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Diet Quality Scores and Prediction of All-Cause, Cardiovascular and Cancer Mortality in a Pan-European Cohort Study.


ABSTRACT: Scores of overall diet quality have received increasing attention in relation to disease aetiology; however, their value in risk prediction has been little examined. The objective was to assess and compare the association and predictive performance of 10 diet quality scores on 10-year risk of all-cause, CVD and cancer mortality in 451,256 healthy participants to the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition, followed-up for a median of 12.8y. All dietary scores studied showed significant inverse associations with all outcomes. The range of HRs (95% CI) in the top vs. lowest quartile of dietary scores in a composite model including non-invasive factors (age, sex, smoking, body mass index, education, physical activity and study centre) was 0.75 (0.72-0.79) to 0.88 (0.84-0.92) for all-cause, 0.76 (0.69-0.83) to 0.84 (0.76-0.92) for CVD and 0.78 (0.73-0.83) to 0.91 (0.85-0.97) for cancer mortality. Models with dietary scores alone showed low discrimination, but composite models also including age, sex and other non-invasive factors showed good discrimination and calibration, which varied little between different diet scores examined. Mean C-statistic of full models was 0.73, 0.80 and 0.71 for all-cause, CVD and cancer mortality. Dietary scores have poor predictive performance for 10-year mortality risk when used in isolation but display good predictive ability in combination with other non-invasive common risk factors.

SUBMITTER: Lassale C 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4943719 | biostudies-literature | 2016

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Diet Quality Scores and Prediction of All-Cause, Cardiovascular and Cancer Mortality in a Pan-European Cohort Study.

Lassale Camille C   Gunter Marc J MJ   Romaguera Dora D   Peelen Linda M LM   Van der Schouw Yvonne T YT   Beulens Joline W J JW   Freisling Heinz H   Muller David C DC   Ferrari Pietro P   Huybrechts Inge I   Fagherazzi Guy G   Boutron-Ruault Marie-Christine MC   Affret Aurélie A   Overvad Kim K   Dahm Christina C CC   Olsen Anja A   Roswall Nina N   Tsilidis Konstantinos K KK   Katzke Verena A VA   Kühn Tilman T   Buijsse Brian B   Quirós José-Ramón JR   Sánchez-Cantalejo Emilio E   Etxezarreta Nerea N   Huerta José María JM   Barricarte Aurelio A   Bonet Catalina C   Khaw Kay-Tee KT   Key Timothy J TJ   Trichopoulou Antonia A   Bamia Christina C   Lagiou Pagona P   Palli Domenico D   Agnoli Claudia C   Tumino Rosario R   Fasanelli Francesca F   Panico Salvatore S   Bueno-de-Mesquita H Bas HB   Boer Jolanda M A JM   Sonestedt Emily E   Nilsson Lena Maria LM   Renström Frida F   Weiderpass Elisabete E   Skeie Guri G   Lund Eiliv E   Moons Karel G M KG   Riboli Elio E   Tzoulaki Ioanna I  

PloS one 20160713 7


Scores of overall diet quality have received increasing attention in relation to disease aetiology; however, their value in risk prediction has been little examined. The objective was to assess and compare the association and predictive performance of 10 diet quality scores on 10-year risk of all-cause, CVD and cancer mortality in 451,256 healthy participants to the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition, followed-up for a median of 12.8y. All dietary scores studied showed  ...[more]

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