tuberculosis. These data suggest that factors in addition to tuberculosis exposure contribute to extrapulmonary tuberculosis risk in blacks.
| S-EPMC2823615 | biostudies-literature
Project description:The predictors of recurrent autoimmune hepatitis (R-AIH) after liver transplantation (LT) are heterogeneous with limited data to guide immunosuppression, with little data on impact of race.AimsTo describe the incidence, predictors, and outcomes of R-AIH.MethodsWe studied patients undergoing LT for AIH during 2000-2017 at our center. Liver biopsies were performed for clinical indications. R-AIH was defined using clinical and histologic criteria.ResultsAmong 75 patients undergoing LT for AIH (mean age 45 ± 16, 65% female individuals, 19% Black), 71 (95%) received antithymocyte globulin induction with tacrolimus-based immunosuppression. R-AIH developed in 20 (27%) patients at a median interval of 313 d (interquartile range, 155-1205). R-AIH was associated with level 2 HLA-DR mismatch (hazard ratio, 3.6; (95% confidence interval, 1.3-9.9; P = 0.01) and Black race (hazard ratio, 4.5; 95% confidence interval, 1.8-11.8; P = 0.002)] in the multivariable analysis. R-AIH developed in 62% of patients with level 2 HLA-DR mismatch on single-agent immunosuppression but in <20% of patients with no or 1 HLA-DR mismatch regardless of maintenance immunosuppression. R-AIH developed in 8 (57%) of 14 Black patients (71% on single-agent and 43% on dual-agent maintenance immunosuppression). Patient and graft survival were not impacted by R-AIH over a median follow-up of 8.3 y (interquartile range, 3-12).ConclusionsHigh-level HLA-DR mismatch and Black recipient race are associated with an increased risk of R-AIH. Immunosuppression did not predict R-AIH, but higher rates of disease recurrence with single-agent maintenance immunosuppression with these risk factors were observed and may guide maintenance immunosuppression in LT for AIH.
| S-EPMC8196096 | biostudies-literature