Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Mossbridge JA
PROVIDER: S-EPMC5268496 | biostudies-literature | 2017
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
PloS one 20170126 1
When making serial predictions in a binary decision task, there is a clear tendency to assume that after a series of the same external outcome (e.g., heads in a coin flip), the next outcome will be the opposing one (e.g., tails), even when the outcomes are independent of one another. This so-called "gambler's fallacy" has been replicated robustly. However, what drives gambler's fallacy behavior is unclear. Here we demonstrate that a run of the same external outcome by itself does not lead to gam ...[more]