Advanced interatrial block and ischemic stroke: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study.
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ABSTRACT: Objective
Given that recent reports have suggested left atrial disease to be an independent risk factor for ischemic stroke, we sought to examine if advanced interatrial block (aIAB) is an independent stroke risk factor.Methods
We examined the association between aIAB and incident ischemic stroke in 14,716 participants (mean age 54 ± 5.8 years; 55% female; 26% black) from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC). Cases of aIAB were identified from digital ECGs recorded during the baseline ARIC visit (1987-1989) and the first 3 follow-up study visits (1990-1992, 1993-1995, and 1996-1998). Adjudicated ischemic stroke events were ascertained through December 31, 2010.Results
There were 266 (1.8%) participants who had evidence of aIAB. Over a median follow-up of 22 years, 916 (6.2%) ischemic stroke events were detected. The incidence rate (per 1,000 person-years) of ischemic stroke among those with aIAB (incidence rate 8.05, 95% confidence interval [CI] 5.7, 11.4) was more than twice the rate in those without aIAB (incidence rate 3.14, 95% CI 2.94, 3.35). In a multivariable Cox regression analysis adjusted for stroke risk factors and potential confounders, aIAB was associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke (hazard ratio 1.63, 95% CI 1.13, 2.34). The results were consistent across subgroups of participants stratified by age, sex, and race.Conclusions
In the ARIC, aIAB was associated with incident ischemic stroke, which strengthens the hypothesis that left atrial disease should be considered an independent stroke risk factor.
SUBMITTER: O'Neal WT
PROVIDER: S-EPMC4977113 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE:Whether consideration of carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) and carotid plaque would improve risk prediction of ischemic stroke in persons with atrial fibrillation (AF) is unknown. The purpose of this study was to assess the improvement in risk prediction of stroke by adding cIMT and carotid plaque to the CHA2DS2-VASc (variables age, heart failure, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, myocardial infarction, and peripheral arterial disease) score. METHODS:We included participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study (mean age, 63 years) who developed AF within 5 years after carotid measurement, were not on warfarin, and had no prior stroke at AF diagnosis. AF was ascertained from study ECGs and diagnosis codes, and stroke was physician adjudicated. Multivariable Cox models were used to assess association between carotid indices and ischemic stroke. Improvement in 10-year risk prediction of stroke was assessed by the C-statistic, net reclassification improvement, and relative integrated discrimination improvement. RESULTS:There were 81 (11.2%) stroke events that occurred among 724 participants with AF during a mean follow-up of 8.5 years. Increased cIMT and presence of carotid plaque were significantly associated with increased stroke risk. The addition of cIMT+plaque to the CHA2DS2-VASc score marginally increased the C-statistic (95% confidence interval) from 0.685 (0.623-0.747) to 0.698 (0.638-0.759). The net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement for cIMT+plaque were 0.091 (95% confidence interval, 0.012-0.170) and 0.101 (95% confidence interval, 0.002-0.226), respectively. CONCLUSIONS:Increased cIMT and presence of carotid plaque are associated with increased risk of ischemic stroke in individuals with AF. Furthermore, they may improve risk prediction of stroke, over and above the CHA2DS2-VASc score.
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Project description:AimsRhythm control using electrical cardioversion (CV) is a common treatment strategy for patients with symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF). To guide clinical decision making, we sought to assess if electrocardiographic interatrial blocks could predict CV failure or AF recurrence as the phenomenon is strongly associated with atrial arrhythmias.MethodsThis study included 715 patients who underwent a CV for persistent AF lasting >48 h. P-wave duration and morphology were analyzed in post-procedure or the most recent sinus rhythm electrocardiograms and compared with rates of CV failure and AF recurrence within 30 days after CV as well as their combination (ineffective CV).ResultsCV was unsuccessful in 63 out of 715 patients (8.8%) and AF recurred in 209 out of 652 (29.2%) patients within 30 days after CV. Overall, 272 (38.0%) CVs turned out ineffective. Advanced interatrial block (AIAB) defined as P-wave duration ≥120 ms and biphasic morphology in inferior leads (II, III and aVF) was diagnosed in 72 (10.1%) cases. AIAB was an independent predictor for CV failure (OR 4.51, 95%CI 1.76-11.56, p = .002), AF recurrence (OR 2.93, 95%CI 1.43-5.99, p = .003) and ineffective CV (OR 3.87, 95%CI 2.04-7.36, p < .001).ConclusionAIAB predicted CV failure, AF recurrence as well as their composite. This study presents an easy electrocardiographic tool for the identification of patients with persistent AF who might not benefit from an elective CV in the future.KEY MESSAGESInteratrial blocks are very common in patients with atrial fibrillation.Advanced interatrial block predicts ineffective cardioversion.
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Project description:Ischemic stroke and coronary heart disease (CHD) may share genetic factors contributing to a common etiology. This study investigates whether 51 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with CHD in multiple antecedent studies are associated with incident ischemic stroke in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. From the multiethnic ARIC cohort of 14,215 individuals, 495 validated ischemic strokes were identified. Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for age and gender, identified three SNPs in Whites and two SNPs in Blacks associated with incident stroke (p <or= 0.05). The rs11628722 polymorphism in SERPINA9 was associated with incident stroke in Whites and Blacks, even after taking into account traditional risk factors. The idea that ischemic stroke and CHD may share some common genetic factors, such as variation in SERPINA9, should be investigated in other studies.
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Project description:Low heart rate variability (HRV), a marker of cardiac autonomic dysfunction, has been associated with increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. We examined the association between reduced HRV and incident stroke in a community-based cohort.The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study measured HRV using 2-minute ECG readings in 12 550 middle-aged adults at baseline (1987-1989). HRV indices were calculated using the SD of RR intervals (SDNN), the mean of all normal RR intervals (meanNN), the root mean square of successive differences of successive RR intervals (RMSSD), low (LF) and high (HF) frequency power, and the LF/HF ratio. All HRV measures were categorized into quintiles. Incident stroke was adjudicated through 2011. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) with the lowest HRV quintile as the reference, with and without stratification by prevalent diabetes mellitus.Over a median follow-up of 22 years, 816 (6.5%) participants experienced incident stroke. After covariate adjustment, there was no strong evidence of association between HRV and stroke risk. In stratified analyses, the lowest HRV quintile was associated with higher stroke risk compared with the highest quintile for SDNN (HR, 2.0, 95% confidence interval, 1.1-4.0), RMSSD (HR, 1.7; 95% confidence interval, 0.9-3.2), LF (HR, 1.5; 95% confidence interval, 0.8-3.0), and HF (HR, 1.7; 95% confidence interval, 0.9-3.0) only among people with diabetes mellitus.Lower HRV was associated with higher risk of incident stroke among middle-aged adults with prevalent diabetes mellitus but not among people without diabetes mellitus.
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