Dataset Information

Spatio-Temporal Pattern and Influencing Factors of Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS) in Hubei Province (China) between 2005 and 2014.

ABSTRACT: Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS) is considered as a globally distributed infectious disease, which results in many deaths annually in Hubei Province, China. The outbreak of HFRS is usually characterized with spatio-temporal heterogeneity and is seasonally distributed. Further, it might also be impacted by the influencing factors such as socio-economic and geographical environment. To better understand and predict the outbreak of HFRS in the Hubei Province, the spatio-temporal pattern and influencing factors were investigated in this study. Moran's I Index value was adopted in spatial global autocorrelation analysis to identify the overall spatio-temporal pattern of HFRS outbreak. Kulldorff scan statistical analysis was performed to further identify the changing trends of the clustering patterns of HFRS outbreak. Spearman's rank correlation analysis was used to explore the possible influencing factors on HFRS epidemics such as climate and geographic. The results demonstrated that HFRS outbreak in Hubei Province decreased from 2005 to 2012 in general while increasing slightly from 2012 to 2014. The spatial and temporal scan statistical analysis indicated that HFRS epidemic was temporally clustered in summer and autumn from 2005 to 2014 except 2008 and 2011. The seasonal epidemic pattern of HFRS in Hubei Province was characterized by a bimodal pattern (March to May and September to November) while peaks often occurring in the spring time. SEOV-type HFRS was presumed to influence more on the total number of HFRS incidence than HTNV-type HFRS do. The average humidity and human population density were the main influencing factors during these years. HFRS outbreaks were more in plains than in other areas of Hubei Province. We did not find that whether the terrain of the wetland (water system) plays a significant role in the outbreak of HFRS incidence. With a better understanding of rodent infection rate, socio-economic status and ecological environment characteristics, this study may help to reduce the outbreak of HFRS disease.

SUBMITTER: Ge L

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5193338 | biostudies-literature | 2016

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

Spatio-Temporal Pattern and Influencing Factors of Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS) in Hubei Province (China) between 2005 and 2014.

Ge Liang L Zhao Youlin Y Zhou Kui K Mu Xiangming X Yu Haibo H Wang Yongfeng Y Wang Ning N Fan Hong H Guo Liqiang L Huo XiXiang X

PloS one 20161228 12

Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS) is considered as a globally distributed infectious disease, which results in many deaths annually in Hubei Province, China. The outbreak of HFRS is usually characterized with spatio-temporal heterogeneity and is seasonally distributed. Further, it might also be impacted by the influencing factors such as socio-economic and geographical environment. To better understand and predict the outbreak of HFRS in the Hubei Province, the spatio-temporal pattern ...[more]

PMID: 28030550

Similar Datasets

Project description:Hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) is an acute viral zoonosis carried and transmitted by infected rodents through urine, droppings, or saliva. The etiology of HFRS is complex due to the involvement of viral factors and host immune and genetic factors which hinder the development of potential therapeutic solutions for HFRS. Hantaan virus (HTNV), Dobrava-Belgrade virus (DOBV), Seoul virus (SEOV), and Puumala virus (PUUV) are predominantly found in hantaviral species that cause HFRS in patients. Despite ongoing prevention and control efforts, HFRS remains a serious economic burden worldwide. Furthermore, recent studies reported that the hantavirus nucleocapsid protein is a multi-functional protein and plays a major role in the replication cycle of the hantavirus. However, the precise mechanism of the nucleoproteins in viral pathogenesis is not completely understood. In the framework of the current study, various in silico approaches were employed to identify the factors influencing the codon usage pattern of hantaviral nucleoproteins. Based on the relative synonymous codon usage (RSCU) values, a comparative analysis was performed between HFRS-causing hantavirus and their hosts, suggesting that HTNV, DOBV, SEOV, and PUUV, were inclined to evolve their codon usage patterns that were comparable to those of their hosts. The results indicated that most of the overrepresented codons had AU-endings, which revealed that mutational pressure is the major force shaping codon usage patterns. However, the influence of natural selection and geographical factors cannot be ignored on viral codon usage bias. Further analysis also demonstrated that HFRS causing hantaviruses adapted host-specific codon usage patterns to sustain successful replication and transmission chains within hosts. To our knowledge, no study to date reported the factors influencing the codon usage pattern within hantaviral nucleoproteins. Thus, the proposed computational scheme can help in understanding the underlying mechanism of codon usage patterns in HFRS-causing hantaviruses which lend a helping hand in designing effective anti-HFRS treatments in future. This study, although comprehensive, relies on in silico methods and thus necessitates experimental validation for more solid outcomes. Beyond the identified factors influencing viral behavior, there could be other yet undiscovered influences. These potential factors should be targets for further research to improve HFRS therapeutic strategies.

