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Gait Speed as a Guide for Blood Pressure Targets in Older Adults: A Modeling Study.


ABSTRACT: To evaluate the potential for gait speed to inform decisions regarding optimal systolic blood pressure targets in older adults.Forecasting study from 2014 to 2023 using the Cardiovascular Disease Policy Model, a Markov model.National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey.U.S. adults aged 60-94 stratified into fast walking, slow walking, and poor functioning (noncompleters) based on measured gait speed.Lowering SBP to a target of 140 or 150 mmHg was modeled in persons with (secondary prevention) and without (primary prevention) a history of coronary heart disease or stroke. Based on clinical trials and observational studies, it was projected that slow-walking and poor-functioning participants would have greater noncardiovascular mortality. Myocardial infarctions (MIs), strokes, deaths, cost, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were measured.Regardless of gait speed, it was projected that secondary prevention to a systolic blood pressure (SBP) of 140 mmHg would prevent more events and save more money than secondary prevention to 150 mmHg. Similarly, primary prevention to 140 mmHg in fast-walking adults was projected to prevent events and save money. In slow-walking adults, primary prevention to 150 mmHg was projected to prevent MIs and strokes and save DALYs but was cost saving only in men; intensification to 140 mmHg is of uncertain benefit in slow-walking individuals. Primary prevention in poor-functioning adults to a target of 140 or 150 mmHg SBP is projected to decrease DALYs.The most cost-effective SBP target varies according to history of cardiovascular disease and gait speed in persons aged 60-94. These projections highlight the need for better estimates of the benefits and harms of antihypertensive medications in a diverse group of older adults, because the net benefit is sensitive to the characteristics of the population treated.

SUBMITTER: Odden MC 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5030071 | biostudies-literature | 2016 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Gait Speed as a Guide for Blood Pressure Targets in Older Adults: A Modeling Study.

Odden Michelle C MC   Moran Andrew E AE   Coxson Pamela G PG   Peralta Carmen A CA   Goldman Lee L   Bibbins-Domingo Kirsten K  

Journal of the American Geriatrics Society 20160501 5


<h4>Objectives</h4>To evaluate the potential for gait speed to inform decisions regarding optimal systolic blood pressure targets in older adults.<h4>Design</h4>Forecasting study from 2014 to 2023 using the Cardiovascular Disease Policy Model, a Markov model.<h4>Setting</h4>National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey.<h4>Participants</h4>U.S. adults aged 60-94 stratified into fast walking, slow walking, and poor functioning (noncompleters) based on measured gait speed.<h4>Measurements</h4>L  ...[more]

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