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Incidence and predictors of excessive warfarin anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation-The EWA study.

ABSTRACT: Vitamin K antagonist warfarin is widely used in clinical practice and excessive anticoagulation is a well-known complication of this therapy. Little is known about permanent and temporary predictors for severe overanticoagulation. The aim of this study was to investigate the occurrence and predicting factors for episodes with very high (?9) international normalized ratio (INR) values in warfarin treated patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Excessive Warfarin Anticoagulation (EWA) study screened all patients (n = 13618) in the Turku University Hospital region with an INR ?2 between years 2003-2015. Patients using warfarin anticoagulation for AF with very high (?9) INR values (EWA Group) were identified (n = 412 patients) and their characteristics were compared to a control group (n = 405) of AF patients with stable INR during long-term follow-up. Over 20% (n = 92) of the EWA patients had more than one event of very high INR and in 105 (25.5%) patients EWA led to a bleeding event. Of the several temporary and permanent EWA risk factors observed, strongest were excessive alcohol consumption in 9.6% of patients (OR 24.4, 95% CI 9.9-50.4, p<0.0001) and reduced renal function (OR 15.2, 95% CI 5.67-40.7, p<0.0001). Recent antibiotic or antifungal medication, recent hospitalization or outpatient clinic visit and the first 6 months of warfarin use were the most significant temporary risk factors for EWA. Excessive warfarin anticoagulation can be predicted with several permanent and temporary clinical risk factors, many of which are modifiable.

SUBMITTER: Jaakkola S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5398615 | biostudies-literature | 2017

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Incidence and predictors of excessive warfarin anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation-The EWA study.

Jaakkola Samuli S Nuotio Ilpo I Kiviniemi Tuomas O TO Virtanen Raine R Issakoff Melina M Airaksinen K E Juhani KEJ

PloS one 20170420 4

Vitamin K antagonist warfarin is widely used in clinical practice and excessive anticoagulation is a well-known complication of this therapy. Little is known about permanent and temporary predictors for severe overanticoagulation. The aim of this study was to investigate the occurrence and predicting factors for episodes with very high (≥9) international normalized ratio (INR) values in warfarin treated patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Excessive Warfarin Anticoagulation (EWA) study screen ...[more]

PMID: 28426737

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Project description:BackgroundGuidelines recommend warfarin use in patients with atrial fibrillation solely on the basis of risk for ischemic stroke without antithrombotic therapy. These guidelines rely on ischemic stroke rates observed in older trials and do not explicitly account for increased risk for hemorrhage.ObjectiveTo quantify the net clinical benefit of warfarin therapy in a cohort of patients with atrial fibrillation.DesignMixed retrospective and prospective cohort study of patients with atrial fibrillation between 1996 and 2003.SettingAn integrated health care delivery system.Patients13 559 adults with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation.MeasurementsWarfarin exposure, patient characteristics, CHADS(2) score (1 point for each of congestive heart failure, hypertension, age, and diabetes and 2 points for stroke), and outcome events were ascertained from health plan records and databases. Net clinical benefit was defined as the annual rate of ischemic strokes and systemic emboli prevented by warfarin minus intracranial hemorrhages attributable to warfarin, multiplied by an impact weight. The base-case impact weight was 1.5, reflecting the greater clinical impact of intracranial hemorrhage versus thromboembolism.ResultsPatients accumulated more than 66 000 person-years of follow-up. The adjusted net clinical benefit of warfarin for the cohort overall was 0.68% per year (95% CI, 0.34% to 0.87%). Adjusted net clinical benefit was greatest for patients with a history of ischemic stroke (2.48% per year [CI, 0.75% to 4.22%]) and for those 85 years or older (2.34% per year [CI, 1.29% to 3.30%]). The net clinical benefit of warfarin increased from essentially zero in CHADS(2) stroke risk categories 0 and 1 to 2.22% per year (CI, 0.58% to 3.75%) in CHADS(2) categories 4 to 6. The patterns of results were preserved when weighting factors for intracranial hemorrhage of 1.0 and 2.0 were used.LimitationsResidual confounding is a possibility. Some outcome events were probably missed by the screening algorithm or when medical records were unavailable.ConclusionExpected net clinical benefit of warfarin therapy is highest among patients with the highest untreated risk for stroke, which includes the oldest age category. Risk assessment that incorporates both risk for thromboembolism and risk for intracranial hemorrhage provides a more quantitatively informed basis for the decision on antithrombotic therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation.Primary funding sourceNational Institute on Aging; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; and Massachusetts General Hospital.

Project description:Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac rhythm disorder with a significant health burden. The aim of this study was to characterise patients with recently diagnosed AF and to estimate the rates of comorbidities and outcome events requiring hospitalisation in routine clinical practice.Pharmacoepidemiological cohort study using observational data.This study included 16 513 patients with a first diagnosis of AF between 1 January 2005 and 28 February 2010 (newly diagnosed patients) using data from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) linked to Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) and the Office for National Statistics mortality data. Exposure was stratified by vitamin K antagonist (VKA) exposure (non-use, current, recent and past exposure) based on prescriptions and/or international normalised ratio measurements, and followed for outcome events of interest based on diagnosis codes in the databases, that is, vascular outcomes, bleeding events and others. The main focus of the study was on outcome events requiring hospitalisation using the HES data.The incidence of vascular outcome hospitalisations (myocardial infarction (MI), stroke or systemic arterial peripheral embolism) was 3.8 (95% CI 3.5 to 4.0)/100 patient-years. The incidence of stroke was 0.9 (0.8 to 1.1) during current VKA exposure, 2.2 (1.6 to 2.9) for recent, 2.4 (1.9 to 2.9) for past and 3.4 (3.1 to 3.7) during non-use. MI incidence was 0.7 (0.6 to 0.9) for current VKA exposure, 0.7 (0.4 to 1.2) for recent, 1.1 (0.8 to 1.5) for past and 1.9 (1.7 to 2.1) during non-use. The incidence of bleeding event hospitalisations was 3.8 (3.4 to 4.2) for current VKA exposure, 4.5 (3.7 to 5.5) for recent, 2.7 (2.2 to 3.3) for past and 2.9 (2.6 to 3.2) during non-use; 38% of intracranial bleeds and 6% of gastrointestinal bleeds were fatal.This population-based study from recent years provides a comprehensive characterisation of newly diagnosed patients with AF and incidence estimates of common outcomes with a focus on hospitalised events stratified by VKA exposure. This study will help to place future data on new oral anticoagulants into perspective.

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Incidence and predictors of excessive warfarin anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation-The EWA study.

Publications

Incidence and predictors of excessive warfarin anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation-The EWA study.

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