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Longitudinal HIV Care Trajectories in North Carolina.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Long-term HIV care and treatment engagement is required for maximal clinical and prevention benefits, but longitudinal care patterns are poorly understood. We used the last 10 years' worth of HIV surveillance data from North Carolina to describe longitudinal HIV care trajectories from diagnosis. METHODS:We conducted a retrospective, population-based cohort study of all persons newly diagnosed with HIV in North Carolina between March 31, 2006 and March 31, 2015 (N = 16,207). We defined HIV care attendance in each 3-month and 6-month interval after diagnosis as the presence of viral load and/or CD4 records (care visit proxies) in the interval. We used group-based trajectory modeling to identify common care trajectories and baseline predictors thereof. RESULTS:A predicted 26% of newly HIV-diagnosed persons showed consistently high care attendance over time; ?16% exhibited steadily declining attendance; ?26% showed consistently low attendance; ?17% had initially weak attendance with an increase starting ?1.5 year later; and ?15% showed initially weak attendance with an increase starting ?3 years later. Older age at diagnosis was protective against all suboptimal trajectories (with the "consistently high" pattern as referent), and being a man who has sex with men was protective against 3 of the 4 suboptimal patterns. CONCLUSIONS:As measured by surveillance-based laboratory proxies, most newly HIV-diagnosed persons exhibited suboptimal care trajectories, but there was wide variation in the particular pathways followed. The insights provided by this analytical approach can help to inform the design of epidemic models and tailored interventions, with the ultimate goal of improving HIV care engagement and transmission prevention.

SUBMITTER: Powers KA

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5289300 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Longitudinal HIV Care Trajectories in North Carolina.

Powers Kimberly A KA Samoff Erika E Weaver Mark A MA Sampson Lynne A LA Miller William C WC Leone Peter A PA Swygard Heidi H

Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) 20170201

<h4>Background</h4>Long-term HIV care and treatment engagement is required for maximal clinical and prevention benefits, but longitudinal care patterns are poorly understood. We used the last 10 years' worth of HIV surveillance data from North Carolina to describe longitudinal HIV care trajectories from diagnosis.<h4>Methods</h4>We conducted a retrospective, population-based cohort study of all persons newly diagnosed with HIV in North Carolina between March 31, 2006 and March 31, 2015 (N = 16,2 ...[more]

PMID: 28079718

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Project description:BackgroundPredicting long-term care trajectories at the time of HIV diagnosis may allow targeted interventions. Our objective was to uncover distinct CD4-based trajectories and determine baseline demographic, clinical, and contextual factors associated with trajectory membership.MethodsWe used data from the Sizanani trial (NCT01188941), in which adults were enrolled prior to HIV testing in Durban, South Africa from August 2010-January 2013. We ascertained CD4 counts from the National Health Laboratory Service over 5y follow-up. We used group-based statistical modeling to identify groups with similar CD4 count trajectories and Bayesian information criteria to determine distinct CD4 trajectories. We evaluated baseline factors that predict membership in specific trajectories using multinomial logistic regression. We examined calendar year of participant enrollment, age, gender, cohabitation, TB positivity, self-identified barriers to care, and ART initiation within 3 months of diagnosis.Results688 participants had longitudinal data available. Group-based trajectory modeling identified four distinct trajectories: one with consistently low CD4 counts (21%), one with low CD4 counts that increased over time (22%), one with moderate CD4 counts that remained stable (41%), and one with high CD4 counts that increased over time (16%). Those with higher CD4 counts at diagnosis were younger, less likely to have TB, and less likely to identify barriers to care. Those in the least favorable trajectory (consistently low CD4 count) were least likely to start ART within 3 months.ConclusionsOne-fifth of people newly-diagnosed with HIV presented with low CD4 counts that failed to rise over time. Less than 40% were in a trajectory characterized by increasing CD4 counts. Patients in more favorable trajectories were younger, less likely to have TB, and less likely to report barriers to healthcare. Better understanding barriers to early care engagement and ART initiation will be necessary to improve long-term clinical outcomes.

Project description:The objective of Heart Health NOW (HHN) is to determine if primary care practice support-a comprehensive evidence-based quality improvement strategy involving practice facilitation, academic detailing, technology support, and regional learning collaboratives-accelerates widespread dissemination and implementation of evidence-based guidelines for cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention in small- to medium-sized primary care practices and, additionally, increases practices' capacity to incorporate other evidence-based clinical guidelines in the future.HHN is a stepped wedge, stratified, cluster randomized trial to evaluate the effect of primary care practice support on evidence-based CVD prevention, organizational change process measures, and patient outcomes. Each practice will start the trial as a control, receive the intervention at a randomized time point, and then enter a maintenance period 12 months after the start of the intervention. The intervention will be randomized to practices in one of four strata defined by region of the state (east or west) and degree of practice readiness for change. Seventy-five practices in each region with a high degree of readiness will be randomized 1:1:1 in blocks of 3 sometime prior to month 8 to receive the intervention at month 9, 11, or 12. An additional 75 practices within each region that have a low degree of readiness or are recruited later will be randomized 1:1 in blocks of 2 prior to month 13 to receive the intervention at month 14 or 16. The sites will be ordered within each strata based on time of enrollment with the blocking based on this ordering. Evaluation will examine the effect of primary care practice support on (1) practice-level delivery of evidence-based CVD prevention, (2) patient-level health outcomes, (3) practice-level implementation of clinical and organizational changes that support delivery of evidence-based CVD prevention, and (4) practice-level capacity to implement future evidence-based clinical guidelines.Results will indicate whether primary care practice support is an effective strategy for widespread dissemination and implementation of evidence-based clinical guidelines in primary care practices. Discernible reductions in cardiovascular risk in 300 practices covering over an estimated 900,000 adult patients would likely lead to prevention of thousands of cardiovascular events within 10 years.ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02585557.

Dataset Information

Longitudinal HIV Care Trajectories in North Carolina.

Publications

Longitudinal HIV Care Trajectories in North Carolina.

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