Dataset Information

Mexican-American Dementia Nomogram: Development of a Dementia Risk Index for Mexican-American Older Adults.

ABSTRACT: OBJECTIVESTo create a risk index (Mexican American Dementia Nomogram (MADeN)) that predicts dementia over a 10-year period for Mexican Americans aged 65 and older.DESIGNRetrospective cohort study with longitudinal analysis.SETTINGTexas, New Mexico, Colorado, Arizona, and California.PARTICIPANTSHispanic Established Populations for the Epidemiologic Study of the Elderly (H-EPESE) participants (n = 1,739).MEASUREMENTSDementia was defined as a decline of three or more points per year on the Mini-Mental State Examination and inability to perform one or more daily activities. Candidate risk factors included demographic characteristics, measures of social engagement, self-reported health conditions, ability to perform daily activities, and physical activity.RESULTSThe MADeN comprised the following risk factors: age, sex, education, not having friends to count on, not attending community events, diabetes mellitus, feeling the blues, pain, impairment in instrumental activities of daily living, and unable to walk a half-mile. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.74 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.70-0.78) and a score of 16 points or higher had a sensitivity of 0.65 (95% CI = 0.59-0.72) and specificity of 0.70 (95% CI = 0.67-0.73) in predicting dementia.CONCLUSIONThe MADeN was able to predict dementia in a population of older Mexican-American adults with moderate accuracy. It has the potential to identify older Mexican-American adults who may benefit from interventions to reduce dementia risk and to educate this population about risk factors for dementia.

SUBMITTER: Downer B

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5180363 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Mexican-American Dementia Nomogram: Development of a Dementia Risk Index for Mexican-American Older Adults.

Downer Brian B Kumar Amit A Veeranki Sreenivas P SP Mehta Hemalkumar B HB Raji Mukaila M Markides Kyriakos S KS

Journal of the American Geriatrics Society 20161107 12

<h4>Objectives</h4>To create a risk index (Mexican American Dementia Nomogram (MADeN)) that predicts dementia over a 10-year period for Mexican Americans aged 65 and older.<h4>Design</h4>Retrospective cohort study with longitudinal analysis.<h4>Setting</h4>Texas, New Mexico, Colorado, Arizona, and California.<h4>Participants</h4>Hispanic Established Populations for the Epidemiologic Study of the Elderly (H-EPESE) participants (n = 1,739).<h4>Measurements</h4>Dementia was defined as a decline of ...[more]

PMID: 27996114

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Project description:ObjectiveThis research aims to construct and authenticate a comprehensive predictive model for all-cause mortality, based on a multifaceted array of risk factors.MethodsThe derivation cohort for this study was the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS), while the Healthy Ageing and Biomarkers Cohort Study (HABCS) and the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) were used as validation cohorts. Risk factors were filtered using lasso regression, and predictive factors were determined using net reclassification improvement. Cox proportional hazards models were employed to establish the mortality risk prediction equations, and the model's fit was evaluated using a discrimination concordance index (C-index). To evaluate the internal consistency of discrimination and calibration, a 10x10 cross-validation technique was employed. Calibration plots were generated to compare predicted probabilities with observed probabilities. The prediction ability of the equations was demonstrated using nomogram.ResultsThe CLHLS (mean age 88.08, n = 37074) recorded 28158 deaths (179683 person-years) throughout the course of an 8-20 year follow-up period. Additionally, there were 1384 deaths in the HABCS (mean age 86.74, n = 2552), and 1221 deaths in the CHARLS (mean age 72.48, n = 4794). The final all-cause mortality model incorporated demographic characteristics like age, sex, and current marital status, as well as functional status indicators including cognitive function and activities of daily living. Additionally, lifestyle factors like past smoking condition and leisure activities including housework, television viewing or radio listening, and gardening work were included. The C-index for the derivation cohort was 0.728 (95% CI: 0.724-0.732), while the external validation results for the CHARS and HABCS cohorts were 0.761 (95% CI: 0.749-0.773) and 0.713 (95% CI: 0.697-0.729), respectively.ConclusionThis study introduces a reliable, validated, and acceptable mortality risk predictor for older adults in China. These predictive factors have potential applications in public health policy and clinical practice.

