Dataset Information

Geospatial characteristics of measles transmission in China during 2005-2014.

ABSTRACT: Measles is a highly contagious and severe disease. Despite mass vaccination, it remains a leading cause of death in children in developing regions, killing 114,900 globally in 2014. In 2006, China committed to eliminating measles by 2012; to this end, the country enhanced its mandatory vaccination programs and achieved vaccination rates reported above 95% by 2008. However, in spite of these efforts, during the last 3 years (2013-2015) China documented 27,695, 52,656, and 42,874 confirmed measles cases. How measles manages to spread in China-the world's largest population-in the mass vaccination era remains poorly understood. To address this conundrum and provide insights for future public health efforts, we analyze the geospatial pattern of measles transmission across China during 2005-2014. We map measles incidence and incidence rates for each of the 344 cities in mainland China, identify the key socioeconomic and demographic features associated with high disease burden, and identify transmission clusters based on the synchrony of outbreak cycles. Using hierarchical cluster analysis, we identify 21 epidemic clusters, of which 12 were cross-regional. The cross-regional clusters included more underdeveloped cities with large numbers of emigrants than would be expected by chance (p = 0.011; bootstrap sampling), indicating that cities in these clusters were likely linked by internal worker migration in response to uneven economic development. In contrast, cities in regional clusters were more likely to have high rates of minorities and high natural growth rates than would be expected by chance (p = 0.074; bootstrap sampling). Our findings suggest that multiple highly connected foci of measles transmission coexist in China and that migrant workers likely facilitate the transmission of measles across regions. This complex connection renders eradication of measles challenging in China despite its high overall vaccination coverage. Future immunization programs should therefore target these transmission foci simultaneously.

SUBMITTER: Yang W

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5395235 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Geospatial characteristics of measles transmission in China during 2005-2014.

Yang Wan W Wen Liang L Li Shen-Long SL Chen Kai K Zhang Wen-Yi WY Shaman Jeffrey J

PLoS computational biology 20170404 4

Measles is a highly contagious and severe disease. Despite mass vaccination, it remains a leading cause of death in children in developing regions, killing 114,900 globally in 2014. In 2006, China committed to eliminating measles by 2012; to this end, the country enhanced its mandatory vaccination programs and achieved vaccination rates reported above 95% by 2008. However, in spite of these efforts, during the last 3 years (2013-2015) China documented 27,695, 52,656, and 42,874 confirmed measles ...[more]

PMID: 28376097

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Project description:BackgroundLittle comprehensive information on overall epidemic trend of notifiable respiratory infectious diseases is available in Shandong Province, China. This study aimed to determine the spatiotemporal distribution and epidemic characteristics of notifiable respiratory infectious diseases.MethodsTime series was firstly performed to describe the temporal distribution feature of notifiable respiratory infectious diseases during 2005-2014 in Shandong Province. GIS Natural Breaks (Jenks) was applied to divide the average annual incidence of notifiable respiratory infectious diseases into five grades. Spatial empirical Bayesian smoothed risk maps and excess risk maps were further used to investigate spatial patterns of notifiable respiratory infectious diseases. Global and local Moran's I statistics were used to measure the spatial autocorrelation. Spatial-temporal scanning was used to detect spatiotemporal clusters and identify high-risk locations.ResultsA total of 537,506 cases of notifiable respiratory infectious diseases were reported in Shandong Province during 2005-2014. The morbidity of notifiable respiratory infectious diseases had obvious seasonality with high morbidity in winter and spring. Local Moran's I analysis showed that there were 5, 23, 24, 4, 20, 8, 14, 10 and 7 high-risk counties determined for influenza A (H1N1), measles, tuberculosis, meningococcal meningitis, pertussis, scarlet fever, influenza, mumps and rubella, respectively. The spatial-temporal clustering analysis determined that the most likely cluster of influenza A (H1N1), measles, tuberculosis, meningococcal meningitis, pertussis, scarlet fever, influenza, mumps and rubella included 74, 66, 58, 56, 22, 64, 2, 75 and 56 counties, and the time frame was November 2009, March 2008, January 2007, February 2005, July 2007, December 2011, November 2009, June 2012 and May 2005, respectively.ConclusionsThere were obvious spatiotemporal clusters of notifiable respiratory infectious diseases in Shandong during 2005-2014. More attention should be paid to the epidemiological and spatiotemporal characteristics of notifiable respiratory infectious diseases to establish new strategies for its control.

Project description:Human adenoviruses (HAdVs) are important pathogens causing respiratory infections; 3.5-11% of childhood community-acquired pneumonia is associated with HAdV infection. Human adenovirus type 3 (HAdV-3), leading to severe morbidity and mortality, is one of the most prevalent genotype among adenoviruses responsible for acute respiratory infections (ARIs) in children in China. To identify the genetic variation of HAdV-3 in children with ARIs in China, a molecular epidemiological study was conducted. A total of 54 HAdV-3 isolated strains were obtained from children with ARIs in Beijing, Wenzhou, Shanghai, Shijiazhuang, Hangzhou, Guangzhou, and Changchun from 2014 to 2018. Thirty-two strains of which were selected for whole-genome sequencing, while the hexon, penton base, and fiber genes were sequenced for remaining strains. Bioinformatics analysis was performed on the obtained sequences. The phylogenetic analyses based on whole-genome sequences, major capsid protein genes (hexon, penton base, and fiber), and early genes (E1, E2, E3, and E4) showed that the HAdV-3 strains obtained in this study always clustered together with the reference strains from Chinese mainland, while the HAdV-3 prototype strain formed a cluster independently. Compared with the prototype strain, all strains possessed nine amino acid (AA) substitutions at neutralization antigenic epitopes of hexon. The homology models of the hexon protein of the HAdV-3 prototype and strain BJ20160214 showed that there was no evident structural change at the AA mutation sites. Two AA substitutions were found at the Arg-Gly-Asp (RGD) loop and hypervariable region 1 (HVR1) region of the penton base. A distinct AA insertion (20P) in the highly conserved PPPSY motif of the penton base that had never been reported before was observed. Recombination analysis indicated that partial regions of protein IIIa precursor, penton base, and protein VII precursor genes among all HAdV-3 strains in this study were from HAdV-7. This study showed that the genomes of the HAdV-3 strains in China were highly homologous. Some AA mutations were found at antigenic sites; however, the significance needs further study. Our data demonstrated the molecular characteristics of HAdV-3 circulating in China and was highly beneficial for further epidemiological exploration and the development of vaccines and drugs against HAdV-3.

Dataset Information

Geospatial characteristics of measles transmission in China during 2005-2014.

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Geospatial characteristics of measles transmission in China during 2005-2014.

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