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Global patterns of kelp forest change over the past half-century.


ABSTRACT: Kelp forests (Order Laminariales) form key biogenic habitats in coastal regions of temperate and Arctic seas worldwide, providing ecosystem services valued in the range of billions of dollars annually. Although local evidence suggests that kelp forests are increasingly threatened by a variety of stressors, no comprehensive global analysis of change in kelp abundances currently exists. Here, we build and analyze a global database of kelp time series spanning the past half-century to assess regional and global trends in kelp abundances. We detected a high degree of geographic variation in trends, with regional variability in the direction and magnitude of change far exceeding a small global average decline (instantaneous rate of change = -0.018 y-1). Our analysis identified declines in 38% of ecoregions for which there are data (-0.015 to -0.18 y-1), increases in 27% of ecoregions (0.015 to 0.11 y-1), and no detectable change in 35% of ecoregions. These spatially variable trajectories reflected regional differences in the drivers of change, uncertainty in some regions owing to poor spatial and temporal data coverage, and the dynamic nature of kelp populations. We conclude that although global drivers could be affecting kelp forests at multiple scales, local stressors and regional variation in the effects of these drivers dominate kelp dynamics, in contrast to many other marine and terrestrial foundation species.

SUBMITTER: Krumhansl KA 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5137772 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Global patterns of kelp forest change over the past half-century.

Krumhansl Kira A KA   Okamoto Daniel K DK   Rassweiler Andrew A   Novak Mark M   Bolton John J JJ   Cavanaugh Kyle C KC   Connell Sean D SD   Johnson Craig R CR   Konar Brenda B   Ling Scott D SD   Micheli Fiorenza F   Norderhaug Kjell M KM   Pérez-Matus Alejandro A   Sousa-Pinto Isabel I   Reed Daniel C DC   Salomon Anne K AK   Shears Nick T NT   Wernberg Thomas T   Anderson Robert J RJ   Barrett Nevell S NS   Buschmann Alejandro H AH   Carr Mark H MH   Caselle Jennifer E JE   Derrien-Courtel Sandrine S   Edgar Graham J GJ   Edwards Matt M   Estes James A JA   Goodwin Claire C   Kenner Michael C MC   Kushner David J DJ   Moy Frithjof E FE   Nunn Julia J   Steneck Robert S RS   Vásquez Julio J   Watson Jane J   Witman Jon D JD   Byrnes Jarrett E K JE  

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 20161114 48


Kelp forests (Order Laminariales) form key biogenic habitats in coastal regions of temperate and Arctic seas worldwide, providing ecosystem services valued in the range of billions of dollars annually. Although local evidence suggests that kelp forests are increasingly threatened by a variety of stressors, no comprehensive global analysis of change in kelp abundances currently exists. Here, we build and analyze a global database of kelp time series spanning the past half-century to assess region  ...[more]

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