Project description:IntroductionVascular dementia is the second most common cause of dementia. Physical disability and cognitive impairment due to stroke are conditions that considerably affect quality of life. We estimated the prevalence and incidence of possible vascular dementia (PVD) in older adults using data from the Mexican Health and Aging Study (MHAS 2012 and 2015 waves).MethodsThe MHAS is a representative longitudinal cohort study of Mexican adults aged ≥50 years. Data from 14, 893 participants from the 2012 cohort and 14,154 from the 2015 cohort were analyzed to estimate the prevalence and incidence of PVD. Self-respondents with history of stroke were classified as PVD if scores in two or more cognitive domains in the Cross-Cultural Cognitive Examination were ≥ 1.5 standard deviations below the mean on reference norms and if limitations in ≥ 1 instrumental activities of daily living were present. For proxy respondents with history of stroke, we used a score ≥3.4 on the Informant Questionnaire on Cognitive Decline in the Elderly. Crude and standardized rates of prevalent and incident PVD were estimated.ResultsPrevalence of PVD was 0.6% (95% CI, 0.5-0.8) (0.5 with age and sex- standardization). Rates increased with age reaching 2.0% among those aged 80 and older and decreased with educational attainment. After 3.0 years of follow-up, 87 new cases of PVD represented an overall incident rate of 2.2 (95% CI, 1.7-2.6) per 1,000 person-years (2.0 with age and sex- standardization). Incidence also increased with advancing age reaching an overall rate of 9.4 (95% CI, 6.3-13.6) per 1,000 person-years for participants aged >80 years. Hypertension and depressive symptoms were strong predictors of incident PVD.ConclusionThese data provide new estimates of PVD prevalence and incidence in the Mexican population. We found that PVD incidence increased with age. Males aged 80 years or older showed a greater incidence rate when compared to females, which is comparable to previous estimates from other studies.

Project description:ImportanceMotoric cognitive risk (MCR) is a novel predementia syndrome; however, whether it can estimate dementia in a nationwide population or has additive estimation validity over cognitive or motoric components alone remains unknown.ObjectiveTo examine whether modified MCR, which incorporates the timed-up-and-go and one-leg-standing tests, improves estimation validity for incident dementia over using cognitive or motoric components alone.Design, setting, and participantsThis nationwide cohort study evaluated data from individuals aged 66 years who participated in the National Screening Program for Transitional Ages in Korea from January 1, 2009, to December 31, 2013, and examined the association between MCR and incident dementia using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. Data were collected from the index date (the date on which the participant had the screening) until dementia onset, death, or the end of the follow-up period, whichever came first. The 2 subtypes were defined as subjective cognitive declines with timed-up-and-go impairment or one-leg-standing impairment. The data set was generated with permission from the Korean National Health Insurance Service, and data analysis was conducted from August 2, 2021, to January 31, 2022. Individuals diagnosed with dementia or psychotic disorders or those who had a documented history of dementia medication use before the index date were excluded.Main outcomes and measuresThe main outcome was incidence of dementia, defined as an individual receiving their first dementia medication with the relevant International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision, codes after the index date.ResultsAmong the 1 137 530 participants (53.7% women), 15 380 (1.4%) met the MCR criteria for the timed-up-and-go subtype, and 32 910 (2.9%) met the criteria for the one-leg-standing subtype. The mean (SD) follow-up period was 7.02 (1.38) years. Participants with MCR demonstrated an approximately 2-fold higher risk of incident dementia than those without MCR (timed-up-and-go subtype, adjusted hazard ratio, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.94-2.13; one-leg-standing subtype, adjusted hazard ratio, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.98-2.12).Conclusions and relevanceIn this cohort study of participants aged 66 years of the National Screening Program for Transitional Ages, modified motoric cognitive risk had higher adjusted hazard ratios of incident dementia than individual cognitive or motoric components. Motoric cognitive risk may be a practical screening tool for estimating dementia among individuals in their mid-60s ; however, further investigation of the clinical and neurobiological aspects is necessary.

Dataset Information

Mexican-American Dementia Nomogram: Development of a Dementia Risk Index for Mexican-American Older Adults.

Publications

Mexican-American Dementia Nomogram: Development of a Dementia Risk Index for Mexican-American Older Adults.

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