New models for describing outliers in meta-analysis.
Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Baker R
PROVIDER: S-EPMC4964911 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:Missing data and outliers usually arise in longitudinal studies. Ignoring the effects of missing data and outliers will make the classical generalized estimating equation approach invalid. The longitudinal cohort study of rheumatoid arthritis patients was designed to investigate whether the Health Assessment Questionnaire score was associated with baseline covariates and changed with time. There exist dropouts and outliers in the data. In order to analyze the data, we develop a robust estimating equation approach. To deal with the responses missing at random, we extend a doubly robust method. To achieve robustness against outliers, we utilize an outlier robust method, which corrects the bias induced by outliers through centralizing the covariate matrix in the estimating equation. The doubly robust method for dropouts is easy to combine with the outlier robust method. The proposed method has the property of robustness in the sense that the proposed estimator is not only doubly robust against model misspecification for dropouts when there is no outlier in the data, but also robust against outliers. Consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator are established under regularity conditions. A comprehensive simulation study and real data analysis demonstrate that the proposed estimator does have the property of robustness.
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Project description:BackgroundMeta-analysis is a useful tool for combining evidence from multiple studies to estimate a pooled treatment effect. An extension of meta-analysis, network meta-analysis, is becoming more commonly used as a way to simultaneously compare multiple treatments in a single analysis. Despite the variety of approaches available for presenting fitted models, ascertaining an intuitive understanding of these models is often difficult. This is especially challenging in large networks with many different treatments. Here we propose two visualisation methods, so that network meta-analysis models can be more easily interpreted.MethodsOur methods can be used irrespective of the statistical model or the estimation method used and are grounded in network analysis. We define three types of distance measures between the treatments that contribute to the network. These three distance measures are based on 1) the estimated treatment effects, 2) their standard errors and 3) the corresponding p-values. Then, by using a suitable threshold, we categorise some treatment pairs as being "close" (short distances). Treatments that are close are regarded as "connected" in the network analysis theory. Finally, we group the treatments into communities using standard methods for network analysis. We are then able to identify which parts of the network are estimated to have similar (or different) treatment efficacy and which parts of the network are better identified. We also propose a second method using parametric bootstrapping, where a heat map is used in the visualisation. We use the software R and provide the code used.ResultsWe illustrate our new methods using a challenging dataset containing 22 treatments, and a previously fitted model for this data. Two communities of treatments that appear to have similar efficacy are identified. Furthermore using our methods we can identify parts of the network that are better (and less well) identified.ConclusionsOur new visualisation approaches may be used by network meta-analysts to gain an intuitive understanding of the implications of their fitted models. Our visualisation methods may be used informally, to identify the most salient features of the fitted models that can then be reported, or more formally by presenting the new visualisation devices within published reports.
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Project description:Connectivity of terrestrial deep biosphere microbial communities with surface communities
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Project description:The true accuracy of a machine-learning model is a population-level statistic that cannot be observed directly. In practice, predictor performance is estimated against one or more test datasets, and the accuracy of this estimate strongly depends on how well the test sets represent all possible unseen datasets. Here we describe paired evaluation as a simple, robust approach for evaluating performance of machine-learning models in small-sample biological and clinical studies. We use the method to evaluate predictors of drug response in breast cancer cell lines and of disease severity in patients with Alzheimer's disease, demonstrating that the choice of test data can cause estimates of performance to vary by as much as 20%. We show that paired evaluation makes it possible to identify outliers, improve the accuracy of performance estimates in the presence of known confounders, and assign statistical significance when comparing machine-learning models.
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Project description:When addressing spatial biological questions using mathematical models, symmetries within the system are often exploited to simplify the problem by reducing its physical dimension. In a reduced-dimension model molecular movement is restricted to the reduced dimension, changing the nature of molecular movement. This change in molecular movement can lead to quantitatively and even qualitatively different results in the full and reduced systems. Within this manuscript we discuss the condition under which restricted molecular movement in reduced-dimension models accurately approximates molecular movement in the full system. For those systems which do not satisfy the condition, we present a general method for approximating unrestricted molecular movement in reduced-dimension models. We will derive a mathematically robust, finite difference method for solving the 2D diffusion equation within a 1D reduced-dimension model. The methods described here can be used to improve the accuracy of many reduced-dimension models while retaining benefits of system simplification.
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Project description:BackgroundTo elucidate molecular features associated with disproportionate survival of glioblastoma (GB) patients, we conducted deep genomic comparative analysis of a cohort of patients receiving standard therapy (surgery plus concurrent radiation and temozolomide); "GB outliers" were identified: long-term survivor of 33 months (LTS; n = 8) versus short-term survivor of 7 months (STS; n = 10).MethodsWe implemented exome, RNA, whole genome sequencing, and DNA methylation for collection of deep genomic data from STS and LTS GB patients.ResultsLTS GB showed frequent chromosomal gains in 4q12 (platelet derived growth factor receptor alpha and KIT) and 12q14.1 (cyclin-dependent kinase 4), and deletion in 19q13.33 (BAX, branched chain amino-acid transaminase 2, and cluster of differentiation 33). STS GB showed frequent deletion in 9p11.2 (forkhead box D4-like 2 and aquaporin 7 pseudogene 3) and 22q11.21 (Hypermethylated In Cancer 2). LTS GB showed 2-fold more frequent copy number deletions compared with STS GB. Gene expression differences showed the STS cohort with altered transcriptional regulators: activation of signal transducer and activator of transcription (STAT)5a/b, nuclear factor-kappaB (NF-κB), and interferon-gamma (IFNG), and inhibition of mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK1), extracellular signal-regulated kinase (ERK)1/2, and estrogen receptor (ESR)1. Expression-based biological concepts prominent in the STS cohort include metabolic processes, anaphase-promoting complex degradation, and immune processes associated with major histocompatibility complex class I antigen presentation; the LTS cohort features genes related to development, morphogenesis, and the mammalian target of rapamycin signaling pathway. Whole genome methylation analyses showed that a methylation signature of 89 probes distinctly separates LTS from STS GB tumors.ConclusionWe posit that genomic instability is associated with longer survival of GB (possibly with vulnerability to standard therapy); conversely, genomic and epigenetic signatures may identify patients where up-front entry into alternative, targeted regimens would be a preferred, more efficacious management.
