Dataset Information

HbA1c and the Prediction of Type 2 Diabetes in Children and Adults.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

Long-term data validating glycated hemoglobin (HbA_1c) in assessing the risk of type 2 diabetes in children are limited. HbA_1c, fasting plasma glucose (FPG), and 2-h postload plasma glucose (2hPG) concentrations were measured in a longitudinal study of American Indians to determine their utility in predicting incident diabetes, all of which is thought to be type 2 in this population.

Research design and methods

Incident diabetes (FPG ?126 mg/dL [7.0 mmol/L], 2hPG ?200 mg/dL [11.1 mmol/L], HbA_1c ?6.5% [8 mmol/mol], or clinical diagnosis) was determined in 2,095 children without diabetes ages 10-19 years monitored through age 39, and in 2,005 adults ages 20-39 monitored through age 59. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for HbA_1c, FPG, and 2hPG in predicting diabetes within 10 years were compared.

Results

During long-term follow-up of children and adolescents who did not initially have diabetes, the incidence rate of subsequent diabetes was fourfold (in boys) as high and more than sevenfold (in girls) as high in those with HbA_1c ?5.7% as in those with HbA_1c ?5.3%-greater rate ratios than experienced by adults in the same HbA_1c categories. Analyses of ROCs revealed no significant differences between HbA_1c, FPG, and 2hPG in sensitivity and specificity for identifying children and adolescents who later developed diabetes.

Conclusions

HbA_1c is a useful predictor of diabetes risk in children and can be used to identify prediabetes in children with other type 2 diabetes risk factors with the same predictive value as FPG and 2hPG.

SUBMITTER: Vijayakumar P

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5180461 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

HbA1c and the Prediction of Type 2 Diabetes in Children and Adults.

Vijayakumar Pavithra P Nelson Robert G RG Hanson Robert L RL Knowler William C WC Sinha Madhumita M

Diabetes care 20161103 1

<h4>Objective</h4>Long-term data validating glycated hemoglobin (HbA<sub>1c</sub>) in assessing the risk of type 2 diabetes in children are limited. HbA<sub>1c</sub>, fasting plasma glucose (FPG), and 2-h postload plasma glucose (2hPG) concentrations were measured in a longitudinal study of American Indians to determine their utility in predicting incident diabetes, all of which is thought to be type 2 in this population.<h4>Research design and methods</h4>Incident diabetes (FPG ≥126 mg/dL [7.0 ...[more]

PMID: 27810987

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Project description:Study questionWhat is the extent and effect of excessive testing for glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) among adults with controlled type 2 diabetes?MethodsA retrospective analysis of data from a national administrative claims database included commercially insured individuals in the USA, 2001-13. Study patients were aged 18 years or older, had type 2 diabetes with stable glycemic control (two consecutive tests showing HbA1c<7.0% within 24 months), did not use insulin, had no history of severe hypoglycemia or hyperglycemia, and were not pregnant. HbA1c testing frequency was measured within 24 months after the second (index) HbA1c test, and classified as guideline recommended (≤ 2 times/year), frequent (3-4 times/year), and excessive (≥ 5 times/year). Changes in treatment regimen were ascertained within three months of the index test.Study answer and limitationsOf 31,545 patients in the study cohort (mean age 58 years; mean index HbA1c 6.2%), HbA1c testing frequency was excessive in 6% and frequent in 55%. Despite good glycemic control at baseline, treatment was further intensified by addition of glucose lowering drugs or insulin in 8.4% of patients (comprising 13%, 9%, and 7% of those tested excessively, frequently, and per guidelines, respectively; P<0.001). Compared with guideline recommended testing, excessive testing was associated with treatment intensification (odds ratio 1.35 (95% confidence interval 1.22 to 1.50)). Excessive testing rates remained unchanged in 2001-08, but fell significantly after 2009. The odds of excessive testing was 46% lower in 2011 than in 2001-02. The study population is not representative of all US patients with type 2 diabetes because it was restricted to commercially insured adults with stable and controlled diabetes not receiving insulin treatment. The study design did not capture the underuse of HbA1c testing.What this study addsIn this US cohort of adults with stable and controlled type 2 diabetes, more than 60% received too many HbA1c tests, a practice associated with potential overtreatment with hypoglycemic drugs. Excessive testing contributes to the growing problem of waste in healthcare and increased patient burden in diabetes management.Funding, competing interests, data sharingNDS and RGM are funded partly by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (R18HS18339) and AcademyHealth Delivery System Science Fellowship (2013), respectively. No competing interests declared. Additional data are available from mccoy.rozalina@mayo.edu.

