Suppressing disease spreading by using information diffusion on multiplex networks.
Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Wang W
PROVIDER: S-EPMC4933956 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:We study a model of information spreading on multiplex networks, in which agents interact through multiple interaction channels (layers), say online vs. offline communication layers, subject to layer-switching cost for transmissions across different interaction layers. The model is characterized by the layer-wise path-dependent transmissibility over a contact, that is dynamically determined dependently on both incoming and outgoing transmission layers. We formulate an analytical framework to deal with such path-dependent transmissibility and demonstrate the nontrivial interplay between the multiplexity and spreading dynamics, including optimality. It is shown that the epidemic threshold and prevalence respond to the layer-switching cost non-monotonically and that the optimal conditions can change in abrupt non-analytic ways, depending also on the densities of network layers and the type of seed infections. Our results elucidate the essential role of multiplexity that its explicit consideration should be crucial for realistic modeling and prediction of spreading phenomena on multiplex social networks in an era of ever-diversifying social interaction layers.
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Project description:We propose a theoretical framework for the study of spreading processes in structured metapopulations, with heterogeneous agents, subjected to different recurrent mobility patterns. We propose to represent the heterogeneity in the composition of the metapopulations as layers in a multiplex network, where nodes would correspond to geographical areas and layers account for the mobility patterns of agents of the same class. We analyze classical epidemic models within this framework and obtain an excellent agreement with extensive Monte Carlo simulations. This agreement allows us to derive analytical expressions of the epidemic threshold and to face the challenge of characterizing a real multiplex metapopulation, the city of Medellín in Colombia, where different recurrent mobility patterns are observed depending on the socioeconomic class of the agents. Our framework allows us to unveil the geographical location of those patches that trigger the epidemic state at the critical point. A careful exploration reveals that social mixing between classes and mobility crucially determines these critical patches and, more importantly, it can produce abrupt changes of the critical properties of the epidemic onset. Summary The spread of disease is strongly driven by how humans move and segregate across cities, regions, and countries. Understanding how epidemics arise from the interplay of these behaviors is crucial for implementing efficient containment and prevention policies. In this work, we propose a theoretical framework for the spread of pathogens that incorporates the real patterns of mobility, demographics, and human diversity observed in urban environments. Our framework represents various populations in a community as layers in a multiplex network, where nodes correspond to geographical areas and layers account for movement patterns. With this framework, we analyze a real urban system, the city of Medellin in Colombia, considering the interplay between six socioeconomic classes displaying disparate demographic segregation and mobility habits. Our framework can identify those neighborhoods and classes that trigger epidemic outbreaks. Remarkably, we observe that small changes to both mobility and social mixing among these subpopulations can trigger abrupt changes. As a consequence, containment strategies targeting a certain neighborhood can quickly change from efficient to useless. Finally, we provide a physical interpretation of the abrupt changes of those patches driving the unfolding of epidemics based on the effective number of contacts of agents. Our framework provides a reliable, time-saving platform for analyzing the spread of pathogens among various populations, allowing researchers to identify areas critical to the unfolding of diseases. With further improvements, our formalism could be extended to accommodate more sophisticated commuting patterns and epidemic models.
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Project description:Using network-based information to facilitate information spreading is an essential task for spreading dynamics in complex networks. Focusing on degree correlated networks, we propose a preferential contact strategy based on the local network structure and local informed density to promote the information spreading. During the spreading process, an informed node will preferentially select a contact target among its neighbors, basing on their degrees or local informed densities. By extensively implementing numerical simulations in synthetic and empirical networks, we find that when only consider the local structure information, the convergence time of information spreading will be remarkably reduced if low-degree neighbors are favored as contact targets. Meanwhile, the minimum convergence time depends non-monotonically on degree-degree correlation, and a moderate correlation coefficient results in the most efficient information spreading. Incorporating the local informed density information into contact strategy, the convergence time of information spreading can be further reduced, and be minimized by an moderately preferential selection.
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Project description:Progress has been made in understanding how temporal network features affect the percentage of nodes reached by an information diffusion process. In this work, we explore further: which node pairs are likely to contribute to the actual diffusion of information, i.e., appear in a diffusion trajectory? How is this likelihood related to the local temporal connection features of the node pair? Such deep understanding of the role of node pairs is crucial to tackle challenging optimization problems such as which kind of node pairs or temporal contacts should be stimulated in order to maximize the prevalence of information spreading. We start by using Susceptible-Infected (SI) model, in which an infected (information possessing) node could spread the information to a susceptible node with a given infection probability ? whenever a contact happens between the two nodes, as the information diffusion process. We consider a large number of real-world temporal networks. First, we propose the construction of an information diffusion backbone GB(?) for a SI spreading process with an infection probability ? on a temporal network. The backbone is a weighted network where the weight of each node pair indicates how likely the node pair appears in a diffusion trajectory starting from an arbitrary node. Second, we investigate the relation between the backbones with different infection probabilities on a temporal network. We find that the backbone topology obtained for low and high infection probabilities approach the backbone GB(????0) and GB(??=?1), respectively. The backbone GB(????0) equals the integrated weighted network, where the weight of a node pair counts the total number of contacts in between. Finally, we explore node pairs with what local connection features tend to appear in GB(??=?1), thus actually contribute to the global information diffusion. We discover that a local connection feature among many other features we proposed, could well identify the (high-weight) links in GB(??=?1). This local feature encodes the time that each contact occurs, pointing out the importance of temporal features in determining the role of node pairs in a dynamic process.
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Project description:Information diffusion and disease spreading in communication-contact layered network are typically asymmetrically coupled with each other, in which disease spreading can be significantly affected by the way an individual being aware of disease responds to the disease. Many recent studies have demonstrated that human behavioral adoption is a complex and non-Markovian process, where the probability of behavior adoption is dependent on the cumulative times of information received and the social reinforcement effect of the cumulative information. In this paper, the impacts of such a non-Markovian vaccination adoption behavior on the epidemic dynamics and the control effects are explored. It is found that this complex adoption behavior in the communication layer can significantly enhance the epidemic threshold and reduce the final infection rate. By defining the social cost as the total cost of vaccination and treatment, it can be seen that there exists an optimal social reinforcement effect and optimal information transmission rate allowing the minimal social cost. Moreover, a mean-field theory is developed to verify the correctness of simulation results.
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Project description:Designing a spreading strategy is one of the critical issues strongly affecting spreading efficiency in complex networks. In this paper, to improve the efficiency of information spreading in scale-free networks, we propose four hybrid strategies by combining two basic strategies, i.e. (i) the LS (in which information is preferentially spread from the large-degree vertices to the small-degree ones), and (ii) the SL (in which information is preferentially spread from the small-degree vertices to the large-degree ones). The objective in combining the two basic LS and SL strategies is to fully exploit the advantages of both strategies. To evaluate the spreading efficiency of the proposed four hybrid strategies, we first propose an information spreading model. Then, we introduce the details of the proposed hybrid strategies that are formulated by combining LS and SL. Third, we build a set of scale-free network structures by differently configuring the relevant parameters. In addition, finally, we conduct various Monte Carlo experiments to examine the spreading efficiency of the proposed hybrid strategies in different scale-free network structures. Experimental results indicate that the proposed hybrid strategies are effective and efficient for spreading information in scale-free networks.
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