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Interactions of established risk factors and a GWAS-based genetic risk score on the risk of venous thromboembolism.

ABSTRACT: Multiple genetic and environmental risk factors contribute to venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk. Understanding how genes and environmental risk factors interact may provide key insight into the pathophysiology of VTE and may identify opportunities for targeted prevention and treatment. It was our aim to examine the main effects and the potential effect-modification between single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) at established loci and lifestyle risk factors for VTE. We performed a nested case-control study using data on 1,040 incident VTE cases and 16,936 controls from the Nurses' Health Study, Nurses' Health Study II, and Health Professionals Follow-up Study cohorts, who gave blood, were selected as participants in a previous genome-wide association study (GWAS), and completed a biennial questionnaire at time of blood draw. We selected SNPs that were associated with VTE risk in previous GWAS studies. A genetic risk score (GRS) was constructed to evaluate the combined effect of the 16 SNPs that have reached genome-wide significance in previous GWAS of VTE. Interactions between SNPs and VTE risk factors (BMI and smoking) were also assessed. We found a significant association between our GRS and VTE risk. The risk of VTE among individuals in the highest GRS tertile was 2.02 times that of individuals in the lowest GRS tertile (p-trend = 9.69×10(-19)). The OR was 1.52 (p=1.03×10(-8)) for participants in the highest GRS tertile compared to those in the medium GRS tertile. However, while BMI and smoking were associated with VTE, and their effects were additive to each other we did not observe any significant multiplicative gene-environment interactions.

SUBMITTER: Crous-Bou M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5177985 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Interactions of established risk factors and a GWAS-based genetic risk score on the risk of venous thromboembolism.

Crous-Bou Marta M De Vivo Immaculata I Camargo Carlos A CA Varraso Raphaëlle R Grodstein Francine F Jensen Majken K MK Kraft Peter P Goldhaber Samuel Z SZ Lindström Sara S Kabrhel Christopher C

Thrombosis and haemostasis 20160616 4

Multiple genetic and environmental risk factors contribute to venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk. Understanding how genes and environmental risk factors interact may provide key insight into the pathophysiology of VTE and may identify opportunities for targeted prevention and treatment. It was our aim to examine the main effects and the potential effect-modification between single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) at established loci and lifestyle risk factors for VTE. We performed a nested case-co ...[more]

PMID: 27305932

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Project description:BackgroundVenous thromboembolism (VTE) is a major cause of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality and has a known genetic contribution. We tested the performance of a genetic risk score for its ability to predict VTE in 3 cohorts of patients with cardiometabolic disease.MethodsWe included patients from the FOURIER (Further Cardiovascular Outcomes Research With PCSK9 Inhibition in Patients With Elevated Risk), PEGASUS-TIMI 54 (Prevention of Cardiovascular Events in Patients With Prior Heart Attack Using Ticagrelor Compared to Placebo on a Background of Aspirin), and SAVOR-TIMI 53 (Saxagliptin Assessment of Vascular Outcomes Recorded in Patients with Diabetes Mellitus) trials (history of a major atherosclerotic cardiovascular event, myocardial infarction, and diabetes, respectively) who consented for genetic testing and were not on baseline anticoagulation. We calculated a VTE genetic risk score based on 297 single nucleotide polymorphisms with established genome-wide significance. Patients were divided into tertiles of genetic risk. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios for VTE across genetic risk groups. The polygenic risk score was compared with available clinical risk factors (age, obesity, smoking, history of heart failure, and diabetes) and common monogenic mutations.ResultsA total of 29 663 patients were included in the analysis with a median follow-up of 2.4 years, of whom 174 had a VTE event. There was a significantly increased gradient of risk across VTE genetic risk tertiles (P-trend <0.0001). After adjustment for clinical risk factors, patients in the intermediate and high genetic risk groups had a 1.88-fold (95% CI, 1.23-2.89; P=0.004) and 2.70-fold (95% CI, 1.81-4.06; P<0.0001) higher risk of VTE compared with patients with low genetic risk. In a continuous model adjusted for clinical risk factors, each standard deviation increase in the genetic risk score was associated with a 47% (95% CI, 29-68) increased risk of VTE (P<0.0001).ConclusionsIn a broad spectrum of patients with cardiometabolic disease, a polygenic risk score is a strong, independent predictor of VTE after accounting for available clinical risk factors, identifying 1/3 of patients who have a risk of VTE comparable to that seen with established monogenic thrombophilia.