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Project description:Data on functional disability are of widespread policy interest in the United States, especially with respect to planning for Medicare and Social Security for a growing population of elderly adults. We consider an extract of functional disability data from the National Long Term Care Survey (NLTCS) and attempt to develop disability profiles using variations of the Grade of Membership (GoM) model. We first describe GoM as an individual-level mixture model that allows individuals to have partial membership in several mixture components simultaneously. We then prove the equivalence between individual-level and population-level mixture models, and use this property to develop a Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm for Bayesian estimation of the model. We use our approach to analyze functional disability data from the NLTCS.
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Project description:Gels are a drug delivery platform that is being evaluated for application of active pharmaceutical ingredients, termed microbicides, that act topically against vaginal and rectal mucosal infection by sexually transmitted HIV. Despite success in one Phase IIb trial of a vaginal gel delivering tenofovir, problems of user adherence to designed gel application scheduling have compromised results in two other trials. The microbicides field is responding to this dilemma by expanding behavioral analysis of the determinants of adherence while simultaneously improving the pharmacological, biochemical, and biophysical analyses of the determinants of microbicide drug delivery. The intent is to combine results of these two complementary perspectives on microbicide performance and epidemiological success to create an improved product design paradigm. Central to both user sensory perceptions and preferences, key factors that underlie adherence, and to vaginal gel mucosal drug delivery, that underlies anti-HIV efficacy, are gel properties (e.g. rheology) and volume. The specific engineering problem to be solved here is to develop a model for how gel rheology and volume, interacting with loaded drug concentration, govern the transport of the microbicide drug tenofovir into the vaginal mucosa to its stromal layer. These are factors that can be controlled in microbicide gel design. The analysis here builds upon our current understanding of vaginal gel deployment and drug delivery, incorporating key features of the gel's environment, the vaginal canal, fluid production and subsequent gel dilution, and vaginal wall elasticity. These have not previously been included in the modeling of drug delivery. We consider the microbicide drug tenofovir, which is the drug most completely studied for gels: in vitro, in animal studies in vivo, and in human clinical trials with both vaginal or rectal gel application. Our goal is to contribute to improved biophysical and pharmacological understanding of gel functionality, providing a computational tool that can be used in future vaginal microbicide gel design.
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Project description:BackgroundThere is limited evidence of financial toxicity (FT) among cancer patients from countries of various income levels. Hence, this study aimed to determine the prevalence of objective and subjective FT and their measurements in relation to cancer treatment.MethodsPubMed, Science Direct, Scopus, and CINAHL databases were searched to find studies that examined FT. There was no limit on the design or setting of the study. Random-effects meta-analysis was utilized to obtain the pooled prevalence of objective FT.ResultsOut of 244 identified studies during the initial screening, only 64 studies were included in this review. The catastrophic health expenditure (CHE) method was often used in the included studies to determine the objective FT. The pooled prevalence of CHE was 47% (95% CI: 24.0-70.0) in middle- and high-income countries, and the highest percentage was noted in low-income countries (74.4%). A total of 30 studies focused on subjective FT, of which 9 used the Comprehensive Score for FT (COST) tool and reported median scores ranging between 17.0 and 31.9.ConclusionThis study shows that cancer patients from various income-group countries experienced a significant financial burden during their treatment. It is imperative to conduct further studies on interventions and policies that can lower FT caused by cancer treatment.
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Project description:Notwithstanding the rapid developments in sequencing techniques, Y and W sex chromosomes have still been mostly excluded from whole genome sequencing projects due to their high repetitive DNA content. Therefore, Y and W chromosomes are poorly described in most species despite their biological importance. Several methods were developed for identifying Y or W-linked sequences among unmapped scaffolds. However, it is not enough to discover functional regions from short unmapped scaffolds. Here, we provide a new and simple strategy based on k-mer comparison for comprehensive analysis of the W chromosome in Bombyx mori. Using this novel method, we effectively assembled de novo 1281?W-derived genome contigs (totaling 1.9?Mbp), and identified 156?W-linked transcript RNAs and 345?W-linked small RNAs. This method will help in the elucidation of mechanisms of sexual development and exploration of W chromosome biological functions, and provide insights into the evolution of sex chromosomes. Moreover, we showed this method can be employed in identifying heterogametic sex chromosomes (W and Y chromosomes) in many other species where genomic information is still scarce.
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