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Echocardiographic Predictors of Sudden Cardiac Death: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study and Cardiovascular Health Study.


ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:This study assessed the echocardiographic predictors of sudden cardiac death (SCD) within 2 population-based cohorts. METHODS AND RESULTS:Echocardiograms were obtained on 2383 participants (1993-1995) from the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities; 100% black) and 5366 participants (1987-1989 and 1994-1995) from the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study). The main outcome was physician-adjudicated SCD. We used Cox proportional-hazards models with incident coronary heart disease and heart failure as time-dependent covariates to assess the association between echocardiographic variables and SCD, adjusting for Framingham risk score variables, coronary heart disease, and renal function. Cohort-specific results were meta-analyzed. During a median follow-up of 7.3 and 13.1 years, 44 ARIC study participants and 275 CHS participants had SCD, respectively. In the meta-analyzed results, the adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for predictors of SCD were 3.07 (2.29-4.11) for reduced left ventricular ejection fraction; 1.85 (1.36-2.52) for mitral annular calcification; 1.64 (1.07-2.51) for mitral E/A >1.5, and 1.52 (1.14-2.02) for mitral E/A <0.7 (versus mitral E/A 0.7-1.5); 1.30 (1.15-1.48) per 1 SD increase in left ventricular mass; and 1.15 (1.02-1.30) per 1 SD increase in left atrial diameter. A receiver-operating characteristic model for prediction of SCD using Framingham risk score variables had a C statistic of 0.61 for ARIC study and 0.67 for CHS; the full multivariable model including all echocardiographic variables had a C statistic of 0.76 for ARIC study and 0.74 for CHS. CONCLUSIONS:In addition to reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, we identified other echocardiographic-derived variables predictive for SCD that provided incremental value compared with clinical risk factors.

SUBMITTER: Konety SH 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5010094 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Echocardiographic Predictors of Sudden Cardiac Death: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study and Cardiovascular Health Study.

Konety Suma H SH   Koene Ryan J RJ   Norby Faye L FL   Wilsdon Tony T   Alonso Alvaro A   Siscovick David D   Sotoodehnia Nona N   Gottdiener John J   Fox Ervin R ER   Chen Lin Y LY   Adabag Selcuk S   Folsom Aaron R AR  

Circulation. Cardiovascular imaging 20160801 8


<h4>Background</h4>This study assessed the echocardiographic predictors of sudden cardiac death (SCD) within 2 population-based cohorts.<h4>Methods and results</h4>Echocardiograms were obtained on 2383 participants (1993-1995) from the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities; 100% black) and 5366 participants (1987-1989 and 1994-1995) from the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study). The main outcome was physician-adjudicated SCD. We used Cox proportional-hazards models with incident coronary  ...[more]

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