Dataset Information

Echocardiographic Predictors of Sudden Cardiac Death: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study and Cardiovascular Health Study.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:This study assessed the echocardiographic predictors of sudden cardiac death (SCD) within 2 population-based cohorts. METHODS AND RESULTS:Echocardiograms were obtained on 2383 participants (1993-1995) from the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities; 100% black) and 5366 participants (1987-1989 and 1994-1995) from the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study). The main outcome was physician-adjudicated SCD. We used Cox proportional-hazards models with incident coronary heart disease and heart failure as time-dependent covariates to assess the association between echocardiographic variables and SCD, adjusting for Framingham risk score variables, coronary heart disease, and renal function. Cohort-specific results were meta-analyzed. During a median follow-up of 7.3 and 13.1 years, 44 ARIC study participants and 275 CHS participants had SCD, respectively. In the meta-analyzed results, the adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for predictors of SCD were 3.07 (2.29-4.11) for reduced left ventricular ejection fraction; 1.85 (1.36-2.52) for mitral annular calcification; 1.64 (1.07-2.51) for mitral E/A >1.5, and 1.52 (1.14-2.02) for mitral E/A <0.7 (versus mitral E/A 0.7-1.5); 1.30 (1.15-1.48) per 1 SD increase in left ventricular mass; and 1.15 (1.02-1.30) per 1 SD increase in left atrial diameter. A receiver-operating characteristic model for prediction of SCD using Framingham risk score variables had a C statistic of 0.61 for ARIC study and 0.67 for CHS; the full multivariable model including all echocardiographic variables had a C statistic of 0.76 for ARIC study and 0.74 for CHS. CONCLUSIONS:In addition to reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, we identified other echocardiographic-derived variables predictive for SCD that provided incremental value compared with clinical risk factors.

SUBMITTER: Konety SH

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5010094 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Echocardiographic Predictors of Sudden Cardiac Death: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study and Cardiovascular Health Study.

Konety Suma H SH Koene Ryan J RJ Norby Faye L FL Wilsdon Tony T Alonso Alvaro A Siscovick David D Sotoodehnia Nona N Gottdiener John J Fox Ervin R ER Chen Lin Y LY Adabag Selcuk S Folsom Aaron R AR

Circulation. Cardiovascular imaging 20160801 8

<h4>Background</h4>This study assessed the echocardiographic predictors of sudden cardiac death (SCD) within 2 population-based cohorts.<h4>Methods and results</h4>Echocardiograms were obtained on 2383 participants (1993-1995) from the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities; 100% black) and 5366 participants (1987-1989 and 1994-1995) from the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study). The main outcome was physician-adjudicated SCD. We used Cox proportional-hazards models with incident coronary ...[more]

PMID: 27496550

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Project description:BACKGROUND:It is unknown whether atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in the general population. This association was examined in 2 population-based cohorts. METHODS:In the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study, we analyzed data from 15 439 participants (baseline age, 45-64 years; 55.2% women; and 26.6% black) from baseline (1987-1989) through December 31, 2001. In the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), we analyzed data from 5479 participants (baseline age, ?65 years; 58.2% women; and 15.4% black) from baseline (first cohort, 1989-1990; second cohort, 1992-1993) through December 31, 2006. The main outcome was physician-adjudicated SCD, defined as death from a sudden, pulseless condition presumed to be due to a ventricular tachyarrhythmia. The secondary outcome was non-SCD (NSCD), defined as coronary heart disease death not meeting SCD criteria. We used Cox proportional hazards models to assess the association between AF and SCD/NSCD, adjusting for baseline demographic and cardiovascular risk factors. RESULTS:In the ARIC Study, 894 AF, 269 SCD, and 233 NSCD events occurred during follow-up (median, 13.1 years). The crude incidence rates of SCD were 2.89 per 1000 person-years (with AF) and 1.30 per 1000 person-years (without AF). The multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) (95% CIs) of AF for SCD and NSCD were 3.26 (2.17-4.91) and 2.43 (1.60-3.71), respectively. In the CHS, 1458 AF, 292 SCD, and 581 NSCD events occurred during follow-up (median, 13.1 years). The crude incidence rates of SCD were 12.00 per 1000 person-years (with AF) and 3.82 per 1000 person-years (without AF). The multivariable HRs (95% CIs) of AF for SCD and NSCD were 2.14 (1.60-2.87) and 3.10 (2.58-3.72), respectively. The meta-analyzed HRs (95% CIs) of AF for SCD and NSCD were 2.47 (1.95-3.13) and 2.98 (2.52-3.53), respectively. CONCLUSIONS:Incident AF is associated with an increased risk of SCD and NSCD in the general population. Additional research to identify predictors of SCD in patients with AF is warranted.

