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Inferring species divergence times using pairwise sequential Markovian coalescent modelling and low-coverage genomic data.

ABSTRACT: Understanding when species diverged aids in identifying the drivers of speciation, but the end of gene flow between populations can be difficult to ascertain from genetic data. We explore the use of pairwise sequential Markovian coalescent (PSMC) modelling to infer the timing of divergence between species and populations. PSMC plots generated using artificial hybrid genomes show rapid increases in effective population size at the time when the two parent lineages diverge, and this approach has been used previously to infer divergence between human lineages. We show that, even without high coverage or phased input data, PSMC can detect the end of significant gene flow between populations by comparing the PSMC output from artificial hybrids to the output of simulations with known demographic histories. We then apply PSMC to detect divergence times among lineages within two real datasets: great apes and bears within the genus Ursus Our results confirm most previously proposed divergence times for these lineages, and suggest that gene flow between recently diverged lineages may have been common among bears and great apes, including up to one million years of continued gene flow between chimpanzees and bonobos after the formation of the Congo River.This article is part of the themed issue 'Dating species divergences using rocks and clocks'.

SUBMITTER: Cahill JA

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4920339 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Inferring species divergence times using pairwise sequential Markovian coalescent modelling and low-coverage genomic data.

Cahill James A JA Soares André E R AE Green Richard E RE Shapiro Beth B

Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences 20160701 1699

Understanding when species diverged aids in identifying the drivers of speciation, but the end of gene flow between populations can be difficult to ascertain from genetic data. We explore the use of pairwise sequential Markovian coalescent (PSMC) modelling to infer the timing of divergence between species and populations. PSMC plots generated using artificial hybrid genomes show rapid increases in effective population size at the time when the two parent lineages diverge, and this approach has b ...[more]

PMID: 27325835

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Project description:Bacteria can exchange and acquire new genetic material from other organisms directly and via the environment. This process, known as bacterial recombination, has a strong impact on the evolution of bacteria, for example, leading to the spread of antibiotic resistance across clades and species, and to the avoidance of clonal interference. Recombination hinders phylogenetic and transmission inference because it creates patterns of substitutions (homoplasies) inconsistent with the hypothesis of a single evolutionary tree. Bacterial recombination is typically modeled as statistically akin to gene conversion in eukaryotes, i.e., using the coalescent with gene conversion (CGC). However, this model can be very computationally demanding as it needs to account for the correlations of evolutionary histories of even distant loci. So, with the increasing popularity of whole genome sequencing, the need has emerged for a faster approach to model and simulate bacterial genome evolution. We present a new model that approximates the coalescent with gene conversion: the bacterial sequential Markov coalescent (BSMC). Our approach is based on a similar idea to the sequential Markov coalescent (SMC)-an approximation of the coalescent with crossover recombination. However, bacterial recombination poses hurdles to a sequential Markov approximation, as it leads to strong correlations and linkage disequilibrium across very distant sites in the genome. Our BSMC overcomes these difficulties, and shows a considerable reduction in computational demand compared to the exact CGC, and very similar patterns in simulated data. We implemented our BSMC model within new simulation software FastSimBac. In addition to the decreased computational demand compared to previous bacterial genome evolution simulators, FastSimBac provides more general options for evolutionary scenarios, allowing population structure with migration, speciation, population size changes, and recombination hotspots. FastSimBac is available from https://bitbucket.org/nicofmay/fastsimbac, and is distributed as open source under the terms of the GNU General Public License. Lastly, we use the BSMC within an Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) inference scheme, and suggest that parameters simulated under the exact CGC can correctly be recovered, further showcasing the accuracy of the BSMC. With this ABC we infer recombination rate, mutation rate, and recombination tract length of Bacillus cereus from a whole genome alignment.

Dataset Information

Inferring species divergence times using pairwise sequential Markovian coalescent modelling and low-coverage genomic data.

Publications

Inferring species divergence times using pairwise sequential Markovian coalescent modelling and low-coverage genomic data.

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