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Magnitude of Missed Esophageal Adenocarcinoma After Barrett's Esophagus Diagnosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

ABSTRACT: A proportion of patients with Barrett's esophagus (BE) are diagnosed with esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) within 1 year of an endoscopic examination that produced negative findings. These cases of missed cancers have not been well studied, despite current surveillance strategies for BE. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the magnitude of missed EAC in cohorts of patients with BE.We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Web of Science from their inception to May 31, 2015 to identify cohort studies of adults with BE (baseline nondysplastic BE ± BE with low-grade dysplasia) and at least a 3-year follow-up period, providing data on missed and incident EACs (diagnosed within 1 year and diagnosed more than 1 year after the initial endoscopy in which BE was diagnosed, respectively). The main outcome measure was pooled proportion of missed and incident EACs (of all EACs detected after initial endoscopy) among BE cohorts, using a random effects model.In a meta-analysis of 24 studies reporting on 820 missed and incident EACs, 25.3% were classified as missed (95% confidence interval: 16.4%-36.8%) and 74.7% as incident EACs (95% CI: 63.2%-83.6%), although there was substantial heterogeneity among studies (I2 = 74%). When the analysis was restricted to nondysplastic BE cohorts (15 studies), 23.9% of EACs were classified as missed (95% confidence interval: 15.3%-35.4%; I2 = 0%). In a meta-analysis of 10 studies with follow-up periods of ?5 years (a total of 239 EACs), 22.0% were classified as missed (95% confidence interval: 8.7%-45.5%), with substantial heterogeneity (I2 = 68%).Among adults with nondysplastic BE (or BE with low-grade dysplasia) at their index endoscopy and at least a 3-year follow-up period, 25% of EACs are diagnosed within 1 year after the index endoscopy. Additional resources should be allocated to detect missed EAC.

SUBMITTER: Visrodia K

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4919075 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Magnitude of Missed Esophageal Adenocarcinoma After Barrett's Esophagus Diagnosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Visrodia Kavel K Singh Siddharth S Krishnamoorthi Rajesh R Ahlquist David A DA Wang Kenneth K KK Iyer Prasad G PG Katzka David A DA

Gastroenterology 20151124 3

<h4>Background & aims</h4>A proportion of patients with Barrett's esophagus (BE) are diagnosed with esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) within 1 year of an endoscopic examination that produced negative findings. These cases of missed cancers have not been well studied, despite current surveillance strategies for BE. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the magnitude of missed EAC in cohorts of patients with BE.<h4>Methods</h4>We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Web of Science ...[more]

PMID: 26619962

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Project description:Although endoscopic surveillance of patients with Barrett's esophagus (BE) has been widely implemented for early detection of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), its justification has been debated. This systematic review aimed to evaluate benefits, safety, and cost effectiveness of surveillance for patients with BE.MEDLINE, EMBASE, EconLit, Scopus, Cochrane, and CINAHL were searched for published human studies that examined screening practices, benefits, safety, and cost effectiveness of surveillance among patients with BE. Reviewers independently reviewed eligible full-text study articles and conducted data extraction and quality assessment, with disagreements resolved by consensus. Random effects meta-analyses were performed to assess the incidence of EAC, EAC/high-grade dysplasia (HGD), and annual stage-specific transition probabilities detected among BE patients under surveillance, and relative risk of mortality among EAC patients detected during surveillance compared with those not under surveillance.A total of 51 studies with 11,028 subjects were eligible; the majority were of high quality based on the Newcastle-Ottawa quality scale. Among BE patients undergoing endoscopic surveillance, pooled EAC incidence per 1,000 person-years of surveillance follow-up was 5.5 (95% confidence interval (CI): 4.2-6.8) and pooled EAC/HGD incidence was 7.7 (95% CI: 5.7-9.7). Pooled relative mortality risk among surveillance-detected EAC patients compared with nonsurveillance-detected EAC patients was 0.386 (95% CI: 0.242-0.617). Pooled annual stage-specific transition probabilities from nondysplastic BE to low-grade dysplasia, high-grade dysplasia, and EAC were 0.019, 0.003, and 0.004, respectively. There was, however, insufficient scientific evidence on safety and cost effectiveness of surveillance for BE patients.Our findings confirmed a low incidence rate of EAC among BE patients undergoing surveillance and a reduction in mortality by 61% among those who received regular surveillance and developed EAC. Because of knowledge gaps, it is important to assess safety of surveillance and health-care resource use and costs to supplement existing evidence and inform a future policy decision for surveillance programs.

Dataset Information

Magnitude of Missed Esophageal Adenocarcinoma After Barrett's Esophagus Diagnosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Publications

Magnitude of Missed Esophageal Adenocarcinoma After Barrett's Esophagus Diagnosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

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