Project description:BACKGROUND:Hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) is a zoonosis caused by hantavirus (belongs to Hantaviridae family). A large amount of HFRS cases occur in China, especially in the Heilongjiang Province, raising great concerns regarding public health. The distribution of these cases across space-time often exhibits highly heterogeneous characteristics. Hence, it is widely recognized that the improved mapping of heterogeneous HFRS distributions and the quantitative assessment of the space-time disease transition patterns can advance considerably the detection, prevention and control of epidemic outbreaks. METHODS:A synthesis of space-time mapping and probabilistic logic is proposed to study the distribution of monthly HFRS population-standardized incidences in Heilongjiang province during the period 2005-2013. We introduce a class-dependent Bayesian maximum entropy (cd-BME) mapping method dividing the original dataset into discrete incidence classes that overcome data heterogeneity and skewness effects and can produce space-time HFRS incidence estimates together with their estimation accuracy. A ten-fold cross validation analysis is conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed cd-BME implementation compared to the standard class-independent BME implementation. Incidence maps generated by cd-BME are used to study the spatiotemporal HFRS spread patterns. Further, the spatiotemporal dependence of HFRS incidences are measured in terms of probability logic indicators that link class-dependent HFRS incidences at different space-time points. These indicators convey useful complementary information regarding intraclass and interclass relationships, such as the change in HFRS transition probabilities between different incidence classes with increasing geographical distance and time separation. RESULTS:Each HFRS class exhibited a distinct space-time variation structure in terms of its varying covariance parameters (shape, sill and correlation ranges). Given the heterogeneous features of the HFRS dataset, the cd-BME implementation demonstrated an improved ability to capture these features compared to the standard implementation (e.g., mean absolute error: 0.19 vs. 0.43 cases/105 capita) demonstrating a point outbreak character at high incidence levels and a non-point spread character at low levels. Intraclass HFRS variations were found to be considerably different than interclass HFRS variations. Certain incidence classes occurred frequently near one class but were rarely found adjacent to other classes. Different classes may share common boundaries or they may be surrounded completely by another class. The HFRS class 0-68.5% was the most dominant in the Heilongjiang province (covering more than 2/3 of the total area). The probabilities that certain incidence classes occur next to other classes were used to estimate the transitions between HFRS classes. Moreover, such probabilities described the dependency pattern of the space-time arrangement of HFRS patches occupied by the incidence classes. The HFRS transition probabilities also suggested the presence of both positive and negative relations among the main classes. The HFRS indicator plots offer complementary visualizations of the varying probabilities of transition between incidence classes, and so they describe the dependency pattern of the space-time arrangement of the HFRS patches occupied by the different classes. CONCLUSIONS:The cd-BME method combined with probabilistic logic indicators offer an accurate and informative quantitative representation of the heterogeneous HFRS incidences in the space-time domain, and the results thus obtained can be interpreted readily. The same methodological combination could also be used in the spatiotemporal modeling and prediction of other epidemics under similar circumstances.

Dataset Information

Spatio-Temporal Pattern and Influencing Factors of Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS) in Hubei Province (China) between 2005 and 2014.

Publications

Spatio-Temporal Pattern and Influencing Factors of Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS) in Hubei Province (China) between 2005 and 2014.

Similar Datasets

OmicsDI is part of the ELIXIR infrastructure

Tweets