Dataset Information

Climatic Drivers of Diarrheagenic Escherichia coli Incidence: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

ABSTRACT: Positive associations have been noted between temperature and diarrhea incidence, but considerable uncertainty surrounds quantitative estimates of this relationship because of pathogen-specific factors and a scarcity of data on the influence of meteorological factors on the risk of disease. Quantifying these relationships is important for disease prevention and climate change adaptation.To address these issues, we performed a systematic literature review of studies in which at least 1 full year of data on the monthly incidence of diarrheagenic Escherichia coli were reported. We characterized seasonal patterns of disease incidence from 28 studies. In addition, using monthly time- and location-specific weather data for 18 studies, we performed univariate Poisson models on individual studies and a meta-analysis, using a generalized estimating equation, on the entire data set.We found an 8% increase in the incidence of diarrheagenic E. coli (95% confidence interval, 5%-11%; P < .0001) for each 1°C increase in mean monthly temperature. We found a modest positive association between 1-month-lagged mean rainfall and incidence of diarrheagenic E. coli, which was not statistically significant when we controlled for temperature.These results suggest that increases in ambient temperature correspond to an elevated incidence of diarrheagenic E. coli and underscore the need to redouble efforts to prevent the transmission of these pathogens in the face of increasing global temperatures.

SUBMITTER: Philipsborn R

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4907410 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Climatic Drivers of Diarrheagenic Escherichia coli Incidence: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Philipsborn Rebecca R Ahmed Sharia M SM Brosi Berry J BJ Levy Karen K

The Journal of infectious diseases 20160229 1

<h4>Background</h4>Positive associations have been noted between temperature and diarrhea incidence, but considerable uncertainty surrounds quantitative estimates of this relationship because of pathogen-specific factors and a scarcity of data on the influence of meteorological factors on the risk of disease. Quantifying these relationships is important for disease prevention and climate change adaptation.<h4>Methods</h4>To address these issues, we performed a systematic literature review of stu ...[more]

PMID: 26931446

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Project description:Observational studies have suggested that Escherichia coli sequence type (ST) 131 and Klebsiella pneumoniae ST258 have hyperendemic properties. This would be obvious from continuously high incidence and/or prevalence of carriage or infection with these bacteria in specific patient populations. Hyperendemicity could result from increased transmissibility, longer duration of infectiousness, and/or higher pathogenic potential as compared with other lineages of the same species. The aim of our research is to quantitatively estimate these critical parameters for E. coli ST131 and K. pneumoniae ST258, in order to investigate whether E. coli ST131 and K. pneumoniae ST258 are truly hyperendemic clones.A systematic literature search was performed to assess the evidence of transmissibility, duration of infectiousness, and pathogenicity for E. coli ST131 and K. pneumoniae ST258. Meta-regression was performed to quantify these characteristics.The systematic literature search yielded 639 articles, of which 19 data sources provided information on transmissibility (E. coli ST131 n=9; K. pneumoniae ST258 n=10)), 2 on duration of infectiousness (E. coli ST131 n=2), and 324 on pathogenicity (E. coli ST131 n=285; K. pneumoniae ST258 n=39). Available data on duration of carriage and on transmissibility were insufficient for quantitative assessment. In multivariable meta-regression E. coli isolates causing infection were associated with ST131, compared to isolates only causing colonisation, suggesting that E. coli ST131 can be considered more pathogenic than non-ST131 isolates. Date of isolation, location and resistance mechanism also influenced the prevalence of ST131. E. coli ST131 was 3.2 (95% CI 2.0 to 5.0) times more pathogenic than non-ST131. For K. pneumoniae ST258 there were not enough data for meta-regression assessing the influence of colonisation versus infection on ST258 prevalence.With the currently available data, it cannot be confirmed nor rejected, that E. coli ST131 or K. pneumoniae ST258 are hyperendemic clones.

Project description:BackgroundAntimicrobial resistance is a serious public health problem. Fecal carriage of drug-resistant bacteria has been suggested as an important source of antimicrobial resistant genes (ARGs). We aimed to identify risk factors associated with fecal carriage of drug-resistant commensal Escherichia coli among healthy adult population.MethodsWe conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis following the PRISMA guideline. We identified observational studies published from 2014 to 2019 through PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science. Studies were eligible if they investigated and reported risk factors and accompanying measure of associations for fecal carriage of drug-resistant E. coli for healthy population aged 18-65. Data on risk factors assessed in three or more studies were extracted.ResultsFifteen of 395 studies involving 11480 healthy individuals were included. The pooled prevalence of drug-resistant Enterobacteriaceae was 14% (95% confidence interval [CI] 8-23%). Antimicrobial use within the 12 months prior to stool culture (odds ratio [OR] 1.84 [95%CI 1.35-2.51]), diarrhea symptoms (OR 1.56 [95%CI 1.09-2.25]), travel to India (OR 4.15 [95%CI 2.54-6.78]), and vegetarian diet (OR 1.60 [95%CI 1.00(1.0043)-2.56(2.5587)]) were associated with increased risk of fecal carriage of drug-resistant E. coli. Among travellers, antimicrobial use (OR 2.81 [95%CI 1.47-5.36]), diarrhea symptoms (OR 1.65 [95%CI 1.02-2.68]), travel to India (OR 3.80 [95%CI 2.23-6.47]), and vegetarian diet (OR 1.92 [95%CI 1.13-3.26]) were associated with increased risk. Among general adult population, antimicrobial use (OR 1.51 [95%CI 1.17-1.94]), diarrhea symptoms (OR 1.53 [95%CI 1.27-1.84]), and travel to Southeast Asia (OR 1.67 [95%CI 1.02-2.73]) were associated with the increased risk of drug-resistant E. coli carriage.ConclusionsThe findings indicate that dietary habit as well as past antimicrobial use and travel to high-risk country are associated with the risk of fecal carriage of drug-resistant commensal E. coli.

Dataset Information

Climatic Drivers of Diarrheagenic Escherichia coli Incidence: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Publications

Climatic Drivers of Diarrheagenic Escherichia coli Incidence: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

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