Project description:ImportanceIt is uncertain to what extent established cardiovascular risk factors are associated with venous thromboembolism (VTE).ObjectiveTo estimate the associations of major cardiovascular risk factors with VTE, ie, deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism.Design, setting, and participantsThis study included individual participant data mostly from essentially population-based cohort studies from the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration (ERFC; 731 728 participants; 75 cohorts; years of baseline surveys, February 1960 to June 2008; latest date of follow-up, December 2015) and the UK Biobank (421 537 participants; years of baseline surveys, March 2006 to September 2010; latest date of follow-up, February 2016). Participants without cardiovascular disease at baseline were included. Data were analyzed from June 2017 to September 2018.ExposuresA panel of several established cardiovascular risk factors.Main outcomes and measuresHazard ratios (HRs) per 1-SD higher usual risk factor levels (or presence/absence). Incident fatal outcomes in ERFC (VTE, 1041; coronary heart disease [CHD], 25 131) and incident fatal/nonfatal outcomes in UK Biobank (VTE, 2321; CHD, 3385). Hazard ratios were adjusted for age, sex, smoking status, diabetes, and body mass index (BMI).ResultsOf the 731 728 participants from the ERFC, 403 396 (55.1%) were female, and the mean (SD) age at the time of the survey was 51.9 (9.0) years; of the 421 537 participants from the UK Biobank, 233 699 (55.4%) were female, and the mean (SD) age at the time of the survey was 56.4 (8.1) years. Risk factors for VTE included older age (ERFC: HR per decade, 2.67; 95% CI, 2.45-2.91; UK Biobank: HR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.71-1.92), current smoking (ERFC: HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.20-1.58; UK Biobank: HR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.08-1.40), and BMI (ERFC: HR per 1-SD higher BMI, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.35-1.50; UK Biobank: HR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.32-1.41). For these factors, there were similar HRs for pulmonary embolism and deep vein thrombosis in UK Biobank (except adiposity was more strongly associated with pulmonary embolism) and similar HRs for unprovoked vs provoked VTE. Apart from adiposity, these risk factors were less strongly associated with VTE than CHD. There were inconsistent associations of VTEs with diabetes and blood pressure across ERFC and UK Biobank, and there was limited ability to study lipid and inflammation markers.Conclusions and relevanceOlder age, smoking, and adiposity were consistently associated with higher VTE risk.

Project description:ImportanceThe size of the risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) after surgery in patients with a history of VTE is not well known.ObjectivesTo estimate the risk of and to identify the factors associated with recurrent VTE in patients undergoing surgery who have a history of VTE.Design, setting, and participantsThis population-based, follow-up cohort study includes patients with VTE who participated in the Multiple Environment and Genetic Assessment (MEGA) study. Original data were collected from March 1999 to April 2010. Data analysis began in June 1999 and ended in April 2010.ExposuresSurgery following a first VTE.Main outcomes and measurementsKaplan-Meier analyses were used to estimate cumulative incidences of recurrent VTE. Cox regression with a time-dependent covariate (surgery) was used to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) for developing recurrent VTE after surgery compared with no surgery.ResultsOverall, 3741 patients (mean [SD] age, 48.4 [12.8] years; 2020 [54.0%] women) with a history of VTE were included in the analysis, amounting to 18 899 person-years, with a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 5.7 (3.0-7.2) years. Of the 3741 patients, 580 (15.5%) underwent surgery and 601 (16.1%) developed a recurrent thrombotic event. The 1-month cumulative incidence of recurrent VTE for all surgery types was 2.1% (95% CI, 1.2%-3.6%), which increased to 3.3% (95% CI, 2.1%-5.1%) at 3 months and 4.6% (95% CI, 3.1%-6.6%) at 6 months. At 6 months, risk of recurrent VTE ranged from 2.3% to 9.3%, depending on surgery type. In addition to surgery type, factor V Leiden mutation (HR, 3.4; 95% CI, 1.6-7.4) and male sex (HR, 2.7; 95% CI, 1.3-5.8) were associated with increased risk of recurrent VTE.Conclusions and relevanceSurgery was associated with an increased risk of recurrent VTE in patients with a history of VTE; risk remained high for up to 6 months after the procedure. This study suggests that high-risk individuals may be identified based on surgery type, sex, and the presence of factor V Leiden mutation. These findings stress the need for revision of the current thromboprophylactic approach to prevent recurrence in these patients.

Dataset Information

Interactions of established risk factors and a GWAS-based genetic risk score on the risk of venous thromboembolism.

Publications

Interactions of established risk factors and a GWAS-based genetic risk score on the risk of venous thromboembolism.

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