Project description:BACKGROUND:Elevated fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF-23) concentrations are associated with greater risk of cardiovascular events and mortality, especially among people with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Because individuals with CKD are at an increased risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD), we sought to understand whether FGF-23 level is a stronger risk factor for SCD versus non-SCD. STUDY DESIGN:Cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS:3,244 participants 65 years or older in the community-based Cardiovascular Health Study. PREDICTOR:Plasma FGF-23 concentrations. OUTCOMES:We assessed SCD and non-SCD in these analyses. SCD was adjudicated rigorously and was defined as a sudden pulseless condition of cardiac origin in a previously stable person occurring out of hospital or in the emergency department. MEASUREMENTS:We estimated associations of baseline FGF-23 concentrations with SCD and non-SCD using Cox proportional hazards models after adjustment for demographics, cardiovascular risk factors, comorbid conditions, and kidney function. We also tested whether associations differed by CKD status. RESULTS:During a median follow-up of 8.1 years, there were 118 adjudicated SCD and 570 non-SCD events. After multivariable adjustment for demographics, cardiovascular risk factors, comorbid conditions, and parameters of kidney function, higher FGF-23 concentrations were an independent risk factor for non-SCD (HR [per doubling], 1.17; 95% CI, 1.06-1.30). However, elevated FGF-23 concentrations were not associated independently with SCD (HR [per doubling], 1.07; 95% CI, 0.85-1.35). In stratified analysis by CKD status (36.5% of cohort), doubling of FGF-23 concentrations was associated independently with non-SCD (adjusted HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.10-1.45). A similar magnitude of association was observed between FGF-23 level and SCD in the CKD subgroup; however, it was not significant (HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 0.89-1.62). LIMITATIONS:Limited power to detect moderate-sized effects between FGF-23 level and SCD in both the primary and stratified analyses. CONCLUSIONS:In this population-based study, FGF-23 level elevations were associated independently with non-SCD. Among individuals with CKD, the associations between FGF-23 level and SCD and non-SCD were similar.

Project description:Sphingolipids, including ceramides and sphingomyelins, may influence the pathophysiology and risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) through multiple biological activities. Whether the length of the fatty acid acylated to plasma sphingolipid species is associated with SCD risk is not known. To determine whether the saturated fatty acid length of plasma ceramides and sphingomyelins influences the association with SCD risk. In this cohort study, multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine the association of sphingolipid species with SCD risk. The study population included 4612 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study followed up prospectively for a median of 10.2 (IQR, 5.5-11.6) years. Baseline data were collected from January 1992 to December 1995 during annual examinations. Data were analyzed from February 11, 2020, to September 9, 2023. Eight plasma sphingolipid species (4 ceramides and 4 sphingomyelins) with saturated fatty acids of 16, 20, 22, and 24 carbons. Association of plasma ceramides and sphingomyelins with saturated fatty acids of different lengths with SCD risk. Among the 4612 CHS participants included in the analysis (mean [SD] age, 77 [5] years; 2724 [59.1%] women; 6 [0.1%] American Indian; 4 [0.1%] Asian; 718 [15.6%] Black; 3869 [83.9%] White, and 15 [0.3%] Other), 215 SCD cases were identified. In adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression analyses, plasma ceramides and sphingomyelins with palmitic acid (Cer-16 and SM-16) were associated with higher SCD risk per higher SD of log sphingolipid levels (hazard ratio [HR] for Cer-16, 1.34 [95% CI, 1.12-1.59]; HR for SM-16, 1.37 [95% CI, 1.12-1.67]). Associations did not differ by baseline age, sex, race, or body mass index. No significant association of SCD with sphingolipids with very-long-chain saturated fatty acids was observed after correction for multiple testing (HR for ceramide with arachidic acid, 1.06 [95% CI, 0.90-1.24]; HR for ceramide with behenic acid, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.77-1.10]; HR for ceramide with lignoceric acid, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.77-1.09]; HR for sphingomyelin with arachidic acid, 0.83 [95% CI, 0.71-0.98]; HR for sphingomyelin with behenic acid, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.70-1.00]; HR for sphingomyelin with lignoceric acid, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.72-1.03]). The findings of this large, population-based cohort study of SCD identified that higher plasma levels of Cer-16 and SM-16 were associated with higher risk of SCD. Future studies are needed to examine the underlying mechanism of these associations.

Dataset Information

Echocardiographic Predictors of Sudden Cardiac Death: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study and Cardiovascular Health Study.

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Echocardiographic Predictors of Sudden Cardiac Death: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study and Cardiovascular Health Study.

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