Project description:BackgroundElectronic consultation (eConsultation) offers a potential mechanism to increase access to specialty care, address knowledge gaps, and overcome therapeutic inertia in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) being managed by primary care physicians (PCPs).ObjectiveTo develop and implement a system to provide unsolicited endocrinology eConsult for T2DM patients with HbA1c 8.5-10.5% managed by PCPs.DesignCluster-randomized matched cohort study with implementation evaluation.ParticipantsPCPs affiliated with Massachusetts General Hospital (MGH).InterventionsUnsolicited endocrinology eConsultation.Main measuresThe primary clinical outcome was mean change in HbA1c at 6 months. Secondary process outcomes included referral completion rate, prescription rates of glucose-lowering medications, differences in rate of other management recommendations, change in all glucose-lowering medications, and number of face-to-face endocrinology visits.Key results161 PCPs were randomly assigned to intervention (n=81) and control (n=80) arms. eConsultations were triggered on 130 patients from intervention arm PCPs. Intervention arm patients had a 0.89 (SD 1.45) decrease in HbA1c compared to 0.69 (SD 1.32) decrease in the control arm (p=0.28). There were significant differences in prescribing of glucose-lowering medications between arms. There was a 19.3% increase in patients prescribed GLP-1 RA or SGLT2i in the intervention arm compared to a 6.9% increase in control (p=0.003). There were also significant increases in prescription rates of metformin (3.1% vs -3.1%, p=0.03) and sulfonylureas (1.5% vs -6.9%, p=0.03). At 6-month follow-up, the intervention arm had 13 in-person endocrinology visits compared to 29 (p=0.012) in the control arm. PCPs were more likely to accept recommendations regarding adherence to or dose adjustment of current medications than initiation of new medications.ConclusionsThe implementation of an unsolicited endocrinology eConsult system for patients with poorly controlled T2DM is feasible. Unsolicited eConsultation was associated with increased prescribing of glucose-lowering medications without significant difference in HbA1c.Trial registrationClinicaltrials.gov registration: NCT03542084.

Project description:ObjectiveIncreased level of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) is associated with type 1 diabetes onset that in turn is preceded by one to several autoantibodies against the pancreatic islet beta cell autoantigens; insulin (IA), glutamic acid decarboxylase (GAD), islet antigen-2 (IA-2) and zinc transporter 8 (ZnT8). The risk for type 1 diabetes diagnosis increases by autoantibody number. Biomarkers predicting the development of a second or a subsequent autoantibody and type 1 diabetes are needed to predict disease stages and improve secondary prevention trials. This study aimed to investigate whether HbA1c possibly predicts the progression from first to a subsequent autoantibody or type 1 diabetes in healthy children participating in the Environmental Determinants of Diabetes in the Young (TEDDY) study.Research design and methodsA joint model was designed to assess the association of longitudinal HbA1c levels with the development of first (insulin or GAD autoantibodies) to a second, second to third, third to fourth autoantibody or type 1 diabetes in healthy children prospectively followed from birth until 15 years of age.ResultsIt was found that increased levels of HbA1c were associated with a higher risk of type 1 diabetes (HR 1.82, 95% CI [1.57-2.10], p < 0.001) regardless of first appearing autoantibody, autoantibody number or type. A decrease in HbA1c levels was associated with the development of IA-2A as a second autoantibody following GADA (HR 0.85, 95% CI [0.75, 0.97], p = 0.017) and a fourth autoantibody following GADA, IAA and ZnT8A (HR 0.90, 95% CI [0.82, 0.99], p = 0.036). HbA1c trajectory analyses showed a significant increase of HbA1c over time (p < 0.001) and that the increase is more rapid as the number of autoantibodies increased from one to three (p < 0.001).ConclusionIn conclusion, increased HbA1c is a reliable time predictive marker for type 1 diabetes onset. The increased rate of increase of HbA1c from first to third autoantibody and the decrease in HbA1c predicting the development of IA-2A are novel findings proving the link between HbA1c and the appearance of autoantibodies.

Dataset Information

HbA1c and the Prediction of Type 2 Diabetes in Children and Adults.

Objective

Research design and methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

HbA1c and the Prediction of Type 2 Diabetes in Children and Adults.

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